Bitcoin in the next decade

[impulse709]

It would be appreciated if your views are given without being influenced by others considered reputable
I want to understand what people individually feel about this. Thank you.

Okay you can take it as a pessimistic POV but ever since the interest by government and institutions I feel we are losing on decentralization and privacy.
Don't get me wrong, I love to see Bitcoin price rising and adoptions but it's like the reason is rising is flawed. People joining for sometime now are only in it for the potential price increase and care nothing about a decentralized system.

In the early days of Bitcoin people cared more about decentralisation and the growth of the coin than personal growth
But it happens to be that now most users are more interested in their investments growing , but Bitcoin is still decentralised nevertheless no CEO, no one can Chang the rules, what ever government do the coin keeps on running just fine
People may be speculative but the system still remains decentralised.

I understand perfectly what you are saying. Admittedly, many of the new entrants appear to be driven only by the profit motive, and not the values of Bitcoin, such as decentralization and financial sovereignty. That notwithstanding, I believe that we should not tie the motivations of the community to the technology. The Bitcoin protocol is decentralized and not mutable, and nobody can alter the rules of this technology, which still persists in operation even without the participation of a government or institutions. Ok, the speculation has gone up, but that should not change the fact that Bitcoin is unique, being censorship resistant, trustless and globally available. To some extent, however, increasing uptake, even in a speculative form can still enhance both the resiliency and security of the network in the upcoming decade.

[rangga28]

The government may have control over everything in the country but definitely not Bitcoin, it is a decentralized currency and no body can control it and not even the government no matter how they try to influence it or manipulate the system. Bitcoin is not Fiat currency and the government can throw their tantrums all they want but there's nothing they can do about this one, satoshi understood the assignment and he gave us privacy that can't be tempered with , I can see already that they are furious about this privacy and even if the push the kyc system further it still isn't going to give them full control.

Due to its decentralized nature, it cannot be interfered with by the government. However, I believe the government still has room to maneuver by restricting its citizens' freedom to use Bitcoin. This means the government has the authority to regulate exchange managers operating in a country. Other factors that could hinder Bitcoin's adoption include internet issues, and this also falls under the government's authority to open and close access at certain times.

However, I believe the government will not take extreme measures to completely block access, but they also intend to collect taxes from each transaction on the exchange. This means the government is aware of the emergence and growing interest in Bitcoin, but they also want to work alongside it.

[slaman29]

<>
I told people the only good thing I found was DCA and thats just basically NOT trading But DCA itself is never my advice.

I have told my friends to DCA but they seem not to believe that it's effective because they are impatient. But just as what you've said, we've got our own experiences of losing but to recover those, DCA is one way. And each of us can prove that it has worked for many and you can count yourself on it as well because for me it had worked and that's why I'll continue to do it.

Impatient friends should not be given advice, and just left alone, they always gonna find ways to blame you partially for the mistakes they are guaranteed to make, now or tomrrow

I truly cut out so much crap from my life just by focusing on DCA easy, and by deleting all my socials! And while still keeping a little bit in touch with everything on Bitcoin (and 1% on other coins)

[Fuso.hp]

In the last five years, I have seen the value of my country's currency decrease a lot, on the contrary, I have seen the value of Bitcoin touch a record high in the last five years. Now if I am asked which one will be more effective for me to hold, then without thinking anything, I will say that if there is financial support, then it will be the best decision to hold Bitcoin. There is no benefit in leaving money in the bank, seeing the value of money decreasing and the bank doing business with our money, on the contrary, we are facing losses without knowing it. Earlier, to buy one dollar, we have to spend much more than the amount of our local currency that we used to spend, but there is no guarantee that the value of our country's local currency will not decrease further in the future, so I have decided to keep some money in the bank for use when necessary and buy Bitcoin with the remaining money and I have already continued to invest in Bitcoin consistently for a long time. I hope that I have taken a good decision from the context of my country. And in the next 10 years, many people in my country will depend on Bitcoin instead of relying on fiat like me.

[NovaCrest]

[...]

Exactly I will little agree with you here, right now, Bitcoin is not safe place for money since it is moving with technology stocks and main economy, which is opposite of what safe place for money should do. This is because, right now, it is not yet fully separate from old ways of money in terms of BTC. Even so, idea of the BTC turning into Digital Gold is goal for far future due to its fixed scarcity that cannot be changed and its ability to not be controlled, which may finally lead to it taking place of real gold. To make sure that this future success happens, network needs to improve its performance and low costs, and more people should use it widely across world. So smartest way is to understand that current state of the BTC is not steady, but other to buy, hodl, and forget about rest to make money on its massive long term chance to grow.

Right now, Bitcoin is a high-risk, high-potential reward asset. It's correlated with tech stocks because that's the liquidity pool it's swimming in. The "safe haven" and "uncorrelated asset" narrative is for the end state, not the transition period we're in.
The thesis isn't about today's price action. It's about the irreversible attributes you mentioned: fixed scarcity, neutrality, censorship resistance. That's the engine. The "digital gold" status is the destination, but the road there is volatile.
Your strategy is the only one that makes sense: acknowledge the short-term risk, embrace the long-term asymmetry. Buy what you can afford to lose, secure it in cold storage, and let the network effect and adoption play out over a decade. Don't watch the charts. Watch the fundamentals hash rate, adoption, developer activity.

[devlin85]

One thing i would like to write, the current FIAT system is certain to lose purchasing value in the future. Inflation catch the value of money. A few percent per year, and in 5-10 years it will be very high. So Bitcoin is not only a good alternative in the long term, but also offers an almost unique opportunity for independence. We can decide how much we want to move and we dont need the approval of a third party. A system that is so strongly protected by decentralization is also a wonderful thing. I have written it in few words, but these three things are valuable for me.

Fiat losing purchasing power isn’t a one-off thing, it’s baked into the system. Even “low” inflation adds up over 5–10 years, especially when wages don’t keep pace. That’s where Bitcoin plays in a different league: fixed issuance, no policy switches. Short-term price noise is secondary.

[Fuso.hp]

Would government fold their hands and not try to make devs push a protocol that would favour them? I doubt, I understand we have miners and full nodes for checks and the open source process and peer review make covert protocol changes difficult. But we can't deny that Dev still have some influence (I used them as example since they are smaller in numbers).


I know we survived without government support and can survive without it but What are your thoughts on the direction we heading?

Whats the assurance that they aren't doing that right now, I mean Bitcoin is big you know, there is no any institution from any country that will see one coin worth $100k and not be tempted to be involved in it, they will be tasty to have it. However, pushing protocol is one thing but Bitcoin is decentralized, it's not like they are group of people in what place that run Bitcoin. If the government push for any protocol, most miners and nodes runners wouldn't accept it.

Who do you think controls the Bitcoin, they are majorly miners. There hasn't been any group of people that has been supportive like miners from different part of the world. If government push any Bitcoin and ask,people to update it, nobody will accept it because anyone who knows the true meaning of Bitcoin and the value will know for a certain that Bitcoin is a freedom, it was created to help one fight censorship resistance, if the government decides to show who they are, Bitcoin is going to be that guy they will reject they accepted.

In the next ten years, Bitcoin will reach a very good level in terms of popularity and we will see many positive changes in the market price of Bitcoin. If we want to get an idea about the next ten years by comparing it with the last 10 years, then the idea about Bitcoin is clear in front of us because we have seen that the popularity of Bitcoin has increased every year in the last ten years. But it is not like that in some years the popularity of Bitcoin has increased and in some years the popularity of Bitcoin has decreased. Maybe the price of Bitcoin has fluctuated, but overall the price of Bitcoin has touched the highest record this year. I have full confidence in the market and I think the Bitcoin market can touch one million dollars in the next 10 years, and I am investing with that target.

[Mandoy]

The government may have control over everything in the country but definitely not Bitcoin, it is a decentralized currency and no body can control it and not even the government no matter how they try to influence it or manipulate the system. Bitcoin is not Fiat currency and the government can throw their tantrums all they want but there's nothing they can do about this one, satoshi understood the assignment and he gave us privacy that can't be tempered with , I can see already that they are furious about this privacy and even if the push the kyc system further it still isn't going to give them full control.

Due to its decentralized nature, it cannot be interfered with by the government. However, I believe the government still has room to maneuver by restricting its citizens' freedom to use Bitcoin. This means the government has the authority to regulate exchange managers operating in a country. Other factors that could hinder Bitcoin's adoption include internet issues, and this also falls under the government's authority to open and close access at certain times.

However, I believe the government will not take extreme measures to completely block access, but they also intend to collect taxes from each transaction on the exchange. This means the government is aware of the emergence and growing interest in Bitcoin, but they also want to work alongside it.

I concur with your opinion that the best aspect of Bitcoin is its decentralized characteristic, and therefore no government can completely regulate and close the network itself. It was evident that Satoshi set up Bitcoin to be out of the ordinary financial systems. Nevertheless, indirect control by governments remains through the regulation of exchanges, application of the KYC regulation, taxation, and even blocking the access to the internet by the governments. Although these measures can restrict the level of freedom with which the citizens can use Bitcoin, they cannot kill it completely. More probably, within a decade, we will see governments opting to have Bitcoin as a co-op instead of an adversary. They can enjoy the growth of it and at the same time keep it in check by taxing and controlling the transactions and therefore, Bitcoin can keep growing even under the restrictions.

[DanWalker]

In the next ten years, Bitcoin will reach a very good level in terms of popularity and we will see many positive changes in the market price of Bitcoin. If we want to get an idea about the next ten years by comparing it with the last 10 years, then the idea about Bitcoin is clear in front of us because we have seen that the popularity of Bitcoin has increased every year in the last ten years. But it is not like that in some years the popularity of Bitcoin has increased and in some years the popularity of Bitcoin has decreased. Maybe the price of Bitcoin has fluctuated, but overall the price of Bitcoin has touched the highest record this year. I have full confidence in the market and I think the Bitcoin market can touch one million dollars in the next 10 years, and I am investing with that target.

Bitcoin adoption is ongoing, and with fiat currencies losing value over time, it is almost certain that bitcoin will increase in price over the next 10 years.

However, although bitcoin has consistently reached ATH this year, we need to make one thing clear here. From 2021 to 2025, bitcoin increased from $69k to $126k, an increase of only about 80% in the last 4 years. Thereby, it is not too difficult to realize that the more mature bitcoin becomes, the slower its growth rate becomes.

Is it realistic to expect bitcoin to increase tenfold in the next 10 years?

[Alone055]

Bitcoin adoption is ongoing, and with fiat currencies losing value over time, it is almost certain that bitcoin will increase in price over the next 10 years.

However, although bitcoin has consistently reached ATH this year, we need to make one thing clear here. From 2021 to 2025, bitcoin increased from $69k to $126k, an increase of only about 80% in the last 4 years. Thereby, it is not too difficult to realize that the more mature bitcoin becomes, the slower its growth rate becomes.

Is it realistic to expect bitcoin to increase tenfold in the next 10 years?

Wait, you are not making that calculation correctly, because $69k was the all-time high of Bitcoin in the last bull run, but it then went to $16k in the bear market, and then reached $126k in this bull run. So, technically, it increased 10 folds within that period, and if someone had bought at the bottom and kept holding until the recent times, they could easily get more than 9x in profits. So it's not like one can't get good profits, but it all depends on when they buy and then sell.

I agree that one shouldn't expect to get rich through Bitcoin investments anymore because that opportunity is long gone, but we can still get good profits if we buy during the bear market and then keep holding until the bull run and sell when the price is pretty high. Those who didn't sell when Bitcoin's price was above $120k are now regretting it because they could get good returns if they had done it.

[Antona]

Bitcoin adoption is ongoing, and with fiat currencies losing value over time, it is almost certain that bitcoin will increase in price over the next 10 years.

However, although bitcoin has consistently reached ATH this year, we need to make one thing clear here. From 2021 to 2025, bitcoin increased from $69k to $126k, an increase of only about 80% in the last 4 years. Thereby, it is not too difficult to realize that the more mature bitcoin becomes, the slower its growth rate becomes.

Is it realistic to expect bitcoin to increase tenfold in the next 10 years?

Wait, you are not making that calculation correctly, because $69k was the all-time high of Bitcoin in the last bull run, but it then went to $16k in the bear market, and then reached $126k in this bull run. So, technically, it increased 10 folds within that period, and if someone had bought at the bottom and kept holding until the recent times, they could easily get more than 9x in profits. So it's not like one can't get good profits, but it all depends on when they buy and then sell.

I agree that one shouldn't expect to get rich through Bitcoin investments anymore because that opportunity is long gone, but we can still get good profits if we buy during the bear market and then keep holding until the bull run and sell when the price is pretty high. Those who didn't sell when Bitcoin's price was above $120k are now regretting it because they could get good returns if they had done it.

Your math checks out for the perfect buy and sell ngl. But timing that bottom and peak is basically impossible for most that's why DCA is preached so much here. It removes the guesswork still, catching even half of that move is life-changing for sure

[Bastketsrus]

You have already stated the facts very clearly, based imao now adoption has been dominated by institutions and we can't prevent it anyway. After Bitcoin continues to attract global financial attention everything becomes a target both in terms of business and for political purposes. Back to the developers whether they will be lenient with government regulations as experienced by Tornado Cash developers or continue to maintain censorship resistance.

Oh one more thing to know, like it or not, the fact is that we are currently on our last defense.

Yeah, that’s the reality now. Institutions taking over was bound to happen, and with that comes political pressure. What matters most is whether developers hold the line on censorship resistance. It really feels like a make-or-break moment for Bitcoin’s core values.

[JayJuanGee]

In the next ten years, Bitcoin will reach a very good level in terms of popularity and we will see many positive changes in the market price of Bitcoin. If we want to get an idea about the next ten years by comparing it with the last 10 years, then the idea about Bitcoin is clear in front of us because we have seen that the popularity of Bitcoin has increased every year in the last ten years. But it is not like that in some years the popularity of Bitcoin has increased and in some years the popularity of Bitcoin has decreased. Maybe the price of Bitcoin has fluctuated, but overall the price of Bitcoin has touched the highest record this year. I have full confidence in the market and I think the Bitcoin market can touch one million dollars in the next 10 years, and I am investing with that target.

Bitcoin adoption is ongoing, and with fiat currencies losing value over time, it is almost certain that bitcoin will increase in price over the next 10 years.

However, although bitcoin has consistently reached ATH this year, we need to make one thing clear here. From 2021 to 2025, bitcoin increased from $69k to $126k, an increase of only about 80% in the last 4 years. Thereby, it is not too difficult to realize that the more mature bitcoin becomes, the slower its growth rate becomes.

Is it realistic to expect bitcoin to increase tenfold in the next 10 years?

I suggest that your measuring historical BTC prices from top to top is an inferior way to measure bitcoin, and it is likely better to measure bottom to bottom, including the use of averages (the 200-WMA) rather than spot price.

Currently the 200-WMA is $56,671, and 4 years ago, the 200-WMA was $18,582 - which is a 3x increase in the 200-WMA over the past 4 years.

[edited out]

Wait, you are not making that calculation correctly, because $69k was the all-time high of Bitcoin in the last bull run, but it then went to $16k in the bear market, and then reached $126k in this bull run. So, technically, it increased 10 folds within that period, and if someone had bought at the bottom and kept holding until the recent times, they could easily get more than 9x in profits. So it's not like one can't get good profits, but it all depends on when they buy and then sell.

I agree that one shouldn't expect to get rich through Bitcoin investments anymore because that opportunity is long gone, but we can still get good profits if we buy during the bear market and then keep holding until the bull run and sell when the price is pretty high. Those who didn't sell when Bitcoin's price was above $120k are now regretting it because they could get good returns if they had done it.

There could be some value to measure from bottom to top rather than top to top, even though you are likely getting exaggerated depictions.

Another problem is your assumption that it would be a good idea to try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top, even if guys were to be capable of identifying such price extremes.  Bitcoin seems like a much better investment rather than a thing that guys should be trying to gamble with.


If a person is investing rather than trading or gambling, then he would likely be spending way more time, energy and value to just ongoingly accumulate bitcoin for his first cycle or two of being involved in bitcoin.  Of course, if he is able to reallocate from some other asset into bitcoin, then he can front load his bitcoin investment, yet most folks tend to have to invest from their regular income and/or other ways of gradually acquiring a bitcoin position rather than being able to front load their bitcoin investment.  In other words it seems a bit short-sighted to be trying to trade bitcoin rather than building up the holdings over time, such as 4-10 years or beyond... .so the initial stages is buying bitcoin ONLY and not selling.  There is no guarantee that a person will increase his bitcoin stash by selling, so it is better to just remove selling as part of the bitcoin accumulation strategy.

[Barrykbest]

Bitcoin adoption is ongoing, and with fiat currencies losing value over time, it is almost certain that bitcoin will increase in price over the next 10 years.

However, although bitcoin has consistently reached ATH this year, we need to make one thing clear here. From 2021 to 2025, bitcoin increased from $69k to $126k, an increase of only about 80% in the last 4 years. Thereby, it is not too difficult to realize that the more mature bitcoin becomes, the slower its growth rate becomes.

Is it realistic to expect bitcoin to increase tenfold in the next 10 years?

Wait, you are not making that calculation correctly, because $69k was the all-time high of Bitcoin in the last bull run, but it then went to $16k in the bear market, and then reached $126k in this bull run. So, technically, it increased 10 folds within that period, and if someone had bought at the bottom and kept holding until the recent times, they could easily get more than 9x in profits. So it's not like one can't get good profits, but it all depends on when they buy and then sell.

I agree that one shouldn't expect to get rich through Bitcoin investments anymore because that opportunity is long gone, but we can still get good profits if we buy during the bear market and then keep holding until the bull run and sell when the price is pretty high. Those who didn't sell when Bitcoin's price was above $120k are now regretting it because they could get good returns if they had done it.

It’s understandable why many people focus on buying low and selling high, it sounds simple, but in reality, it’s one of the hardest things to pull off consistently. Very few can truly recognize a bottom or a top while it’s happening.
That’s why a steady accumulation approach, such as DCA, works better for most investors. You’re not trying to time perfection but you’re building exposure through every phase of the market. Over the years, this method tends to outperform emotional decisions that result from chasing highs or fearing dips.
Bitcoin isn’t just about catching short-term profit cycles; it’s about building long-term financial strength and understanding its value as a decentralised asset. Anyone treating it like a quick trade might make gains once or twice, but those who hold with conviction usually end up far ahead.

[ancafe]

Would government fold their hands and not try to make devs push a protocol that would favour them? I doubt, I understand we have miners and full nodes for checks and the open source process and peer review make covert protocol changes difficult. But we can't deny that Dev still have some influence (I used them as example since they are smaller in numbers).

I've also want to question about this, because it's unlikely the government will sit idly by and watch this happen naturally, and there will certainly be political pressure that could influence developers to push protocols that benefit them. But seeing Bitcoin grow and become so widely adopted, perhaps some investors never care about how this happens because they're focused on how investing can lead them to financial freedom. I also want to ask if this could impact Bitcoin's future trajectory, as more government intervention usually leads to bias, and they don't support decentralization.

[Antona]

Would government fold their hands and not try to make devs push a protocol that would favour them? I doubt, I understand we have miners and full nodes for checks and the open source process and peer review make covert protocol changes difficult. But we can't deny that Dev still have some influence (I used them as example since they are smaller in numbers).

I've also want to question about this, because it's unlikely the government will sit idly by and watch this happen naturally, and there will certainly be political pressure that could influence developers to push protocols that benefit them. But seeing Bitcoin grow and become so widely adopted, perhaps some investors never care about how this happens because they're focused on how investing can lead them to financial freedom. I also want to ask if this could impact Bitcoin's future trajectory, as more government intervention usually leads to bias, and they don't support decentralization.

Yeah its a risk the trajectory could get messy if heavy regulation forces KYC at the protocol level or something but changing Bitcoins core rules requires near universal agreement, which is hard to get the economic incentives to keep it neutral are huge

[Localhostspeed]

I've also want to question about this, because it's unlikely the government will sit idly by and watch this happen naturally, and there will certainly be political pressure that could influence developers to push protocols that benefit them. But seeing Bitcoin grow and become so widely adopted, perhaps some investors never care about how this happens because they're focused on how investing can lead them to financial freedom. I also want to ask if this could impact Bitcoin's future trajectory, as more government intervention usually leads to bias, and they don't support decentralization.

What we need to know is that by the time the government pick interest in the affairs of Bitcoin, the story might change from the way it is from the beginning. For instance, mining business is dominated by the cooperate companies and individuals but by the time government step in, they have the money, they have the influence and the resources, they can decide to take over Bitcoin mining especially if it concern what the government want are not done by the community.

I don't like the idea of people wanting the government to invest into Bitcoin. If we are honest with each other, this government is going to like to take over everything and then gain control. There is no way the government is going to invest trillions of dollars into an asset and expect them not to have a single control of that market. We should see the things they are doing to Gold and other assets that are the biggest market worldwide, they have influence on their market.

[MusaPk]

Impatient friends should not be given advice, and just left alone, they always gonna find ways to blame you partially for the mistakes they are guaranteed to make, now or tomrrow

I truly cut out so much crap from my life just by focusing on DCA easy, and by deleting all my socials! And while still keeping a little bit in touch with everything on Bitcoin (and 1% on other coins)

If someone ask about Bitcoin then we must guide him to best of our knowledge but never try to convince people who have not asked for advice. If you go to your friends and they invest in Bitcoin on your suggestion then they will held you responsible for the losses they bear. Bitcoin is very unpredictable and it can go bearish for months, not everyone has the patience to wait that long. Our relations with family and friends will be at stake, if we ask them to put their money in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is the best choice for investment and it has proved over the years that return given by Bitcoin is way more then any other coin in the market.