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Author Topic: Can you really master sports betting, or is it still all luck?  (Read 1589 times)
JiiBs
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October 11, 2025, 07:45:00 PM
 #101

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

I think yeah, there is some level of knowing that is associated with sports betting and that has to do with FIFA rankings of teams, injury situation, head to hand and many others for data and history. These do help to get a better insight on possible results and you don’t find this in casino gambling, not at all. In all that, you still wouldn’t attribute it all to knowing because, there are days the underdogs will just choose to surprise you and it wouldn’t matter all the statistics you’ve got at hand.

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October 11, 2025, 07:45:29 PM
 #102

It's a pure lucky game, no expert or master in sport Betting, that's why you have to be careful when you're staking a bet. Stake with what you can afford to lose. Because you can't predict the outcome of a game always. Sometimes you can be lucky to have a good predictions then other days you will make wrong predictions. You can never be sure if a game, that's why you don't have to stake all you have in sport Betting. See it as pure luck. No one should claim to be master of it, even when you seem to be lucky for a while still be mindful of your stake so that you won't lose your winning.

If we have masters in sport Betting, many bet companies would've be bankrupt , but since it's unpredictable Venture everyone is just benefiting on the detriment of each other. No master no except, just keep playing till you make good profit or quite if your luck is low.

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October 11, 2025, 11:00:04 PM
 #103

There are people that call themselves sport traders or punters and it's always funny to me because they are always confident in their perfections...sports betting is mostly difficult to win but occasionally some people manage to get lucky and they just assume that their strategy would always put them in profit but that's no how betting works, you can end up being lucky it doesn't mean that it's possible to always win


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October 11, 2025, 11:19:34 PM
 #104

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?

We may develop skills while playing, but the consistency of winning in games will not always be the same. Maybe by analyzing various types of information such as: which team is playing well, how many players are injured in which team and what is the style of play of which player, it may be possible to win once by knowing these skills. But winning repeatedly may not be a matter of luck. Because it is a matter of uncertainty. Even if you always play according to your skills, accidents can happen at any time at the last minute, such as: a goal can be scored at any time or a good player can get injured, etc. So no matter how good a bettor you are, the equation will not always be the same.

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October 11, 2025, 11:20:09 PM
 #105

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.
Yes, sports betting can be learn the same way we learn crypto trading and poker. However, it may not be as easy to learn as you think due to the stress and time spent on analyzing the player's performance/potential in the current season.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?
It is possible to experience a situation where one bad call or injury will affect the game you bet on, but at least you did not blindly make your betting decision or rely on luck that is nowhere to be found in sports betting, and there's high chance of you winning, or secure fund by cashing out early since you have the required about what you're suppose to do when things dont work the right way.

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
It is never based on luck, but I am more of a slot game player than a sports betting player.

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October 11, 2025, 11:45:27 PM
 #106

There are people that call themselves sport traders or punters and it's always funny to me because they are always confident in their perfections...sports betting is mostly difficult to win but occasionally some people manage to get lucky and they just assume that their strategy would always put them in profit but that's no how betting works, you can end up being lucky it doesn't mean that it's possible to always win
I really like being confident, and that's good, but being overconfident isn't good here because feeling like a god just because of a stroke of luck you've never had before and/or a winning streak a few times, and yes, there are many people in gambling who feel that way and show it as if they are great. But a few days later, I reflected on it and asked people like that, and they said they lost because they were overconfident in gambling. I concluded that it started with overconfidence. Always winning in gambling is very difficult, or as they say, consistent wins are impossible in gambling. No one can do it, especially in games against machines like slots, which truly test luck.

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October 12, 2025, 08:03:51 AM
 #107

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
You can actually know learn about any sports by following up live games, understanding the league's structure and knowing the strength of each teams and their stats and so on and as each season pass by you still keep track of everything. Having knowledge about all these things will definitely improve your decision making in sports betting and also increase your chances of winning but nothing is fully guaranteed.

Players have different performance each match and their performance influence the performance of the team entirely, injuries other factors can change the outcome of the game so it's difficult to predict perfect despite having the knowledge.
You'll get better but still everything is based on luck.

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October 12, 2025, 08:23:48 AM
 #108

I really like being confident, and that's good, but being overconfident isn't good here because feeling like a god just because of a stroke of luck you've never had before and/or a winning streak a few times, and yes, there are many people in gambling who feel that way and show it as if they are great. But a few days later, I reflected on it and asked people like that, and they said they lost because they were overconfident in gambling.

In fact, a winning streak can only create a perceptual bias, making it seem as if our skills are improving, when in reality, we're just in a phase of positive variance. Once negative variance comes, all that confidence is shattered, and then the realization sets in that luck can't always be controlled.


I concluded that it started with overconfidence. Always winning in gambling is very difficult, or as they say, consistent wins are impossible in gambling. No one can do it, especially in games against machines like slots, which truly test luck.

We often see the phenomenon of people who have just won a few times immediately changing their playing style to higher bets, ignoring their bankroll, and refusing to listen to anyone's advice. Indirectly, overconfidence can also be a stumbling block for ourselves. Our thinking patterns are driven by emotions, no longer relying on logic and common sense when trying to adjust the game. For example, as you mentioned above, like slots or roulette, real life happens. If you dig deeper, there's no strategy that can make us win consecutively.
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October 12, 2025, 08:26:07 AM
 #109

I think its impossible to master sports betting, because each game is like a new test of luck, random «resets» and there are many more factors that you cant influence on. You cant train these things. Instead of mastering sports betting skill, you will become more familiar with sport, teams, players. The more bets you make dont mean you become better.

 
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October 12, 2025, 08:37:44 AM
 #110

The truth remains that sports betting is purely a thing of luck but one thing is paramount that I may put straight here experience has a way of helping a play just as many team in the football game can easily overcome or conquer tough game through experience so is a person better there are some prediction that with experience and one analysis can help you position your better in such a way that it will be 70 percent risk free and can't be compared with one without experience who just go into sports betting though since it's a thing of luck a person without experience can still win at first attempt but can't be as regular to one with experience, within the arm beat of assessment and eye witness including my personal experience failure of experience person on sport betting is always a close range of it prediction. Though still stand to be corrected from better opinion.

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October 12, 2025, 08:46:49 AM
 #111

The truth remains that sports betting is purely a thing of luck but one thing is paramount that I may put straight here experience has a way of helping a play just as many team in the football game can easily overcome or conquer tough game through experience so is a person better there are some prediction that with experience and one analysis can help you position your better in such a way that it will be 70 percent risk free and can't be compared with one without experience who just go into sports betting though since it's a thing of luck a person without experience can still win at first attempt but can't be as regular to one with experience, within the arm beat of assessment and eye witness including my personal experience failure of experience person on sport betting is always a close range of it prediction. Though still stand to be corrected from better opinion.
How do you say that in sports betting, 70% of winning depends on your skill and the rest depends on luck? Gambling is a test of luck, but I agree with you that some things can be predicted in the course of the game because not all teams can play equally and not all teams have the same reputation. We can normally think that the teams that win most of the time in different leagues are good teams and if a normal team plays against these teams, those teams have a higher winning possibility. However, it does not happen that a good team will always win the match, sometimes even good teams lose the game. So you cannot guarantee that there will be a 70% winning possibility in sports betting, but if you have good knowledge in sports, you can win a little more than others, I believe.

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October 12, 2025, 09:12:37 AM
 #112

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

I think yeah, there is some level of knowing that is associated with sports betting and that has to do with FIFA rankings of teams, injury situation, head to hand and many others for data and history. These do help to get a better insight on possible results and you don’t find this in casino gambling, not at all. In all that, you still wouldn’t attribute it all to knowing because, there are days the underdogs will just choose to surprise you and it wouldn’t matter all the statistics you’ve got at hand.

I also agree with you on this regards that you can master the art of sports betting to a reasonable extent. You might not always be right but you can be close to that. Even sports betting have lucks attached to it because football can be very unpredictable sometimes where you find A list clubs like Liverpool or Manchester City beaten by smaller teams.

But sometimes you will also be unlucky with your predictions when the teams disappoint you with poor performances. But majority of your judgments will be correct in sports betting unlike spins and poker games once you are an expert in analyzing games and you reduce your expectations and your greed. You will succeed in gambling sports betting enormously.

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October 12, 2025, 09:22:11 AM
 #113

Question on whether sports betting is more of skill or chance is answered in middle even though there will always be chance in short run due to sudden happening of events such as injuries or bad calls, serious gamblers consider it skill that is based on information management and mathematics. They say that proper money management and statistical value in form of player data and odds analysis are important thinking skills that reduce effect of bad luck in long run. Since single unexpected event can ruin success of bet, most casual bettors who do not bet regularly see result as just chance, whereas to those who bet with discipline in hundreds of games, victory is result of well calculated strategy that gives them advantage in long run.

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October 12, 2025, 09:30:38 AM
 #114

There are people that call themselves sport traders or punters and it's always funny to me because they are always confident in their perfections...sports betting is mostly difficult to win but occasionally some people manage to get lucky and they just assume that their strategy would always put them in profit but that's no how betting works, you can end up being lucky it doesn't mean that it's possible to always win


I agree with you. Sports betting depends on probability and risk management. If you are lucky, you can get good results sometimes. But it can never be considered as a continuous profit in the daily period. Those who understand sports very well and have a proper idea about risk control discipline often make relatively high profits by betting on sports. It does not happen all the time. Many times, due to some momentary mistakes, many big teams lose to relatively weak teams. Therefore, it all depends on luck. It can never be made a regular income.

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October 12, 2025, 09:37:15 AM
 #115

Question on whether sports betting is more of skill or chance is answered in middle even though there will always be chance in short run due to sudden happening of events such as injuries or bad calls, serious gamblers consider it skill that is based on information management and mathematics. They say that proper money management and statistical value in form of player data and odds analysis are important thinking skills that reduce effect of bad luck in long run. Since single unexpected event can ruin success of bet, most casual bettors who do not bet regularly see result as just chance, whereas to those who bet with discipline in hundreds of games, victory is result of well calculated strategy that gives them advantage in long run.

Gaming experience definitely plays a decisive role, and luck might play a role in other games where your betting skill isn't as important, but I don't believe in luck enough to trust it with my money. You've well described everything that will help a player win in betting, or at least avoid big losses. Sometimes, this is even more important, because I realized that a bettor first needs to learn how to avoid losing a lot of money and only then think about increasing their bankroll and making money through betting.

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October 12, 2025, 10:14:51 AM
 #116

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
Sports betting isn't only about luck, skills are also useful in determining betting success. The longer you bet, the better you develop your skill level, when to manage risk and how to pick your odds despite the risk to that particular event.

Yes, sports betting can be mastered but not perfected, skill + luck+ experience (mastery).

Not just luck, I have had risky wins with my years of experience than i did when i started gambling, someone depending solely on luck won't be successful as another that utilizes both luck and skill with several years of experience.
Skill does play a big role in sports betting. Good knowledge and skill can increase your chances of winning. But anything can happen in gambling. Predictions based on good knowledge can be wrong because no one knows for sure what will happen next. However, the odds are indeed higher in this case. Unlike slot games, which rely purely on luck, I think the odds of winning are also lower, so it's highly unlikely that someone playing slot games will be as successful as someone with good knowledge and experience.

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October 12, 2025, 11:46:33 AM
 #117

Sports betting requires both skill and luck. Many people think that if decisions are made based on logic, game statistics, team form, injury updates, analysis, then it is much more effective. However, many people think that analysis alone does not guarantee effectiveness because even a last-minute goal can ruin all plans. So sports betting is a mixed game where skill and the possibility of good decisions can be increased but the outcome remains under the control of luck. So I think it cannot be called complete gambling and it is also not realistic to consider it a game of complete skill.

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October 12, 2025, 11:57:01 AM
 #118

I really like being confident, and that's good, but being overconfident isn't good here because feeling like a god just because of a stroke of luck you've never had before and/or a winning streak a few times, and yes, there are many people in gambling who feel that way and show it as if they are great. But a few days later, I reflected on it and asked people like that, and they said they lost because they were overconfident in gambling.

In fact, a winning streak can only create a perceptual bias, making it seem as if our skills are improving, when in reality, we're just in a phase of positive variance. Once negative variance comes, all that confidence is shattered, and then the realization sets in that luck can't always be controlled.
Unconsciousness never comes quickly. They go through a phase where they think they'll try again and again, until they reach the point of chasing losses. When they feel the pain of their unfulfilled hopes, they'll think they won't always be lucky, and that's where they become addicted to gambling.

I concluded that it started with overconfidence. Always winning in gambling is very difficult, or as they say, consistent wins are impossible in gambling. No one can do it, especially in games against machines like slots, which truly test luck.

We often see the phenomenon of people who have just won a few times immediately changing their playing style to higher bets, ignoring their bankroll, and refusing to listen to anyone's advice. Indirectly, overconfidence can also be a stumbling block for ourselves. Our thinking patterns are driven by emotions, no longer relying on logic and common sense when trying to adjust the game. For example, as you mentioned above, like slots or roulette, real life happens. If you dig deeper, there's no strategy that can make us win consecutively.

Yes, that's true. There's no strategy for winning consistently, unless they cheat the casino where they play.

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October 12, 2025, 12:04:54 PM
 #119

Sports betting requires both skill and luck. Many people think that if decisions are made based on logic, game statistics, team form, injury updates, analysis, then it is much more effective. However, many people think that analysis alone does not guarantee effectiveness because even a last-minute goal can ruin all plans. So sports betting is a mixed game where skill and the possibility of good decisions can be increased but the outcome remains under the control of luck. So I think it cannot be called complete gambling and it is also not realistic to consider it a game of complete skill.
Sports bet is a mixture of skill and luck, although a good and experienced bettor understands that it takes more than skills to win, no matter how skillful you are luck still plays a major role for you to win. But a bettor that doesn't have any skills to analyze games can be lucky and win so luck plays a significant role to determine wins in sports bet. On a scale the chances of a bettor with skills to win is higher than a bettor that is depending only on luck to win. No matter the effectiveness of your correct analysis of previous games a little mistake can alter your perfect predictions so don't totally depend on your skills to believe that it is a sure win for you.

 
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October 13, 2025, 11:50:32 AM
 #120

yeah imo, sports betting is not entirely luck there is a lot of skill &  strategy. Professional bettors always look for value bets that have a higher probability of winning than the bookmaker. ...
It's true that sports betting unlike slot machine games are not entirely luck based you would have to do your own homework to aid your luck to win from a bet.  For example, you must have knowledge of the league and the teams in top-flight in that league for the season, and you might wanna dig into the form of two opposing teams in a pre-match and their injuries update from key players etc. although these are 100% guarantee to win a bet but they aid most times.

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