Mabsark
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March 09, 2014, 04:33:34 PM |
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Right now they are mining 50TH or so? That's at 330mH chips. I read somewhere (correct me if wrong) that new chips are 12.8GH each.
So that's 38.7x improvement in speed for gen3. Using the same facilities from the 50TH they could get 2PH of mining revenue (if power was the same). + additional from franchises.
Then chip sales.
All speculation.
not how it works. The old chips were 130nm. the new are 40nm. (roughly 1/3rd = 9x the hashrate/power efficiency) If the chip had the exact same footprint and power it would be about 2.5-3GH/s Most likely the new chip will be larger and draw more power in order to attain the 12+Gh of the new chips, roughly 4x the size of the gen1 chips Gen 1 chips were 6mm x 6mmGen 3 chips will be 8mm x 8mm, with 7mm x 7mm being possible
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He1l_Q
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March 09, 2014, 05:50:15 PM |
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according to my source:
Manufactures will get sample chips later this month.
If everything goes well, mass production will be in May.
MAY ?! omg ... delayed again  we were told multiple times that "everything is still on track, mass delivery in March" from board, from pumpkin, this is info from 1 month ago, 2 weeks ago and last week ! Now another 2 months delay for Christ's sake  unbelievable ... really unbelievable ... Calm down.... who are these sources? We should have an update from friedcat any day. a head of a new miner manufacturer
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bitcoin.newsfeed
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March 09, 2014, 09:51:54 PM Last edit: March 09, 2014, 10:22:09 PM by bitcoin.newsfeed |
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a head of a new miner manufacturer
so you as future manufacturer of mining hardware (with gen3 AM chips) got an update from ASICminer, that you should expect sample chips later this month, correct? so your mass production of mining hw starts in May (if everything goes well™) ? not AM gen3 mass chips production, correct? AM gen3 chips mass deployment was announced and multiple times confirmed to March date.
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... Question Everything, Believe Nothing ...
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Elokane
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March 09, 2014, 10:12:05 PM |
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Is there any reason what so ever to believe Gen 3 hasn't failed, unlike 2?
this?! News from a Chinese miner forum:http://cybtc.com/article-655-1.html
Rockxie, who is the exclusive distributer for Asicminer's mining machine in China, announced that he will produce his own miners. The sample miner will be availble in April and the chips would be AM's Gen3.
specification: AM gen3 chips, 40nm, 1TH, 500W.
Are you angry with me/my questions?  Can you explain how this confirms anything?
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necro_nemesis
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March 09, 2014, 11:47:28 PM |
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News from a Chinese miner forum:http://cybtc.com/article-655-1.html
Rockxie, who is the exclusive distributer for Asicminer's mining machine in China, announced that he will produce his own miners. The sample miner will be availble in April and the chips would be AM's Gen3.
specification: AM gen3 chips, 40nm, 1TH, 500W.
Indicates 0.5 W/GHs and that the tapeout was successful? Am I missing something? Interesting.. "另外彩云比特从烤猫处了解到第一批三代芯片已经销售完毕。" tanslate: BTW,FC told CYbtc that the 1st bach of Gen 3 chips has been sold out. I believe in the absence of information much has been interpreted with respect to ASIC release based on the previous posts which IMHO are open to various interpretations and are inconclusive in determining the general picture on the ASIC delivery issue.
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necro_nemesis
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March 09, 2014, 11:53:20 PM |
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I believe in the absence of information much has been interpreted with respect to ASIC release based on the previous posts which are open to various interpretations and are inconclusive in determining the general picture on the ASIC delivery issue.
Are you a lawyer?  tl;dr Much Speculation. Nah. I'd make more listening to other arguments. 
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He1l_Q
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March 10, 2014, 04:22:13 AM |
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a head of a new miner manufacturer
so you as future manufacturer of mining hardware (with gen3 AM chips) got an update from ASICminer, that you should expect sample chips later this month, correct? so your mass production of mining hw starts in May (if everything goes well™) ? not AM gen3 mass chips production, correct? AM gen3 chips mass deployment was announced and multiple times confirmed to March date. I heard these from a head of a miner manufacturer. He claimed that he had pre-ordered wafers (not chips) from AM directly. I personally GUESS mass production of gen3 am chips will be in the next month, but it is not confirmed.
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He1l_Q
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March 10, 2014, 04:28:40 AM |
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News from a Chinese miner forum:http://cybtc.com/article-655-1.html
Rockxie, who is the exclusive distributer for Asicminer's mining machine in China, announced that he will produce his own miners. The sample miner will be availble in April and the chips would be AM's Gen3.
specification: AM gen3 chips, 40nm, 1TH, 500W.
Indicates 0.5 W/GHs and that the tapeout was successful? Am I missing something? Interesting.. "另外彩云比特从烤猫处了解到第一批三代芯片已经销售完毕。" tanslate: BTW,FC told CYbtc that the 1st bach of Gen 3 chips has been sold out. I believe in the absence of information much has been interpreted with respect to ASIC release based on the previous posts which IMHO are open to various interpretations and are inconclusive in determining the general picture on the ASIC delivery issue. I believe what they want to say is that the first batch of gen3 SAMPLE chips (or wafers) have been pre-orderd.
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dhenson
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March 10, 2014, 08:56:09 AM |
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jimmothy
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March 10, 2014, 08:59:06 AM |
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8 million dollars a month is 2.5 PH at current difficulty. Could be cex.io Edit: Says over 1PH @ 1.4MW so it must be bitfurys. Edit 2: "Dave Carlson the Founder of MegaBigPower"
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necro_nemesis
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March 10, 2014, 09:13:34 AM Last edit: March 10, 2014, 09:25:21 AM by necro_nemesis |
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Don't know but I find it interesting this notion that mining "Has become too difficult". IMHO difficulty is all relative and ASIC 's are still in the process of being optimized in cost and performance. What lies ahead is capitalizing on those efficiencies which appear to be substantial in this latest round of ASIC' s. Ref the video: I don't know if I really want to be smiling invested in a boatload of mining systems based on older inefficient ASIC 's at the present moment.
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aahzmundus
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March 10, 2014, 09:26:27 AM |
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I have been meaning to research the reason, but Washington state has really REALLY cheep electricity. Even with air cooling he can run those things far longer then most people could afford to. I was considering trying to fund a mining farm in the area specifically to take in "outdated" hardware pennies on the gigahash, and then run them with the cheep electricity. Another place I can see this happening is Iceland. It will be interesting to see where mining power ends up geographically. In china close to production? Close to major internet backbones to race orphans? Africa for subsidies? Iceland for power cost? Cyprus for a bitcoin friendly government? When your mining farm fits in a shipping container, maybe you just leave them on a ship and sail around as needed! 
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necro_nemesis
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March 10, 2014, 09:38:39 AM |
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I suspect in time when the ASIC makers find it virtually impossible to outdo each other they will compete on the margins to manufacture alone and the older stuff will be landfill.
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Teodor
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March 10, 2014, 10:51:57 AM |
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The difficulty increases so much so that when people buy these things they are just good for nothing but put some eggs and a hen on them to make chikens! Not to make bitcoins!  Hope these guys will suprise us with something that NO ONE in the market did untul now !! To create a real mining rig that can beat the difficulty and make real ROI !!
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necro_nemesis
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March 10, 2014, 11:11:29 AM Last edit: March 10, 2014, 12:57:36 PM by necro_nemesis |
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There's no beating the difficulty. It's about contributing to it in the most cost effective way thereby making others contributions fruitless.
Bitcoin is becoming a rich man's game where only those willing to wager will have a chance. If any slowing of the difficulty is seen in the short term it's due to the cost of admission driving the little guy out. If the price of BTC remains high I suspect difficulty will begin to look like spikes as the large operations required to have a competitive edge come online. Building these systems takes time and won't necessarily reflect the steady outpouring of smaller systems.
The sensible money IMHO is to join in on one of these giant's enterprise.
Edit: The "sensible money" I use loosely when we are talking about bitcoin after all. If you have a mattress you might want to look at that option as being more sensible.
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BKM
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March 10, 2014, 07:33:16 PM |
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Thats Dave from Bitfury USA.
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Endlessa
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March 10, 2014, 08:51:02 PM |
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....
If any slowing of the difficulty is seen in the short term it's due to the cost of admission driving the little guy out.
.....
It's a matter of the production limits of the current manufacturers and the unknown effect/quantity of hardware yet to be delivered.
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klondike_bar
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ASIC Wannabe
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March 10, 2014, 10:40:45 PM |
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There's no beating the difficulty. It's about contributing to it in the most cost effective way thereby making others contributions fruitless.
Bitcoin is becoming a rich man's game where only those willing to wager will have a chance. If any slowing of the difficulty is seen in the short term it's due to the cost of admission driving the little guy out. If the price of BTC remains high I suspect difficulty will begin to look like spikes as the large operations required to have a competitive edge come online. Building these systems takes time and won't necessarily reflect the steady outpouring of smaller systems.
The sensible money IMHO is to join in on one of these giant's enterprise.
Edit: The "sensible money" I use loosely when we are talking about bitcoin after all. If you have a mattress you might want to look at that option as being more sensible.
+1 I am scaling from 4kW to a 20kW location over the coming weeks at $0.135/kwh, with the goal being to then re-structure again and make the move to a full-fledged (100kW+) location in Quebec where power is about $0.10/kwh in late 2014 or early 2015. That's when you start looking at a million-dollar investment
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romerun
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Bitcoin is new, makes sense to hodl.
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March 10, 2014, 10:52:48 PM |
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I hear bitfury selling dev batch of their version 2 chip, few weeks ago, looks like they're going to come out before FC gen 3
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