The mine has consistently performed below the expected hashrate.
That's not true. 500TH/28000TH*6*24*25=64.2BTC/day, or ~2.5 blocks/day.
So if we do 3 blocks/day we do better than the expected:
02-20 1
02-19 2
02-18 1
02-17 2
02-16 5
02-15 2
02-14 3
02-13 2
On average 18/8=2.25block/day.
Two days were better than expected, so your statement of consistently below the expected is wrong.
^what? Your logic is not very solid.
He was stating that the average hashrates (3 and 7 day periods) are both trailing under 500GH, closer to 430-450GH.
According to YOUR math, Its actually >2.568 blocks/day that should be found, especially if the mine actually hit the 1GH/share mentioned in a recent update (in which case, closer to 2.59 blocks/day - but lets use your numbers....
ACTUAL/EXPECTED = 2.25/2.568 =
87.62% over the past 18 days, the 500TH mine has been operating at 13% less than the expectations - this is pretty massive seperation