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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26920244 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
LOBSTER
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January 03, 2015, 10:23:45 PM

No, not really. It's basically a feedback loop. unprofitable miners will turn off slowly and gradually the hashrate will follow the price, though there can be considerable lag.

 Grin hum hum ... ?

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty +15% since friday ... POWAAAAA

Difficulty up, price down. GG!
ivyleague1985
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January 03, 2015, 10:25:28 PM

No, not really. It's basically a feedback loop. unprofitable miners will turn off slowly and gradually the hashrate will follow the price, though there can be considerable lag.

 Grin hum hum ... ?

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty +15% since friday ... POWAAAAA

Difficulty up, price down. GG!

GG = Good Game? Or what?
LOBSTER
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January 03, 2015, 10:26:42 PM

No, not really. It's basically a feedback loop. unprofitable miners will turn off slowly and gradually the hashrate will follow the price, though there can be considerable lag.

 Grin hum hum ... ?

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty +15% since friday ... POWAAAAA

Difficulty up, price down. GG!

GG =Good Game? Or what?

Yes. Good game. Game is over. I still support the Bitcoin but it's the end of that astronomic prices.
samsonn25
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January 03, 2015, 10:27:13 PM

Can somebody share with all of us, at what price level does BTC becomes unprofitable for the miners and they start shutting off they rigs and BTC collapses completely? Is this even possible?

At current difficulty, on 20 nm process and 10 cents per kWh, I'd guess around 200, maybe a little less...

with free electricity around 0.1 dollars i guess

There is overhead such as rent labour cost of miners and upkeep.

The reality is that btc mining is not profitable if the network difficulty and price stay at its present rates.

I have updated the Hardware return vs buying bitcoin spreadsheet.  The link is in my posted history if you want a copy.

I have a feeling that one reason for the low volume volitility may be  due to coin-swap and associated fallout.


If it is not profitable, why don't miners unite each other and ration the supply? Miners behave like faithless dumpers that adds fuel to the fire. Unbelievable.

Probably because the mining equipment and electricity is not free and they need to make some money back from the capital investment??  I would guess this is part of it.

And even if equipment and electricity was FREE some miners would still be gambling that seeing the price drop they would want to sell some before it goes lower and their stash of btc becomes lower in value.
LOBSTER
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January 03, 2015, 10:29:13 PM

Can somebody share with all of us, at what price level does BTC becomes unprofitable for the miners and they start shutting off they rigs and BTC collapses completely? Is this even possible?

At current difficulty, on 20 nm process and 10 cents per kWh, I'd guess around 200, maybe a little less...

with free electricity around 0.1 dollars i guess

There is overhead such as rent labour cost of miners and upkeep.

The reality is that btc mining is not profitable if the network difficulty and price stay at its present rates.

I have updated the Hardware return vs buying bitcoin spreadsheet.  The link is in my posted history if you want a copy.

I have a feeling that one reason for the low volume volitility may be  due to coin-swap and associated fallout.


If it is not profitable, why don't miners unite each other and ration the supply? Miners behave like faithless dumpers that adds fuel to the fire. Unbelievable.

Probably because the mining equipment and electricity is not free and they need to make some money back from the capital investment??  I would guess this is part of it.

And even if equipment and electricity was FREE some miners would still be gambling that seeing the price drop they would want to sell some before it goes lower and their stash of btc becomes lower in value.

I see a huge wave of miner sales @ eBay coming. Crazy...the price makes me feeling sick Sad
samsonn25
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January 03, 2015, 10:31:01 PM

Can somebody share with all of us, at what price level does BTC becomes unprofitable for the miners and they start shutting off they rigs and BTC collapses completely? Is this even possible?

At current difficulty, on 20 nm process and 10 cents per kWh, I'd guess around 200, maybe a little less...

with free electricity around 0.1 dollars i guess


This is true.  Assuming no capital equipment cost.

Unfortunately 99.999% of miners dont have free electricity.
LOBSTER
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January 03, 2015, 10:32:32 PM

Can somebody share with all of us, at what price level does BTC becomes unprofitable for the miners and they start shutting off they rigs and BTC collapses completely? Is this even possible?

At current difficulty, on 20 nm process and 10 cents per kWh, I'd guess around 200, maybe a little less...

with free electricity around 0.1 dollars i guess


This is true.  Assuming no capital equipment cost.

Unfortunately 99.999% of miners dont have free electricity.

Besides the evil ones who are leeching free electricity from their parents Cheesy
ivyleague1985
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January 03, 2015, 10:32:59 PM

Can somebody share with all of us, at what price level does BTC becomes unprofitable for the miners and they start shutting off they rigs and BTC collapses completely? Is this even possible?

At current difficulty, on 20 nm process and 10 cents per kWh, I'd guess around 200, maybe a little less...

with free electricity around 0.1 dollars i guess

There is overhead such as rent labour cost of miners and upkeep.

The reality is that btc mining is not profitable if the network difficulty and price stay at its present rates.

I have updated the Hardware return vs buying bitcoin spreadsheet.  The link is in my posted history if you want a copy.

I have a feeling that one reason for the low volume volitility may be  due to coin-swap and associated fallout.


If it is not profitable, why don't miners unite each other and ration the supply? Miners behave like faithless dumpers that adds fuel to the fire. Unbelievable.

Probably because the mining equipment and electricity is not free and they need to make some money back from the capital investment??  I would guess this is part of it.

And even if equipment and electricity was FREE some miners would still be gambling that seeing the price drop they would want to sell some before it goes lower and their stash of btc becomes lower in value.

I see a huge wave of miner sales @ eBay coming. Crazy...the price makes me feeling sick Sad

If the price drops like this, mining equipment will be worthless on eBay as well. And don't forget eBay charges a 10% final value fee that further rips miners off.
samsonn25
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January 03, 2015, 10:33:57 PM

Keep in mind this price drop is when the Chinese are still sleeping. Just wait till the commies wake up in a few hours. I think today is the day we test $250

The Chinese pushed it from 50 to 1100, they can bring it back down just as fast
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January 03, 2015, 10:35:33 PM

shmadz
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January 03, 2015, 10:35:46 PM

No, not really. It's basically a feedback loop. unprofitable miners will turn off slowly and gradually the hashrate will follow the price, though there can be considerable lag.

 Grin hum hum ... ?

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty +15% since friday ... POWAAAAA

Yeah, I'd suspect there are a lot of newly ordered, high efficiency miners coming on line and because of sunk cost many miners will continue to mine at a loss, for a while, until lower efficiency miners will be forced to shut down.

Here's a thought experiment:

What happens if some crypto with superior features (say Monero just for the purposes of this experiment) starts to gain market share to the point where it becomes more profitable to mine (probably already happening) - but here's the interesting part...

What if that coin decides to allow for some kind of dual-mining algorithm,  say perhaps a hard fork to allow the current mining scheme to continue, but also add sha-256 to be mined on the same node, almost like merge mining, to allow for some bonus distribution of coins?

Just a hypothetical situation, but something like this is just one more way to attack the security of the Blockchain...

(Ok, maybe cheap coins are making me a little hysterical, but still, the hash rate protects the network, but in effect the price protects or ensures the hash rate. Just something to think about)
LOBSTER
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January 03, 2015, 10:36:20 PM

Keep in mind this price drop is when the Chinese are still sleeping. Just wait till the commies wake up in a few hours. I think today is the day we test $250

The Chinese pushed it from 50 to 1100, they can bring it back down just as fast

I don't think that the Chinese are dropping the price so intensive. The problem are the greedy traders + the panic sells now.
samsonn25
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January 03, 2015, 10:38:50 PM

Keep in mind this price drop is when the Chinese are still sleeping. Just wait till the commies wake up in a few hours. I think today is the day we test $250

The Chinese pushed it from 50 to 1100, they can bring it back down just as fast

I don't think that the Chinese are dropping the price so intensive. The problem are the greedy traders + the panic sells now.

Could be.  And who profits the most the exchanges mostly.

Is a likely scenario, the operators of the casino only want to make juice they dont really care about how high or how low the price lands.  As long as there are enough gamblers playing.   Uhhh what a society
esse83
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January 03, 2015, 10:39:03 PM

BTC360 to 1650 at BTCCHINA, still it has almost BTC130k volume today Cheesy Bobby, bobby! You silly man. I love you.
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January 03, 2015, 10:40:13 PM

BTC360 to 1650 at BTCCHINA, still it has almost BTC130k volume today Cheesy Bobby, bobby! You silly man. I love you.

That volume is crazy. Some days before we had such a small volume and now that.
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January 03, 2015, 10:40:43 PM

China new low.
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January 03, 2015, 10:42:40 PM



 Cry Cry Cry
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January 03, 2015, 10:43:07 PM


So many high profile attacks these past few weeks involving Sony, and outages with Xbox Live, etc.

People hear bitcoin and "digital" currency. Having a website go down for a few hours is one thing... but nobody is going to be crazy enough to entrust the protocol to their savings. And the fact that value has been dropping all year doesn't help.

It's really incredible that we're still over $300 at this point. It's not going to last for long.

I saved your quote from yesterday saying we'll be sub 300 by the end of the week.
Going to look a bit stupid aren't you.


Let me guess, I was just "lucky" again?  Roll Eyes
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January 03, 2015, 10:44:06 PM

So many high profile attacks these past few weeks involving Sony, and outages with Xbox Live, etc.

People hear bitcoin and "digital" currency. Having a website go down for a few hours is one thing... but nobody is going to be crazy enough to entrust the protocol to their savings. And the fact that value has been dropping all year doesn't help.

It's really incredible that we're still over $300 at this point. It's not going to last for long.

I saved your quote from yesterday saying we'll be sub 300 by the end of the week.
Going to look a bit stupid aren't you.


Let me guess, I was just "lucky" again?  Roll Eyes

Yes, just lucky Cheesy
samsonn25
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January 03, 2015, 10:44:30 PM

Price wants to test 260-270
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