Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[blacky90]

are we near the bottom?

[Rosewater Foundation]

are we near the bottom?

I hope so. Tera2 deserves to retire in peace.

[bones261]

My remains will probably only be deemed fit for pet food.

Fish cat food. Yummy!
I liked your fishy avatars better. Much better.

OK, I'll change it back. 

[bluebits]

Im probably leaving the market within a week in my final distribution. AMA

Exchange risk was always rightly a huge factor in evaluating the return on trading the during the 11 and 13 cycles. How much risk are you assigning to Gemini, Coinbase, Kraken type of exchanges now?

A crash to 5k seems like the most certain trade you are advocating right now. Since you will have money tied up on exchanges anyway why not short on Kraken?

Your bitphysics model predicts the price will mimic 2014, like a bouncing ball? It so this next bounce would be like the current glade, with a high volume spike somewhere around <5k showing the reversal, a failed climb back to 10k, and then final bleed out to 3k (ideally)?

Do you expect your trading strategy (buying volume breakouts from dips) to continue working if another cycle appears in 202x?

What % of traders have the ability to derive alpha from first principles in crypto? How does this compare to stocks?

Is your ideal play for the next 3 years to find promising blocktree (radix?) projects and load in during strong overall crypto cynicism?

What signals will give clues about whether another BTC cycle in line with the past is starting vs BTC being finished and any pumps being limited?

[realr0ach]

World War J has begun:  PUTIN HAS NAMED THE JEW

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-10/putin-megyn-kelly-maybe-us-paid-hackers-maybe-they-were-ukrainians-or-jews

[jojo69]

Yes, it was Lyme's, she has been very open about that.

TERA, you will be sorely missed here, your sober and considered contrarian posts bring genuine value to the discussion.  We will all be poorer without them.

I have several friends that struggle with the plague from Plum Island.  I know what a frustrating ailment it can be.

Take care of yourself.  Do what you have to do.

Be safe.

[rafanadal]

World War J has begun:  PUTIN HAS NAMED THE JEW

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-10/putin-megyn-kelly-maybe-us-paid-hackers-maybe-they-were-ukrainians-or-jews

Putin himself is a jew who pretends to be gentile, don't fall for his tricks

[HI-TEC99]

Such wisdom

much reward

[illinest]

The market's looking pretty dismal. I guess I got pretty used to every long working out over the past 2-3 years. Now I'm getting chopped to pieces. I guess there's nothing to do but wait for some clear buy signals at this point. No knife catching, risk off....

[yonton]

The market's looking pretty dismal. I guess I got pretty used to every long working out over the past 2-3 years. Now I'm getting chopped to pieces. I guess there's nothing to do but wait for some clear buy signals at this point. No knife catching, risk off....

Big trouble lil china

[rafanadal]

(((Putin))) wants to enslave eastern Europe, under a neosoviet system, it has been his dream from the begining.

[d_eddie]

Im probably leaving the market within a week in my final distribution. AMA

Exchange risk was always rightly a huge factor in evaluating the return on trading the during the 11 and 13 cycles. How much risk are you assigning to Gemini, Coinbase, Kraken type of exchanges now?

A crash to 5k seems like the most certain trade you are advocating right now. Since you will have money tied up on exchanges anyway why not short on Kraken?

Your bitphysics model predicts the price will mimic 2014, like a bouncing ball? It so this next bounce would be like the current glade, with a high volume spike somewhere around <5k showing the reversal, a failed climb back to 10k, and then final bleed out to 3k (ideally)?

Do you expect your trading strategy (buying volume breakouts from dips) to continue working if another cycle appears in 202x?

What % of traders have the ability to derive alpha from first principles in crypto? How does this compare to stocks?

Is your ideal play for the next 3 years to find promising blocktree (radix?) projects and load in during strong overall crypto cynicism?

What signals will give clues about whether another BTC cycle in line with the past is starting vs BTC being finished and any pumps being limited?

Good questions. I would ask a few of them myself. A few, mind you. She said ask me anything, but you asked her everything

[JayJuanGee]

are we near the bottom?

Yes... "near"

[d_eddie]

(((Putin))) wants to enslave eastern Europe, under a neosoviet system, it has been his dream from the begining.

Eastern Europe still remembers too well. Ready to fall over to Uncle Sam if overdone. So does Finland.

[JayJuanGee]

The market's looking pretty dismal. I guess I got pretty used to every long working out over the past 2-3 years. Now I'm getting chopped to pieces. I guess there's nothing to do but wait for some clear buy signals at this point. No knife catching, risk off....

Means that currently you are in decent profits, correct?

[Searing]

I'm riding it down....at least the BTC hoard....I'll use what I need from the Alts, as long as possible, if it is all 'going tulips'...

but, again I expect this market to be down or sideways this year...the trustee of the mt. gox is dumping on the exchange..if he is smart

he is telling the wife, WHEN, he is doing so, to play the market...500 million down since Nov 2017 I heard, only 1.5 billion left to liguidate

again, this could go on all year long..so will ride it out for the BTC and flush my alts to live off of..if I have to...obviously, it it is this bad

scrypt-pow mining (and others) but mine will likely be wrap'd up by August 2018...w/o new equipment...

so worse comes to worse....I retire 3 years early on the Alts and Mining ...and have a BTC hoard, I can frame the paper wallets on the wall

anyway, reply to if it all goes south

[Rosewater Foundation]

Feels like we're all saying our goodbyes. This might be as somber as it gets.

[ssmc2]

I love the smell of capitulation in the morning. Bottom incoming.

[bones261]

Feels like we're all saying our goodbyes. This might be as somber as it gets.

I had to put down a guinea pig today. So, I've already done enough goodbyes for now. Maybe we can switch the tone from goodbyes to good buys.  

[illinest]

Big trouble lil china

One of the best 80s movies of all time. Anyone who hasn't seen that shit should torrent it right now.

The market's looking pretty dismal. I guess I got pretty used to every long working out over the past 2-3 years. Now I'm getting chopped to pieces. I guess there's nothing to do but wait for some clear buy signals at this point. No knife catching, risk off....

Means that currently you are in decent profits, correct?

For the past few years. Definitely.

In 2018? Hehe, not so much. Eating drawdowns I haven't seen in a long time and just getting stopped out too much. That failed inverse head-and-shoulders last week didn't help.