Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ImThour]

If I am allowed to post my prediction, BTC will go as down as 3500 USD within a week. Buying after that will be a good investment if you are into it for years.

[Wilhelm]

Panic wave seems over
Bitcoin is climbing back to it's true value
Bitcoin survived a pandemic and proves itself again
Anyone who bought the dip *congrats*

Up to $100k

[kurious]

Have skin in the game at least?

Too late now. I'll have my skin by starting DCA'ing again. It will be a lot smaller skin though. Can't take 2btc loss.

That drop to 4000 blew my mind last night.

It is fine really. I don't feel so bad now. The only thing pains me the most I'll probably never get to the rich levels I was dreaming for all these years. I'll just be another low-mid earner.

My net worth is down to 125k now. It was 160k few months ago. I'll find other investments. I'll invest in bitcoin too but definitely not that much. Maybe I'll try real estate. Not sure.

FWIW, I lost more than that in Gox back in the day, and compared to less than a month ago, I am 'down' way more than 125K.

But glad you have found some perspective and good luck.

[aesma]

I regretted not having bought last time BTC went below 5000€ so this time I had an order ready and bought 1 BTC @ 4000€

It's already back up more than 1300€ from there !

Should have had a bigger order :p

[wavessurfing]

Italy has a 3.5% mortality rate with one of the best health systems in the world.  It’s not the fucking flu.

Dude. 15113 infected, 1016 deaths, 1258 recovered. That's either 45% or 27% depending how you prefer to calculate it. Yeah, not the fucking flu.

I agree with HM that its not a common thing atm, I think it will be a common thing in the future and people will be waaaaaay more relaxed when a vaccin is out for easy buying

Viruses mutate. An effective vaccine is highly unlikely.

If the idea is there already that there is a vaccin is already enough, alright later on the virus will mutate, but now when it’s contained they will keep working for new vaccines and not like when SARS was contained to stop working on it...

Problem is that the powerful players ('big pharma') are not the slightest interested in developing a vaccine due to lacking financial incentives. Why bother developing a vaccine to be sold for a few bucks the shot when you can sell cancer therapies that cost mio's each shot. All the successful big players sold their vaccine research years ago as no good profit is expected there.

Also by the time they would come up with a vaccine, the flu could be gone already (at least in public perception) and the money spent for nothing as once the fear and panic wears off nobody will buy that vaccine. Other diseases are more certain to stay and give good profits (i.e. cancer, alzheimer etc.).
................

i strongly disagree with you.
it is not the role of pharma industry to have an interest in developing something, they have strong incentives, but also strong controls and high costs, from government to put a drug or vaccine on the market.
They have to earn money to remain alive and progressive.
if they find an opportunity (a potential market) they will compete and develop.
rather it shows a failure of public health in most govs, especially western ones .
In 2003-2004 in france,sarkosy got afraid by a potential pandemy coming from china through his councilors, and research was done, with high expenses, and at least public health servants received the first mandatory coronavirus vaccine.
however that pandemy did not occur, and sarkosy was accused  for useless expenses.
we have no news for this vaccine, it was abandoned without publicity.
then there were Sars and Mers who were new deadly coronavirus diseases, but pandemy did not occur, and recently an american searcher said to the congress that he had after sars an mers a potential vaccine ready, but could not find any financial support to develop it ; he is not the only one probably.
so the present pandemy is at least the fourth potential one, from the same virus family, event if differences may exist as in flu epidemies.
no gov and no collection of govs of any sort has made the necessary financial incitation to lessen this danger, and warrant research and potential market use.

[kurious]

Asian markets dipped harshly overnight, but the UK FTSE has actually gone up today.

NYC will probably follow, so the 'rout' is probably calming on the FIAT markets (for now). I am not making predictions, but I will be extremely surprised if we go anywhere near sub $4k again now.   

[serveria.com]

Up 19% since the bottom (Bitcoinwisdom).  It sucks to be mindrust now

[mindrust]

Up 19% since the bottom (Bitcoinwisdom).   It sucks to be mindrust now

I never thought I would be the one who sodl the bottom but it happened. It is over now. Last night the world was coming to an end, Now it is going to 100k.  

This thing is volatile. I couldn't handle it.

Maybe If I took profits when it was above 10k It would have been another story.

I also wouldn't sell if that was a no reason dip but it wasn't. It was a global meltdown. Excuses won't change a thing...

[El duderino_]

holy crap, I can't believe I slept through that drop (without putting up the proper limit orders   ).

I just didn't imagine it could go that deep that fast.

Why do the magnificent dumps always happen when I’m asleep?

Life is unfair 

I know right?

From now on, I will be and keep living with the thought, all is possible in Corn

[El duderino_]

Panic wave seems over
Bitcoin is climbing back to it's true value
Bitcoin survived a pandemic and proves itself again
Anyone who bought the dip *congrats*

Up to $100k

5-dig would be it’s normal valuation for theses period of time....  gogogogo

Also like with the bcash fork and precious halving, didn’t we have had a drop as well.... a huge one?
Those periods 2500 to 1600 ish kinda similar all just looks bigger at higher prices....

[dragonvslinux]

Feeling neutral today, neither bullish nor bearish. Starting to see some relevance in the charts now, for anyone who finds more philosophical-based TA relevant (feel free to tell me I'm a moron). Looking at the breakdown from around $8K to the new lows of $3.85K, the 50% retracement is around $5.9K, with the VPVR point of (local) control at $6K, this is the current resistance and "dead cat bounce" sell levels, with the volume and fib retracement confluence likely to act as strong resistance:



While retracing 50% of the capitulation is expected, the manner in which this happened (quicker than the 50% drop), gives me a lot of hope. Closing the day back above $6K would make the Weekly candle bullish (longer wick at the bottom than the candle body). Of course, a lot could happen over the weekend, but a break above $6K would signal further bullish momentum, regardless of current volitility, liquidity or volume (fibs are still fibs, volume is still volume, MAs mean very little right now).

On the Weekly chart, we did "nothing more" than wick down to the the 2 year-long strong volume support, that imo was likely the best buying opportunity for a tiny minority of investors (in the past 2 years). Try and look at things from a different perspective, if we had taken 1-3 months to get to this level, while this would obviously be very bearish (closing below the 200 Week MA around $5.5K - never done before) by bouncing strong from it back to $6K with a 50% move upwards over the course of a few weeks, this would actually be completely normal. The fact that these moves occured, both up and down, within 48 hours, is of low significance to me right now, merely indicating an increase in volatility that may or may not be sustained.



Somebody last night (can't remember who soz) kept saying "we could be back to $8K by tomorrow" and other such bullish hopium, but the reality is this member was completely right. Just as we reached $4K levels, it was clearly no time to sell, as prices had great potential to bounce back to the breakdown level of $5.5K, as we did, even if no-one expected this to happen within an hour - it did. Don't be surprised to see BTC make another 50% move upwards back to $8K, or below $3K, within an hour.

There's little to no point in me indicating the bearish suggestion right now, it's somewhat obvious. If we break $3.85K we likely break below $3K.

Word errors included.... still hungover courtesy of eddie13's great suggestion of getting blind drunk last night

[Wilhelm]

Up 19% since the bottom (Bitcoinwisdom).   It sucks to be mindrust now

I never thought I would be the one who sodl the bottom but it happened. It is over now. Last night the world was coming to an end, Now it is going to 100k.  

This thing is volatile. I couldn't handle it.

Maybe If I took profits when it was above 10k It would have been another story.

I also wouldn't sell if that was a no reason dip but it wasn't. It was a global meltdown. Excuses won't change a thing...

I have quite some skin in the game and have seen this happen before.
It's no fun to see a potential >$100k evaporate in a half an hour and not feel slightly sick.
Bitcoin is resilient and chances of it going to zero are zero too...

Anyway I bought some ETH on the dip this time, hoping for $124 to go 15-fold in near future  

[Wilhelm]

Panic wave seems over
Bitcoin is climbing back to it's true value
Bitcoin survived a pandemic and proves itself again
Anyone who bought the dip *congrats*

Up to $100k

5-dig would be it’s normal valuation for theses period of time....  gogogogo

Also like with the bcash fork and precious halving, didn’t we have had a drop as well.... a huge one?
Those periods 2500 to 1600 ish kinda similar all just looks bigger at higher prices....

Well before I was in bitcoin I heard of the 2011 dip from $32 to $2 (94% drop).
You need to have bigass balls to live through that without breaking a sweat....

So this is nothing

[somac.]

Up 19% since the bottom (Bitcoinwisdom).   It sucks to be mindrust now

I never thought I would be the one who sodl the bottom but it happened. It is over now. Last night the world was coming to an end, Now it is going to 100k.  

This thing is volatile. I couldn't handle it.

Maybe If I took profits when it was above 10k It would have been another story.

I also wouldn't sell if that was a no reason dip but it wasn't. It was a global meltdown. Excuses won't change a thing...

I think you were just over invested mindrust. I'll be honest here I've lost a shitload more than you on paper, but, I also have a good amount outside of bitcoin, so I'll never sell. I'd say get in at some point, just buy less.

Don't think of this thing making you a multi millionaire or anything like that. Look at it like long-term savings for your retirement. At the moment my net worth is about 50% bitcoin 50% other, these levels of investment are still massive, but not disastrous, if Bitcoin goes to zero. My advice, less exposure.

And good luck to you in the future.

[fillippone]

Panic wave seems over
Bitcoin is climbing back to it's true value
Bitcoin survived a pandemic and proves itself again
Anyone who bought the dip *congrats*

Up to $100k

5-dig would be it’s normal valuation for theses period of time....  gogogogo

Also like with the bcash fork and precious halving, didn’t we have had a drop as well.... a huge one?
Those periods 2500 to 1600 ish kinda similar all just looks bigger at higher prices....

I am little bit confused.
I tought halving had to do with the miner reward.
Instead I got an halving in price!
I am a little bit puzzled!

/j

All is fine.
1BTC=1BTC

[JL0]

I've spend my last fiat buying Bitcoin....absolute bargain prizes.  



https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1238238325632270336

OMG! Please please Plan B :
Just STFU!

You're right, he's still talking about $ 100K and that his model is right

[UnDerDoG81]

Honestly, who sold at 4k   I mean, wow, I would sink with the ship instead of giving away my coins that cheap.

[FreedomCoin]

Woo volume ATHs again.. though not for good reasons.. haha

[serveria.com]

I've spend my last fiat buying Bitcoin....absolute bargain prizes.  



https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1238238325632270336

OMG! Please please Plan B :
Just STFU!

You're right, he's still talking about $ 100K and that his model is right

Yes and I believe I'm not the only one on this forum who thinks so too. $100k is inevitable. Not later than December 2021. 

[Wekkel]

Panic wave seems over
Bitcoin is climbing back to it's true value
Bitcoin survived a pandemic and proves itself again
Anyone who bought the dip *congrats*

Up to $100k

Too soon. This is not just a crypto dump. It’s much more and involving the broader market. It could become worse before becoming better.

I think it’s best to DCA. And of course ‘no sale ma’am’