Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[philipma1957]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/diplomatic-breakthrough-elusive-israel-iran-041120123.html?.tsrc=1340&ncid=crm_-1285232-20250622-309--A&bt_user_id=0lc%2BTY4vvUYF0xsavme21B46esZUpmTcUXU%2BS4zxTtEzgY%2FI5RZ%2BN%2FPJFXScZ%2FtlInqV%2FPUa%2Bs0uoaENoDxrOas6vAfEDaCZ3AdIzJDMXQLoibNp%2Fh2sdjubgnIkYqqN&bt_ts=1750551646185



trump attacked irans nukes

this quote is from the link above.

“ WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said Saturday that the U.S. military struck three sites in Iran, directly joining Israel ’s effort to decapitate the country's nuclear program in a risky gambit to weaken a longtime foe amid Tehran’s threat of reprisals that could spark a wider regional conflict.

The decision to directly involve the U.S. comes after more than a week of strikes by Israel on Iran that have moved to systematically eradicate the country’s air defenses and offensive missile capabilities, while damaging its nuclear enrichment facilities. But U.S. and Israeli officials have said that American stealth bombers and a 30,000-lb. bunker buster bomb they alone can carry offered the best chance of destroying heavily-fortified sites connected to the Iranian nuclear program buried deep underground.“

[OgNasty]

Seems a little bit like this is the market saying they don’t want to see Saylor make it into the S&P 500 this cycle. He better pull out all the stops and get to shilling the orange coin. I’m expecting to see a Joe Rogan interview and plenty of ridiculousness on X about selling body parts and furniture to buy Bitcoin in the coming week.

well what number does he need?

we dropped to 101.5 at the moment.

we were at 101.1 k for a while


I got some dip

Last time I did the numbers he needed a $103K Bitcoin price. After just asking Grok, I’m told he only needs a $94,000 price now. This possibly relating to the new investment vehicles MSTR has unveiled lately? If so, we can all breathe a little easier knowing the cycle might not be on the cusp of dying just yet.

[aesma]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/diplomatic-breakthrough-elusive-israel-iran-041120123.html?.tsrc=1340&ncid=crm_-1285232-20250622-309--A&bt_user_id=0lc%2BTY4vvUYF0xsavme21B46esZUpmTcUXU%2BS4zxTtEzgY%2FI5RZ%2BN%2FPJFXScZ%2FtlInqV%2FPUa%2Bs0uoaENoDxrOas6vAfEDaCZ3AdIzJDMXQLoibNp%2Fh2sdjubgnIkYqqN&bt_ts=1750551646185



trump attacked irans nukes

this quote is from the link above.

“ WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said Saturday that the U.S. military struck three sites in Iran, directly joining Israel ’s effort to decapitate the country's nuclear program in a risky gambit to weaken a longtime foe amid Tehran’s threat of reprisals that could spark a wider regional conflict.

The decision to directly involve the U.S. comes after more than a week of strikes by Israel on Iran that have moved to systematically eradicate the country’s air defenses and offensive missile capabilities, while damaging its nuclear enrichment facilities. But U.S. and Israeli officials have said that American stealth bombers and a 30,000-lb. bunker buster bomb they alone can carry offered the best chance of destroying heavily-fortified sites connected to the Iranian nuclear program buried deep underground.“

So that's why. Damn.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Hueristic]

Holy shit, just finished dropping the gas tank from the winnie, 5 hours!
I'm too old for this shit!

how big was that tank..

50 gallons?

or 160 liters?


I had a old dodge with a slant six.

I purchased a second one for parts.

I swiped the gas tank from one and put it in the other.

took a while maybe about six hours.

it was a 1977.

90 Gallons!

Those slant sixes ran forever!

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

Holy shit, just finished dropping the gas tank from the winnie, 5 hours!
I'm too old for this shit!

how big was that tank..

50 gallons?

or 160 liters?


I had a old dodge with a slant six.

I purchased a second one for parts.

I swiped the gas tank from one and put it in the other.

took a while maybe about six hours.

it was a 1977.

90 Gallons!

Those slant sixes ran forever!

312,000 miles sold it and it was still running!

had to change the seal on the cylinder heads a lot but i did it so often it became like second nature.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[bangjoe]

It would be nice to see a move like 2017.

Say 1000 to 19000

So for 2025

100,000 to 1,900,000



That would be nice.

Why not?

Logically it is very difficult, because we need another 19 times price increase, in other words we need a 19 times increase in Bitcoin marketcap.
(If) today the bitcoin marketcap is $2T then we just multiply it by 19 and the result = 38, we have to be at $38T bitcoin marketcap to get bitcoin price at $1,900,000. with the same amount of supply. Huftttt is fun but I can't accept this hallucination.

Back in 2017 the bitcoin marketcap was still below $300 B, and with high fluctuations it is not surprising that it can get a very high multiple.

the cap would be about 38 trillion.

do not manifest negative explanations.

instead of that think how great it will be when it happens and surprises you and everyone else that thinks it won’t happen.

I believe bitcoin will be worth more than a million, sorry to be too realistic for today, but if that happens, how wonderful life will be as a bitcoin holder (becoming the richest person in my village).

Let's chase Gold first.

The way they're printing fiat, 38T is right around the corner!

And that will be the end of the story for the FIAT system.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[WatChe]

Did a hike last week to reach this lake situated at 12000 ft height. My clogged arteries feeling good after this intensive hike. It's pollution free  zone because very few people coming here due to it's difficult tracking. Pure water coming from glaciers, clean air and camping.

Location: Baha Lake, Shandur Valley, Pakistan 
Height: 12000 ft 


 

[JayJuanGee]

It would be nice to see a move like 2017.
Say 1000 to 19000

So for 2025
100,000 to 1,900,000

That would be nice.
Why not?

2017 or 2018 both are acceptable to me.
2018 from 15k to 3.5k.

2017 you already explained.

I have pretty high doubts that we will get within less than 25% of the 200-WMA in 2025, and right now the 200-WMA is nearly $49k and it is moving up by around $40-ish per day ($35 to $55 per day)... so by the time that BTC prices go down (if they did), the 200-WMA would continue to go up, which almost makes it possible to assert that sub $70k will never be reached again... or at least it is 50/50 bettable... and I would take that bet, if you are interested for 50/50.

Regarding 2026.  Sure it is possible (but not a given) that the BTC price will touch upon or even go below the 200-WMA, yet it seems quite likely that we are going to be starting 2026 with a 200-WMA that is right around a minimum of $70k and we will be ending 2026 with likely a 200-WMA of right around $95k.. .. .. So sure  right now it still seems quite possible that we coudl be visiting or revising sub $100k prices, unless we are lucky enough to experience some kinds of upcoming BTC price runs that can drag the 200-WMA to higher levels.

There's gotta be some potential bettables in there.

we dropped to 101.5 at the moment.
we were at 101.1 k for a while
I got some dip

I got some dips too..  at variety of places:

1) upper $106ks
2) right around $105k
3) at upper $102ks
4) at mid $101ks

I have not gotten the lower 100ks yet..

nor the lower $98ks, yet.

and then my buy orders are every $3k-ish after the lower $98k-ish one,.. which I am wondering how outrageous it might be to get any buy orders filling in the sub $100ks?  I would rather not fill them, yet sure, it is possible that they could fill, and could even be close to 50/50 odds that some sub $100k buy orders could fill.  Perhaps?

[El duderino_]

Are they right or wrong.
Whatever, Duderino!
Never wants a war.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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