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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26903894 times)
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October 09, 2025, 11:26:02 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), OutOfMemory (1)

Well perhaps I am biased of prior times where there was more talk, more activity everywhere. Of course the thing during corona would be hard to repeat as most people were indoors and glued to their screens. Still when I look at X or other platforms today, even here, there is not that much activity going on. So boring market.  Tongue
True, a town is boring when you don't know where the party is happening. Ask around for the venue, you may be looking at the wrong direction.
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October 10, 2025, 01:41:24 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), xhomerx10 (1), d_eddie (1), Hottiek (1)

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Don't be a stranger, sirazimuth!!!!!!!     Angry Angry Angry Angry

Aren't we all strangers around here in the alias intertoobz woods?
I mean for all I know, you could be some weird, AI bot attached to a word count algorithm, trapped for eternity, typing endless bitcoin screeds
in this here famous thread ... perhaps perhaps? Wink
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October 10, 2025, 02:12:09 AM

Trump has yet again restored peace in the Middle East just like the way he summoned the UAE to sign a peace deal with Israel.
 
The Palestinians would have to thank Trump for this amazing efforts!

Hoping to see Russia and Ukraine sign a peace agreement soon...peace to the world!
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October 10, 2025, 02:24:16 AM
Merited by sirazimuth (3), xhomerx10 (1)

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The dollar has been under pressure since tricky dick nixon

it is part of the plan of man.

Even though the dollar has been being increasingly debased since 1971, it was not likely noticeable, and sure there were likely some folks who realized what was happening, and others who did not.

You hardly shouldn't be sitting back all smug about the whole debasement matter, since you seem to have had been engaging in behaviors in which you were investing in dollars (and getting their shitty Treasury bill yield), including in late 2022, when you should have been putting and keeping that money in bitcoin.

The debasement trade is becoming more and more obvious to us bitcoiners (even though a lot of non-bitcoiners are still confused and not seeing bitcoin as part of their lifeboat package), with bitcoin likely to be the greater of winners.. and perhaps you recognize it this time..

Here is something interesting:

https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1o1795c/crypto_millionaires/

When they say centi-, they probably meant "centum" or >$100 mil vs true centi- as it is a 1/100 (like in centimeter).
CNBC "wins again" /s

You are probably correct.  



By Centi, they likely mean folks who have more than $100 million in wealth, but less than $1billion... and for the past few years, I have been using $100 million as my threshold entry-level to filthy rich status.

The numbers are also interesting.

There is a bit of an implication that crypto (perhaps referring to bitcoin?) investing had contributed to such growth in wealth, yet at the same time, the numbers are just hard to grasp.

240k people have been made into millionaires and implicitly multi-millionaires through "crypto," yet only 450 fit into the Centi category and only 36 fit into the billionaire category.

Fairly small numbers at the top, even though the millionaire number is fairly high - but not really high if we think about global population.   I suppose they have some reasonable methodology in coming to these numbers.

Here is something interesting:
https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1o1795c/crypto_millionaires/
When they say centi-, they probably meant "centum" or >$100 mil vs true centi- as it is a 1/100 (like in centimeter).
CNBC "wins again" /s
The subreddit is very active with crypto related discussion...Crypto Millionaires!
Those who bought at 2014 below can also be seen at centi millionaires...it was cheap then and easy to accumulate!

I doubt that we can assume anyone to be a millionaire, multi-millionaire or even centi-millionaire or billionaire based on when he got started.

There are plenty of bitcoiners who have been in for a while (even 10 years or longer) with fewer than 10 coins... Think of guys investing $10 per week or $100 per week, and even they might not have had been consistent, an they may have bought and sold. .and screwed themselves out of some of the BTC accumulation that they could have had.

Prior to 2020, I frequently would recommend guys get off zero and invest at least $10 per week, and after 2020, I started to recommend investing at least $100 per week, yet guys still have to have a budget (or sufficient discretionary income) to be able to sustain $100 per week or whatever they are able to sustain investing in bitcoin.

Sure, there are some guys who could have had lump sum invested into bitcoin in the beginning (or front loaded their bitcoin investment) and/or transfered money from other investments that they had, yet not all bitcoiners took such an approach to bitcoin, so it seems a bit presumptive that all early time bitcoiners are rich.

Even though some guys will volunteer some details about their bitcoin holdings, many guys here do not, and it is not necessary to reveal personal details, whichi s part of the reason that we frequently speak in hypotheticals when it comes to determining how many BTC some guys could have had accumulated based on what kinds of accumulation strategies that they might have had chosen to employ over the years.

Here is something interesting:
https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1o1795c/crypto_millionaires/
When they say centi-, they probably meant "centum" or >$100 mil vs true centi- as it is a 1/100 (like in centimeter).
CNBC "wins again" /s
The subreddit is very active with crypto related discussion...Crypto Millionaires!
Those who bought at 2014 below can also be seen at centi millionaires...it was cheap then and easy to accumulate!
But not so easy to HODL!!! (it gets easier and easier %-wise though)
K

I had quite a few coins that were not in profits between December 2013 and March 2017, even though surely I was feeling much better about my bitcoin holdings by the time 2016 came, even though there was quite a bit of drama in 2016, including the hack of Bitfinex that caused a lot of uncertainty in around August/September of 2016.  But, yeah, I would frequently start to feel more comfortable when my BTC started to be in profits rather than when they were not.

Another thing is considering percentages, and how much of a guys investment portfolio is dedicated to bitcoin, as compared with other kinds of investments that he might have.  Hopefully, in the "crypto" category, he is almost exclusively invested into bitcoin and not keeping much (if any?) of his wealth in shitcoins... but yeah, there are some retards who put their money into shitcoins and also tried to trade bitcoin rather than investing into it.. hopefully not too many WO guys are fucking around with shitcoins over the past 10-ish years or more.

Here is something interesting:
https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1o1795c/crypto_millionaires/
When they say centi-, they probably meant "centum" or >$100 mil vs true centi- as it is a 1/100 (like in centimeter).
CNBC "wins again" /s
The subreddit is very active with crypto related discussion...Crypto Millionaires!
Those who bought at 2014 below can also be seen at centi millionaires...it was cheap then and easy to accumulate!
But not so easy to HODL!!! (it gets easier and easier %-wise though)
K
Once you understand the system, holding will never be a problem.
Once you ignore the market noise, holding will never be a problem.

Once you stop counting checking the price movement of you portfolio, holding will never be a problem.
Once you hold Bitcoin as a priority, market phobia would never knock on your door.

You have ONLY been registered on the forum since January 2022 Franklyn-wood, and you only made one post prior to September 2025, so you have ONLY been actively posting on the forum in the past  few weeks - unless you had been deleting your posts.

So are you speaking about investing into bitcoin (or crypto?) from experience or just based on theory?

Once you understand the system, holding will never be a problem.
T..his is all I needed to start holding, and it's what I tell people who struggle to hold because they panic. I believe holding was more difficult for early adopters than it is now.

Don't be fantasizing about the early adopters.  It has always been difficult to hold bitcoin, even if today's investment thesis might seem stronger, there are still reasons for newbies to panic and/or to screw things up in relation to either your accumulation strategy or your HODL strategy

Whoops!!!!  I misread what you wrote.

In essence I agree with you.  It has always been difficult to both accumulate bitcoin and/or to hold it.

I believe so because it is more difficult to hold bitcoin when you bought it for ten dollars, and you've never seen or heard of anything like a cryptocurrency before, it could crash back to a dollar at any time, so selling when it has gotten to a thousand dollars was very easy. Being tempted to sell because of the news and rumors was very easy.  Now, there is like a 98 per cent chance Bitcoin will rise again when it dips. Now, it's easier to learn about Bitcoin because there are articles and documentaries that are easily accessible to those who want to learn.

Currently, the upside does not seem as great, but the downside does not seem as great either.  There are still challenges that guys have to both figure out a plan and to follow whatever plan that they decide to follow.  We still don't have retail rushing to bitcoin and knocking down doors in order to buy bitcoin.

In the early years, there was no evidence or price history to show that bitcoin always comes back up with time. Now, if you understand the system and look at the history, it will be easier for you to hold.

In theory that sounds right, yet I think that guys are going to continue to have challenges in their accumulation of bitcoin and their holding of it.

I frequently suggest that newbies to bitcoin keep buying for at least 4 years no matter the price, so it is likely going to continue to be a challenge for newbie normies to ongoingly buy bitcoin and to do whatever preparations that they need to make either financial and/or cashflow management to continue to buy bitcoin and to stay convicted in their practice of staying organized, regular, persistent and consistent in their ongoing accumulation of bitcoin.. and putting their conviction into ongoing practice helps to reinforce their conviction.

Currently, there is no shortage of people who believe in Bitcoin. And it is with this belief that I, all of you, started investing. And I dream of holding on to it until the future.

If people believe so much about bitcoin, then why do we ONLY have around 1% world adoption of bitcoin, then?

When Bitcoin was at 1k, many said that it would beat 10k and others disagreed with those who said it would hit 10k, and yes it would beat 100k... And a long time I heard that Bitcoin would hit 100k....

Nowadays I'm starting to hear again that Bitcoin will hit 100k, but before the odds were great, nowadays these odds are getting smaller and smaller...
-
.. and I believe that this probability of bitcoin hitting 100k can reach zero

You are saying that bitcoin will never reach $100k ever again?

That is a bit bold.

Does that mean that you would be willing to give 99% odds in a bet?

Well perhaps I am biased of prior times where there was more talk, more activity everywhere. Of course the thing during corona would be hard to repeat as most people were indoors and glued to their screens. Still when I look at X or other platforms today, even here, there is not that much activity going on. So boring market.  Tongue
True, a town is boring when you don't know where the party is happening. Ask around for the venue, you may be looking at the wrong direction.

Yep.  We had a new ATH a mere 3 days ago, yet this is supposedly boring.

Doesn't make sense to me.

.....Don't be a stranger, sirazimuth!!!!!!!     Angry Angry Angry Angry
Aren't we all strangers around here in the alias intertoobz woods?
I mean for all I know, you could be some weird, AI bot attached to a word count algorithm, trapped for eternity, typing endless bitcoin screeds
in this here famous thread ... perhaps perhaps? Wink

Sure it could be.  It could be.

At the same time, I can appreciate that having some other hobbies tends to be a good thing, too.. so I cannot necessarily blame you in regards to your potentially scattering out your visits in these here parts and in other words, gravitating towards being a stranger, from time to time.
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October 10, 2025, 04:39:33 AM

Currently, there is no shortage of people who believe in Bitcoin. And it is with this belief that I, all of you, started investing. And I dream of holding on to it until the future.

If people believe so much about bitcoin, then why do we ONLY have around 1% world adoption of bitcoin, then?


There is no shortage of people who believe in Bitcoin today.

What I mean by the above is that compared to 2014, the number of people who believe in Bitcoin has increased significantly. Maybe you will agree with this.


If people believe so much about bitcoin, then why do we ONLY have around 1% world adoption of bitcoin, then?


JayJuanGee Sir, it may be beyond my knowledge to give the correct answer to your question. However, I can tell you a few things as new as I have learned from my studies.

Many people believe in the past and present price and success stories. But very few people understand Bitcoin freedom, decentralization and full control over their own money.

Even though people who have learned to rely on banks and governments for generations have suddenly believed in Bitcoin, Bitcoin is still a matter of fear for many.

Again, since Bitcoin is not legal in many countries, the technology is not easily available. The common people do not know how to use Bitcoin safely.

However, I believe that over time, when education, technology, and awareness increase. Then gradually this number will increase rapidly.

 At one time, the internet user rate was less than 1%. But today, the internet has become a part of everyone's life.

Maybe 1% of people are using Bitcoin now, but these 1% are spreading the technology, education and practical use that will lay the foundation for the remaining 99% in the future.

Finally, I am also interested to know, why is Bitcoin acceptance still 1% in the whole world?
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October 10, 2025, 06:00:49 AM
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How to stop Bitcoin?
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October 10, 2025, 06:17:54 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

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Don't be a stranger, sirazimuth!!!!!!!     Angry Angry Angry Angry

Aren't we all strangers around here in the alias intertoobz woods?
I mean for all I know, you could be some weird, AI bot attached to a word count algorithm, trapped for eternity, typing endless bitcoin screeds
in this here famous thread ... perhaps perhaps? Wink

If that's true then you WO fellas are my favorite AI bots.
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October 10, 2025, 06:40:13 AM

Currently, there is no shortage of people who believe in Bitcoin. And it is with this belief that I, all of you, started investing. And I dream of holding on to it until the future.
If people believe so much about bitcoin, then why do we ONLY have around 1% world adoption of bitcoin, then?
There is no shortage of people who believe in Bitcoin today.
What I mean by the above is that compared to 2014, the number of people who believe in Bitcoin has increased significantly. Maybe you will agree with this.

It could be that we are arguing semantics, since I don't agree with the literal thing that you said based on adoption does not reflect such supposed belief that you are proclaiming.

Sure there are more people who have heard about bitcoin, know about bitcoin and even believe in bitcoin since 2014, yet at the same time, the belief is not widespread, otherwise it would be reflected in higher levels of adoption... so the beliefs don't mean shit if they don't result in actual adoption.

I will agree that there are a lot more smart people into bitcoin, and even acting within institutions and/or governments to discuss bitcoin and even to learn about the strength of bitcoin's investment thesis, yet that still has not been resulting in action from real people and in real material ways in order for us to proclaim that meaningful movement has been made on bitcoin's adoption.

Don't get me wrong.  I think adoption will continue to come, yet so many folks presume bitcoin to be mature or to have had reached some kinds of higher levels of consciousness, when that is not true.  We are in early days, and normies who are focusing on accumulating bitcoin are going to be ahead of the curve, even though we still have governments, institutions, status quo rich folks getting into bitcoin and hoarding bitcoin... and sure some of them know more than others, yet a lot of them might also not understand bticoin much beyond the idea of number go up technology.

If people believe so much about bitcoin, then why do we ONLY have around 1% world adoption of bitcoin, then?
JayJuanGee Sir, it may be beyond my knowledge to give the correct answer to your question. However, I can tell you a few things as new as I have learned from my studies.
Many people believe in the past and present price and success stories. But very few people understand Bitcoin freedom, decentralization and full control over their own money.

I will grant you that more and more people are learning and these ideas are getting more and more into the public space, yet it is still taking time to get the ideas about what is bitcoin and/or why is bitcoin important (beyond number go up) to sink in.

Even though people who have learned to rely on banks and governments for generations have suddenly believed in Bitcoin, Bitcoin is still a matter of fear for many.

Fear?  or lack of understanding?  or both? 

We do not even need to make assessments regarding what is motivating people or not in order to just look at the lack of action... So why they are motivated might not even be that important, yet their lack of action to get started in their buying (and accumulating journey) is ongoingly showing that they neither understand bitcoin nor believe in it.. . whether their is also "fear" in there that is motivating them, seems like a big so what?
 
Again, since Bitcoin is not legal in many countries, the technology is not easily available. The common people do not know how to use Bitcoin safely.

 Hm?  People really want to get into bitcoin but they cannot?

How is that? 

I would say that people neither know about bitcoin or believe in bitcoin, otherwise they would be figuring out how to get it.

Sure, geographically there is variation in terms of where people can buy (or sell) bitcoin, yet if normies are having difficulties figuring out how to buy and/or sell bitcoin in their geographical area then how could they come to be believers in bitcoin?

You are not convincing me...

Yet.. it does not really matter what I think.. we can have differing opinions. We don't need to agree.

However, I believe that over time, when education, technology, and awareness increase. Then gradually this number will increase rapidly.

 So now you are saying people believe but they just don't have knowledge (or the three tat you mentioned - "education, technology, and awareness").  Are you making sense?

At one time, the internet user rate was less than 1%. But today, the internet has become a part of everyone's life.

So does this mean that we are agreeing, that bitcoin adoption is likely in the territory of 1%, yet you still want to proclaim that normies currently believe in bitcoin, yet they still have not adopted it?d

Maybe 1% of people are using Bitcoin now, but these 1% are spreading the technology, education and practical use that will lay the foundation for the remaining 99% in the future.

You are seeming to say similar things as me.

Finally, I am also interested to know, why is Bitcoin acceptance still 1% in the whole world?

It is not easy to measure in regards to individual adoption, so how much bitcoin would they need to own in order to be considered an owner of bitcoin?  $100 or more?  There are likely definitional differences, and also people can own bitcoin by holding it privately or by holding it through third party custodians, so there could be questions regarding the extent to which they own bitcoin if they are involved in 3rd party derivative products rather than actually owning the bitcoin....

If there are around 8 billion people in the world, then 80 million would be 1%, and which of those are holding their coins in multiple locations (so being counted several time?)  It is possible that there could be ownership levels of more than 1%, but I am not going to take it for granted.  There surely are some locations in the world in which more people seem to own bitcoin or have various kinds of accounts that might be able to distinguish between owners within certain ecosytems (such as exchanges or through entities offering derivative products).  There could be questions regarding the extent to which third-parties have the coins that they claim to have, so then in that regard, it does seem likely that there are multiple claims on some of the bitcoin, even though bitcoin does allow each of us to take possession of it, if we are claiming to be the actual owner and to trust that whatever we believe we own is being backed up by actual bitcoin rather than multiple claims on the same coin, which we discovered a lot of those entities in 2022 who did not have the coins that they claimed that they had, and there were multiple parties with claims on the same coins.
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A great chart I came across on X. Author listed on the image. I think this is what we’re all expecting to see…
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A great chart I came across on X. Author listed on the image. I think this is what we’re all expecting to see…
based on Gold price that spike ATH for a short time this chart can be possible and I do believe that it will hit 200k before we enter bear market 
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