To what level will Bitcoin fall after reaching $100K (or higher)?

[philipma1957]

well last drop was say 69 to 16
drop before was 20 to 4
drop before was 1.3 to 1

so 75-80-92 percent last three crashes.

maybe we do 70 percent

so 100 k would be 30k
110k would be 37k
120k would be 44k
130k would be 51k

140k would be 58k
150k would be 65k
160k would be 72k

i bolded my best guess for high and low

[JeffBrad12]

No one can give precise answer to this most especially that we are not yet in the $100k btc price. But even so, knowing it will still be happening soon, let me tell you my own guess. Just believe me when I say, regardless of its current price, the chances to fall on $20k is still highly possible. It's not actually on how high the current price is, but it's more on how heavy or deep the impact of its price down fall. The most important thing here is price recovery is also highly possible after a drastic price drop.

I believe price falling to $20k will be harder, bitcoin is now exposed to bigger capital than ever including spot ETF now even option is on the process, added with crypto being hot topic right now around the world, $20k is a no brainer buy for me, i'd put my entire wealth to BTC again to reposition if that happen.

I mean, i believe if there's any bearish market coming up in the future it will hit the market hard, but I think the bottom floor price will just be around $49k since it's lowest price for this bullrun, maybe there will be a moment when BTC going lower than that but it's just hard to imagine BTC retouching $20k again. heck even BTC at $49k already have such strong demand zone that the price bounced back to $60k instantly.

[mirakal]

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.

Well, based on the current market situation and its price relative to the all-time low, although we still can't pinpoint how far it will go, I also can't imagine it reaching $40k. Having seen the price stay long at $50k and above, I was confident that it wouldn't roll back down, especially in the earlier years. And why? This is because the majority of investors today know how to control themselves, and we can say that they are positive and have trust, which is why we rarely see panic selling. What we are seeing now, and I believe many others are feeling as well, is the gradual change in market trends, which is most likely leaning more towards the positive side rather than the negative it has shown. Here we can say that we have a high level of understanding, which allows us to remain calm and not easily affected by negative things.

[bitgolden]

I feel like that you are considering the fall history to repat but ignoring same for rising market.

I mean bitcoin grew approximately 20 times in 2017 and 3 times in 2021 from the previous ATH level. So, first we need to estimate about what would be the new ATH by end of upcoming bullish market and then we need to prepare for downmarket which might be up to 80% of new ATH.

The low growth happened in 2021 was reasoned with pandemic consequences. This means we may again expect another 10x growth for the current bullish cycle. This lead to expect up to $700k level by end of 2025.

For supporting $700k level for this cycle, we need to consider the following:
1. Bitcoin ETF.
2. World wide most stock markets are trading at stretched levels.
3. Central banks are cutting base points.
4. The current halving reward is more than 10x lower than the initial reward.
5. Like microstrategy and El Salvador, more to adapt bitcoin when BTC tests 100k (a psychological level).

and then more importantly right now we do not have lockdown or slow economic growth. So, we can expect bitcoin to have another 10x growth in 2025 bullish trend.

Finally, I expect bitcoin to test $1M level by December 2025 and then may fall up to 50% by end of 2026. Due to more adaption rate, people will not let bitcoin to fall up to 80% which happened in all previous bitcoin's 4 year cycles after a new ATH.

[Tmoonz]

When bitcoin broke the ATH of 2022 this year and climbed to $73k before it started dropping down, some predicted that bitcoin couldn't drop below $50k again this year, which Bitcoin has proven them wrong. 
 
The market is just unpredicted; if the price of bitcoin breaks to the $100k circle, the gravity of the event that will bring about the negativity in the market will determine how low it can go.
 
The only level I believe it will be hard for Bitcoin to drop to right now is below $10k. If not anything is possible in the market, we have seen the worst, and we should also prepare for the worst in times to come. What matters is that the price will bounce back in due time after whatever will cause the crash elapse.

I agree with you on this and anyone coming into Bitcoin should at least have this kind of mindset towards Bitcoin even though we can not completely rely on historical events as being a guarantee for the future. However, Bitcoin has really proven beyond every reasonable doubt to be one of it kind overcome lots of negativity, increasing wider spread adoption and increments in value, but yeah preparing for the worst and the best is kind of a good advice too as regards to making an informed decisions towards in investment which is also very paramount.

[Franctoshi]

The forum has repeatedly discussed what maximum mark $100K will reach in this cycle. Many are waiting for the level of $100K, and some, especially enthusiastic BTC-users, are talking about higher cost indicators ($150K and higher).

But now I would like to focus on another point. What is the minimum price mark that bitcoin will reach in the current cryptomarket cycle, because the lower the price, the more bitcoin (parts of BTC) can be bought. How low do you think bitcoin will fall in price after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.

We haven't reached $100k price per Bitcoin before, and that is to say we are entering into price discovery zone for Bitcoin, no one can tell the exact level that Bitcoin would fall, if it will get to 100k and fall or break above $100k , and even can also not reach $100k or the  ATH that Bitcoin would attain this bull market cycle. The best tool to use to check this will be the fibonnacci retracement tool , while targeting a price pull back of 50% fibbo retracement level @ 0.5,  0.618 fibonnacci golden pocket and 0.786, these are level to watch out for that price would pull back into after it hits 100k or not , or even break above.

[UmerIdrees]

The forum has repeatedly discussed what maximum mark $100K will reach in this cycle. Many are waiting for the level of $100K, and some, especially enthusiastic BTC-users, are talking about higher cost indicators ($150K and higher).

But now I would like to focus on another point. What is the minimum price mark that bitcoin will reach in the current cryptomarket cycle, because the lower the price, the more bitcoin (parts of BTC) can be bought. How low do you think bitcoin will fall in price after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.

No one exactly knows the price of bitcoin by the end of this bull cycle but for sure it will be a lot higher than 100,000$ per bitcoinBTC. If we remember in the last cycle, we crossed the physiological 50K level with ease, this time too the momentum will be very high when the bitcoin surpass this level and it will just break the media, the fomo comming in and we can reach anywhere between 130K to 170K.

I know this range is very wide but here again the bitcoin will either fail to break 150K or if it break 150K will head straight to 160K+. These numbers seem difficult when we see the current price action, but we should be prepared for extreme volatility toward the upside again in this bull cycle.

[milewilda]

The forum has repeatedly discussed what maximum mark $100K will reach in this cycle. Many are waiting for the level of $100K, and some, especially enthusiastic BTC-users, are talking about higher cost indicators ($150K and higher).

But now I would like to focus on another point. What is the minimum price mark that bitcoin will reach in the current cryptomarket cycle, because the lower the price, the more bitcoin (parts of BTC) can be bought. How low do you think bitcoin will fall in price after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.

No one exactly knows the price of bitcoin by the end of this bull cycle but for sure it will be a lot higher than 100,000$ per bitcoinBTC. If we remember in the last cycle, we crossed the physiological 50K level with ease, this time too the momentum will be very high when the bitcoin surpass this level and it will just break the media, the fomo comming in and we can reach anywhere between 130K to 170K.

I know this range is very wide but here again the bitcoin will either fail to break 150K or if it break 150K will head straight to 160K+. These numbers seem difficult when we see the current price action, but we should be prepared for extreme volatility toward the upside again in this bull cycle.

Due that unpredictabilty then people or the community would really be having that kind of approach on which they would really be that normally be throwing out different numbers on where Bitcoins price could possibly
be able to reach out. Assuming that it had been able to done before with those previous cycles so it will really be just that normal that they will really be that guessing out with those higher numbers or ATH prices on which its normal. Some would be realistic and there are some which is really that too far off. It will really be just that depending on how you would really be doing up your steps on utilizing on accumulating more coins
which we arent that still yet. Each investor would be having their own ways on how they would be growing out their portfolio.

Speaking about corrections or huge decrease in price then it will really be just that normal on a market. We cant call it a market in the first place if it doesnt have that rise and fall kind of behavior.
It will really be just that something that you will really be needing up realize in the first place so that you wont be finding yourself to be that desperate. So its a normal approach on this aspect
and be realistic at least so that you would be that out to frustration and disappointment.

[Alpha Marine]

We can't really know this, can we? Bitcoin is as unpredictable as they come and all we can do is speculate.
Since Bitcoin rose from $16k and got up to $60k, I don't think it has gone lower than half of that price (30k). I understand that we're in a bullish period and BTC will hardly drops very low in times like this, but I don't think bitcoin will drop as low as it did when it went from 67k to 16k.
I believe this because like I said in one of my previous posts, people have more trust in Bitcoin now. They don't panic sell at the slightest hiccup. Now, more people understand that to make a profit from bitcoin, you have to hold it for a long term and people are actually doing that.

So if Bitcoin actually gets to $100k, it will further increase the trust people have for it. That will mean not many people will sell out of FUD anymore like they used to. With this, I don't think the price will drop below $50k, except something very extreme happens to the world or global economy.

[Cryptohygenic]

When bitcoin broke the ATH of 2022 this year and climbed to $73k before it started dropping down, some predicted that bitcoin couldn't drop below $50k again this year, which Bitcoin has proven them wrong. 
 
The market is just unpredicted; if the price of bitcoin breaks to the $100k circle, the gravity of the event that will bring about the negativity in the market will determine how low it can go.
 
The only level I believe it will be hard for Bitcoin to drop to right now is below $10k. If not anything is possible in the market, we have seen the worst, and we should also prepare for the worst in times to come. What matters is that the price will bounce back in due time after whatever will cause the crash elapse.

There are more of bitcoin enthusiasts now comparing to 2018-2022. Definitely bitcoin price will drop after this circles ATH but if we get to make some figures, we would see that there are investors with more risk bearing and longer holders now that  the past so even if there is going to be falls on bitcoin after ATH, the margin is not going to be as weak as the 2018-2022.
So If should make a guess, I will go on $60,000 which the value of bitcoin has been struggling to crossover in the few past months after the $73,000 current ATH. So I think that would e a base value for bitcoin drop after $100,000 +.

[Mayor of ogba]

No one on planet Earth can predict the price of bitcoin correctly, so it will be difficult for anyone to know or predict the price bitcoin will fall to after the bull market ends. When bitcoin set a new all-time high in the 2021 bull run, and after the bull run ended, bitcoin dumped to $16k during the bear market, which no one expected bitcoin would dump to that price. So judging from the past performance of bitcoin after the bull run, bitcoin will likely dip to $50k-$40k, but if bitcoin fails to achieve the six digits next year, it will dip below more than $40k in the bear market.

[$weetne$$]

well last drop was say 69 to 16
drop before was 20 to 4
drop before was 1.3 to 1

so 75-80-92 percent last three crashes.

Well speculated and I think you are making a point here. How low we are going to drop can not be accurately predicted by anybody and if someone gets the prediction correctly, they would have done that by luck because I believe nobody can predict the bottom or the top of the market. My prediction is that, how the market is going to fall will be determined by how high we reach. If we exceed $100,000 and get to $150,000 or $200,000, we should get ready for a massive drop that might get to 90% or higher but if we barely pass $100,000 then we should not expect the market to correct that much. I also think the market is getting more matured and the investors now in the market are more experienced as institutional investors are becoming a big part of the market and they do not just sell as they are known for hodling for long.

[Roseline492]

We haven't reached $100k price per Bitcoin before, and that is to say we are entering into price discovery zone for Bitcoin, no one can tell the exact level that Bitcoin would fall, if it will get to 100k and fall or break above $100k , and even can also not reach $100k or the  ATH that Bitcoin would attain this bull market cycle.

$100k is the level everybody has been anticipated on and like you said nobody really no how the price will behave after achieving that price whether it will continue or try to make another correction but for me considering the fact that Bitcoin price struggle a lot after breaking the previous Alll time high and establishing the new one there is a good chance that the next all time high will be the price of $100k and also based on the fact that next year will be a bull season for Bitcoin, so the price could possibly continue bullish after breaking the $100k level, although that's just my prediction about it but until then we cannot really be sure of anything at the moment.

[philipma1957]

well last drop was say 69 to 16
drop before was 20 to 4
drop before was 1.3 to 1

so 75-80-92 percent last three crashes.

Well speculated and I think you are making a point here. How low we are going to drop can not be accurately predicted by anybody and if someone gets the prediction correctly, they would have done that by luck because I believe nobody can predict the bottom or the top of the market. My prediction is that, how the market is going to fall will be determined by how high we reach. If we exceed $100,000 and get to $150,000 or $200,000, we should get ready for a massive drop that might get to 90% or higher but if we barely pass $100,000 then we should not expect the market to correct that much. I also think the market is getting more matured and the investors now in the market are more experienced as institutional investors are becoming a big part of the market and they do not just sell as they are known for hodling for long.

it is tough to predict the future.

i go back and look at gold from 1992 to 2003 it stayed in a 200-400 dollar slot
gold is now 2700 or so.

i could see btc in 50k-75k for a long long long time ending the four year cycle 🔁 we like to follow.

time will tell. I am not looking to sell anything this year. hoping things work out and we do go beyond 80k this year. and top 160k next nov 2025

[LUCKMCFLY]

I have learned something over time and regarding the BTC market, for me it is essential to analyze the previous spaces or periods to get an idea of ​​what may come, among that is when BTC has reached its ATH and when it has fallen and how much percentage it can represent, then due to this it may be that an idea is drawn, it is not precise of what it may fall, but of course we still do not know up to what price level it will rise, some talk about up to $300k, I don't see it impossible, I do see that it can happen, besides the good thing is that the ATH is always juicier than the previous one.

[JeffBrad12]

I have learned something over time and regarding the BTC market, for me it is essential to analyze the previous spaces or periods to get an idea of ​​what may come, among that is when BTC has reached its ATH and when it has fallen and how much percentage it can represent, then due to this it may be that an idea is drawn, it is not precise of what it may fall, but of course we still do not know up to what price level it will rise, some talk about up to $300k, I don't see it impossible, I do see that it can happen, besides the good thing is that the ATH is always juicier than the previous one.

yeah future massive price dumping when bearish cycle hits will probably just end up like before, people like to move based on psychology, if previous bearish causes BTC to be dumped around 80%, then maybe in the future same scenario will play out, though I have firm believe that price won't dump that much, since BTC is bigger than ever, can't really have that much dump if people ready to bag even at the price of $49k heavily.

but then again, if sentiment is so bad, it could happen, we shouldn't ignore the fact that previous bullrun also triggered by FTX collapse, which robs people of their money. this alone further amplify the dumping to a more massive level.

since regulation and most CEX already taking precaution to not repeat the same FTX mistake I expect market to be less wild when bearish occurs compared to previous bearish cycle.

[GigaBit]

Investor confidence in Bitcoin is now positive for several reasons. Most speculators now have only one goal and that is to touch the 100K milestone of Bitcoin. Many have pointed to 2024 as the year of Bitcoin after spending a long time after 2021. This year Bitcoin ETFs got trading permission. Bitcoin halved this year and many are expecting Bitcoin $100k again this year. None of these assumptions are unreasonable.

Even if Bitcoin is 100K or more, when the bearish period comes, there will definitely be some price drop, but I don't see a situation like 2018 or any big dump like that. Although there is no guarantee, there is no room for Bitcoin prices to fall too much with the increasing interest of institutional investors in the market. Most of the investors who are coming in are long-term holders of Bitcoin. They are holding onto as much bitcoin as possible and ultimately the price of bitcoin is going up. My guess is that it is unlikely to go below $70K unless there is a major negative impact after Bitcoin hits $100K.

[Sexylizzy2813]

it is tough to predict the future.

i go back and look at gold from 1992 to 2003 it stayed in a 200-400 dollar slot
gold is now 2700 or so.

i could see btc in 50k-75k for a long long long time ending the four year cycle 🔁 we like to follow.

time will tell. I am not looking to sell anything this year. hoping things work out and we do go beyond 80k this year. and top 160k next nov 2025

If we can predict the future then we can call ourselves Gods, that's why we always use the word maybe or may not while talking about prediction or should I say speculation. Is never easy when it comes to getting the exact figure Bitcoin price will turn in the next coming days. For Bitcoin price to hit $80k this year then we should be having the market having a fast move before the end of November. To me I don't believe we're getting to $80k before the end of this year, if you're talk about $160k it's possible to achieve next year, but let's hope the price doesn't start dropping any time soon because it affects the positive move of the price ahead.

[Zackz5000]

It impossible to predict Bitcoin price it could be that after reaching $100k Bitcoin price could either rise or still drop in price which nobody knows the exact price it will be, all what we can do is to speculate the volatile nature of Bitcoin has made the price to be unpredictable, it is only God that can tell the price of Bitcoin or predict the future.
Though for me I don't still believe Bitcoin will reach $100k this year but next year so our major concern is to keep on accumulating Bitcoin regardless of the price and continue to hodl for the future. With the use the of the DCA strategy one can accumulate more Bitcoin inrespective of the price level either weekly or monthly and continue to hodl for a longer period of time.

[jaberwock]

The forum has repeatedly discussed what maximum mark $100K will reach in this cycle. Many are waiting for the level of $100K, and some, especially enthusiastic BTC-users, are talking about higher cost indicators ($150K and higher).

But now I would like to focus on another point. What is the minimum price mark that bitcoin will reach in the current cryptomarket cycle, because the lower the price, the more bitcoin (parts of BTC) can be bought. How low do you think bitcoin will fall in price after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.

We don't really know when and how this will happen, but we know it is not going to be easy. Because every time we have a bull run, we end up with a big drop afterwards and people have hard time accepting we entered the bear market and try to recover but they fail. I have seen too many people who kept on investing more because they think the price will recover and go back up, and they all ended up being wrong and the price went lower and lower because we were in the bear market.

So, we should try to warn people about the potential of bear when we are in the bull itself. Obviously it is going to be something which will not be simple, so we are going to get a result which will not be simple neither, and what we are going to get will not be quick results.