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Author Topic: What is the worst element of your betting system?  (Read 279 times)
Findingnemo
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September 29, 2024, 03:17:00 PM
 #41

I won't say they are my weakness but that's more of conservative approach when it comes to betting, I won't bet too much, I won't bet on most important games of my favorite club because I feel it gives more pressure than any fun in it so I don't take those risks apart from that I am not willing to try other games especially the ones that's hyped over the social media cause am always afraid that the chances of fixing are high on those matches.

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September 29, 2024, 03:34:36 PM
 #42

Management risk will be the weakest link in the chain because many times I lose control of myself and money and ends with losing some dollars. I forgot that I should place a bet with the money I can afford to lose but when I see the analysis and the odds, I think that can help me to win some money but that is not happen.
Well, that needs to be my concern to learn more about many things in betting so I can handle my emotion. But sometimes, my emotion is also interfere and maybe that can be the next weakest link in the chain.
The analysis of bookmaker odds and analysis of bookmakers is not too effect to me as when I see the team don't have a big chance to win, I will not place too much money as the bet. I am still trying to check the situation for each team before I place my bet.
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September 29, 2024, 03:39:22 PM
 #43

I'm weak on the in-depth analysis side, have you ever seen strange odds on a match? it makes the favorite team get quite big odds, and this attracts the interest of many people to bet on that team. Sometimes we don't know for sure what is going on with the team, so we don't know why the odds are the way we see them. Of course, this happens because we don't have much time for analysis, especially since the information is not distributed to the public.

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September 29, 2024, 03:49:15 PM
 #44

The worst result in sports betting for me is losing when choosing odds of 1.01, it becomes a very funny result or maybe also stupid, somehow the lowest odds like that I still accept defeat. Or maybe, I suspect there is a mafia out there that might also control the game, but that's just a suspicion in the past, because at that time the match could still be arranged by the mafia so that the underdog team could also win surprisingly. Indeed, it is also possible that this could happen but at least, I just don't think that there is still a chance of losing even if only choosing low odds like @ 1.01. Cheesy
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September 29, 2024, 03:58:07 PM
 #45

If you are not into sports betting for fun or not only for fun, then I would like to ask you: what is the worst element in your strategy and betting system: analytics and prediction of match results, risk management, analysis of bookmaker odds, analysis of bookmakers? Maybe something else?
The thing is that often your loss can arise from one "weakest link in the chain". At the same time, other elements of the strategy or betting system can be quite good.

To me it is always the same shit, it is absolutely the referee with his wrongful decisions, most of such referee are so full of shit that they don't follow the rules, when there is a big goal chance gone wrong every team has the right to call for VAR yet in most cases such referees do not give a shit about that and continue doing like they want, UEFA doesn't care too as I have never seen a punishment regarding VAR so far when there are tons of occasions regarding referees abusing this system. If there were not for the referees I could have won a thousand bets that I have lost only from them, you can do any analysis, any statistics, read any news but the referee can simply blow them away with a single wrong decision, that is definitely the weakest link in such analysis for me.

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September 29, 2024, 04:03:02 PM
 #46

If you are not into sports betting for fun or not only for fun, then I would like to ask you: what is the worst element in your strategy and betting system: analytics and prediction of match results, risk management, analysis of bookmaker odds, analysis of bookmakers? Maybe something else?
The thing is that often your loss can arise from one "weakest link in the chain". At the same time, other elements of the strategy or betting system can be quite good.

I play for fun. But the worst element of my strategy is in the analysis and prediction of games. In some games, when I analyze them, I don't rush to bet. I wait a few days to get more news, mainly to confirm the cast that will play. But it turns out that when I want to make multibet bets, I can't do it, so I have to do another form of analysis of the game that doesn't give me much confidence and it seems like I'm counting on luck rather than the analysis of the game that I did. This has been a headache for me. I don't know if I should stop making multibet bets and just make single bets because they make it easier for me to analyze the game and I have space to confirm the cast that will play before I bet.

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September 29, 2024, 04:06:52 PM
 #47

A couple of things for me although I have these two fairly under control:

Patience - I used to rush into bets without doing a bit of research and analysis. I tend
to have more patience now and do some analysis before placing a bet.

Chasing Losses - I used to jump straight into trying to recoup losses, its a kind of
impatience thing, now if I lose I wait for favourable games and forget about the
previous losses.

But what still happens to me is betting on outsiders which really dont have a chance
of beating the favourite but at the time of betting I'm taking a big chance.

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September 29, 2024, 04:09:10 PM
 #48

I do commit often with the sports and e-sports gambling and we know before you will make a bet you need to make sure that you already prepared with the data of yours to check which team has the higher odds to win the game. I do make bet for entertainment and also get wins, of course people want to use their knowledge to win a bet and get entertained while watching reason why people do bet and watch at the same time so they see what the real-time happening in the game, its how you treat the gambling for fun or just for the sake of money or can do both too.
You are right about this, I bet on sports matches for fun. Basically I like sports, especially football and when I gamble it can double the fun if I can win the bet. Or if not I still get the same feeling as the players because I bet money on the match. That is one way we get this pleasure. When losing, disappointment is definitely there, I think it is a normal feeling that everyone will experience when they lose. However, defeat is not something that is deeply regretted, especially if it makes us emotional and uncontrollable. No matter how good we are at seeing a team that has a great chance of winning, sometimes we don't get satisfactory results because of luck.

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September 29, 2024, 04:37:50 PM
 #49

I think analytics and prediction of match results could be my worst element of betting system because i have a habit that sometimes i want to bets on the matches between the mediocre teams and why i did that because unlike the matches for favourite teams which usually the bookies provide low odds for those teams but the fight between mediocre teams usually has high odds so this makes me tempting want to bets on them but the most problem is mediocre teams performance is really unpredictable and it's hard to predict the outcomes of their matches so that's why my betting results to bet on this kind of team is very bad
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September 29, 2024, 05:03:15 PM
 #50

I noticed the more I think about it the more obsessed I get with my bet and the more obsessed I get with it, the more stressful the bet becomes for me. Since stress is very harmful to human body and nobody needs it, I decided to stop doing too much research on a game. I just read the basics, come up with an educated guess and stick with it. If I keep digging, my initial answer changes many times and then I find myself think about way too many possibilities. Since human mind doesn't work like a computer which can make many calculations at the same time, I think we shouldn't try to replicate computers. There are 2 simple reasons: 1- We can't do that, 2- It is not even healthy to try it.
When gambling gives you stress instead of the entertainment then there must be one thing and that is you making invest that much fund what forced you to be stressful. And if this is true then I would like to say that take break from the gambling or make the amount of bet much lower which will not gonna gives you stress.

I have noticed that when I make bigger amount of bet on a match I also having have more exciting in my mind that feel some stress.  So I and good with the low amount of betting to enjoy the sports betting. Now I take it like we go out from home in a picnic for enjoyment we don't count for profit or loss I also take on gambling kindaa this.

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September 29, 2024, 05:27:18 PM
 #51

I noticed the more I think about it the more obsessed I get with my bet and the more obsessed I get with it, the more stressful the bet becomes for me. Since stress is very harmful to human body and nobody needs it, I decided to stop doing too much research on a game. I just read the basics, come up with an educated guess and stick with it.
Enhhh... At the same time, everything needs to be carefully speculated... If you fail to see through other possibilities, you're planning to fail already! So, it's more of a technical thing than a logical one; "look before you leap".
Sad reality is that regardless of how perfect these predictions might seem to you/ everyone else, a greater determinant that puts it NORTh is "LUCK"

Quote
If I keep digging, my initial answer changes many times and then I find myself think about way too many possibilities.
Exactly! That right there is all a casino needs to stay in profits.. "The more you look, the less you see". In any case, you're always eager to know more feasible options... That's rocket science!!
You gotta lose for them to stay in profit in any case so I'll just give a one-time prediction without looking back (ofcourse if I do, I'll also need to budget for another separate ticket)

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September 29, 2024, 05:34:10 PM
 #52

I guess for me it's just analytics period.  I played a lot of football (american) growing up and have watch a whole lot of football every since.  I guess I really started watching football closely when I was in college back in the early 2000's.  When I place bets, I rarely utilize analytics. For me it's just about "knowing" the game.  I know the game well and I guess just never found looking through all sorts of analytical data worth it.   
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September 29, 2024, 05:36:02 PM
 #53

The thing is that often your loss can arise from one "weakest link in the chain". At the same time, other elements of the strategy or betting system can be quite good.
Many things are going to help you in increasing your chances of success when before betting on your favorite sport event, while I wasn’t sure about that in my early days in this getting activity, and with time I made sure to collect few elements to know for sure if certain teams are ready to give it all, so I can hit a win. However, in gambling when it comes to betting or any game based in luck, even when luck isn’t the main factor in this activity, we saw that several times that all our strategies and knowledge fell behind few seconds of luck.

My guess for the worst element in a betting system as I tried multiple strategies over time, randomness is the worse thing a gambler and bettor could ever start employing in his bets. I believe whenever we base our bets on luck, we lose more, and we never stick to a good money management.

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September 29, 2024, 06:11:08 PM
 #54

As someone who doesn't do sports betting a lot but casino games, I am honestly trying hard to think of the worst element when it comes to gambling on slots. I'd say that the worst element is that of luck and not skill because no matter how good your think a slot strategy you have developed is or how many years of experience you have in playing slot is, once you click on start, all of your strategies and skill will be in the mud because the system has already been programmed for a certain outcome.

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September 29, 2024, 06:13:52 PM
 #55

If you are not into sports betting for fun or not only for fun, then I would like to ask you: what is the worst element in your strategy and betting system: analytics and prediction of match results, risk management, analysis of bookmaker odds, analysis of bookmakers? Maybe something else?
The thing is that often your loss can arise from one "weakest link in the chain". At the same time, other elements of the strategy or betting system can be quite good.

I will like to start with bookmarkers odd and it's referencing Basketball games in particular. There is this habit bookmakers are doing that is very annoying and it makes me lose games many time. They have ways of increasing and reducing odd for lower lines and they become wicked anytime gamblers win a lot of ticket, they think it's easy to win and they increase the lower line up and it becomes difficult to win games, you can take 2 months without winning anything.

I'm football, analysing a game is one thing and the team doing as you expected is another thing. For instance, today at worst case scenario, Manchester United can draw this match and not lose it to Tottenham but they did and everything look like Erik Ten Hag lack management skills to get this boys at the top of the table, they haven't done well since the beginning of yhe season but I never expected them to lose at home again after the Liverpool experience and this are the little things that made one to lose ticket and it's sad, wish analytic can always work as one expected.

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September 29, 2024, 06:42:06 PM
 #56

Risk management is very hard, but it's critical when you gamble and I'm not always very good at it honestly, because it requires rather borring and complex calculations like the ones of the Kelly criterion strategy. In addition you don't always know all the parameters for using such models of risk management. So sometimes your bankroll is severely hit, and you don't know what to do to try to get back all the funds you've lost. It usually leads to take more risks and to lose even more money in the end. That's what I've experienced many times unfortunately.

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September 29, 2024, 06:44:57 PM
 #57

I think the problem should be me because of my poor decisions sometimes. I dont know when to quit when playing virtual games and that is the worst element ever to me. Sometimes i get to see a big cash out in sports betting but i dont like taking it. I  chase after big odds and and i chase after wins if i am losing. So you see its mostly my decisions. And i am not jsut figuring it now, i have know about it since yet it is difficult to change.
You can change if you’re ready seeing everyone made same mistake and people still make this mistake every time, it’s more like an intentional act than mistake when gambling. Each time I ask they feel they’ll win and it’s not accurate. The only reason why I feel people don’t cashout early is because the amount they foresee looks bigger than the present amount set (greed) I  don’t know if you feel same way as others but we’ve all made mistakes when gambling. I prefer going for little odds and sometimes I get to win most times I don’t, it’s because we can’t win always.

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September 29, 2024, 07:02:41 PM
 #58

most of the times the biggest error is to try to get more from events that I am not really confident.
Each time has been something easy to get wrong. Probably the best way to avoid such mistakes is just stick on few games and not all.

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