UTON Blockchain (OP)
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November 01, 2024, 07:28:02 AM |
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The Kondratieff Wave theory, or "K-Wave," says economies go through big cycles that last 40 to 60 years, with phases of growth, slowdown, crisis, and recovery. Based on this idea, 2024 and 2025 could be pivotal years where we start to turn things around—or even kick off a new phase of growth.
A Possible Turning Point We’re coming out of a long period of economic struggles: rising prices, high debt, and slower global growth. According to K-Wave theory, downturns like these often lead to a reset. Many central banks are trying to fix things by adjusting interest rates and policies, so 2024 and 2025 could reveal if these efforts work and help the economy get back on track.
New Technologies Leading the Way Each K-Wave cycle has been sparked by major new tech. The last big cycle was powered by the rise of the internet and digital tech. Now, we’re seeing AI, renewable energy, blockchain, and other tech booming. If these catch on widely, they could be the boost we need for a new growth phase, making 2024-2025 a time to watch for big moves in tech and investment.
Shifts in Politics and Global Policy Big global changes often impact K-Wave cycles, too. Right now, governments are focused on issues like climate change, reshaping supply chains, and energy security. These shifts could lead to a big economic reset in the next few years, paving the way for growth.
So, according to K-Wave theory, 2024 and 2025 could be a make-or-break period—either we see more challenges or the start of something big.
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pooya87
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November 01, 2024, 11:14:48 AM Last edit: November 01, 2024, 11:46:25 AM by pooya87 |
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If we are to see this theory, we first have to see the crisis phase of it. So far we've only seen the slowdown and have only entered the first phase of the crisis not a full blown one (ie. collapse similar to 2008) in order to lead to the follow up recovery according to this model.
Regardless of that with the increasing global tensions and the shift of power from West to East, things are unlikely to "recover" anytime soon.
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Botnake
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November 01, 2024, 11:40:24 AM |
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I'm not too familiar with the "K-Wave" theory since I'm not really into economics or tracking a country’s economy with all the factors involved. But this got me curious, so I might dig into it a bit. Who knows, it might just help me make smarter investment decisions.
If this plays out, then 2024 and 2025 could be prime years for investing. Why? Because when the economy's strong, people feel more confident about investing. And with that kind of optimism, Bitcoin could definitely benefit from the situation.
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WillyAp
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Looking for guilt best look first into a mirror
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November 01, 2024, 09:14:23 PM |
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every year is crucial or not crucial depending on where you stand and what importance have economical developments for you. For a fisher in a village on the coast of Madagascar the development of the NY Stock Exchange is meaningless. For a mid level manager in Blackrock its all or nothing.
And for our financial wizards here on asktom.cf its something they believe they can make an impression. I always wonder what is it what drives the financial wizards on TikTok, most likely OPM; often unemployed and without the slightest idea of finance, let alone world or US- economy.
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Fortify
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November 01, 2024, 09:19:18 PM |
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The Kondratieff Wave theory, or "K-Wave," says economies go through big cycles that last 40 to 60 years, with phases of growth, slowdown, crisis, and recovery. Based on this idea, 2024 and 2025 could be pivotal years where we start to turn things around—or even kick off a new phase of growth.
A Possible Turning Point We’re coming out of a long period of economic struggles: rising prices, high debt, and slower global growth. According to K-Wave theory, downturns like these often lead to a reset. Many central banks are trying to fix things by adjusting interest rates and policies, so 2024 and 2025 could reveal if these efforts work and help the economy get back on track.
New Technologies Leading the Way Each K-Wave cycle has been sparked by major new tech. The last big cycle was powered by the rise of the internet and digital tech. Now, we’re seeing AI, renewable energy, blockchain, and other tech booming. If these catch on widely, they could be the boost we need for a new growth phase, making 2024-2025 a time to watch for big moves in tech and investment.
Shifts in Politics and Global Policy Big global changes often impact K-Wave cycles, too. Right now, governments are focused on issues like climate change, reshaping supply chains, and energy security. These shifts could lead to a big economic reset in the next few years, paving the way for growth.
So, according to K-Wave theory, 2024 and 2025 could be a make-or-break period—either we see more challenges or the start of something big.
Sounds like complete rubbish to me, you can't possibly track economic cycles over periods of 40-60 years when there have been so many ground breaking changes during that time period. Not only that, anything we might have assumed in the past could now be highly condensed - 40 years ago the internet was the domain of the very few, now it is almost ubiquitous in peoples lives - to the point where we couldn't even comprehend what a world would be like without instance communication in various forms to the other side of the world. You are also extrapolating far too much, you cannot say that a theory which covers 40 to 60 years, somehow becomes applicable to specifically the small window of years 2024 and 2025 (when the margin of error is 20 years) - it is a false interpretation.
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Raflesia
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November 01, 2024, 09:41:02 PM |
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The situation is still difficult right now regardless of whether it's a crucial time or not I'm not going to care too much about some theories or whatever because all I need right now is encouragement so that I can be better than before.
The economy is getting worse and worse, price hikes are happening everywhere, the geopolitical issues that are still ongoing are also making the situation more complicated. But at the end of the day, the focus is on ourselves because regardless of whether the time is crucial or not, the situation is more complicated when we can't move at all. So in this case it is important for us to always encourage ourselves to continue to survive in this difficult condition because with the current conditions we cannot rely on others to survive and be able to stand up to the increasingly chaotic economy.
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DrBeer
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November 03, 2024, 10:34:22 AM |
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The problems of today's problem in the world economy are of a different nature and have other causes. If crises like 2008 were caused by real actions of some players or even industries in the market, today's crisis is more related to the political vector. And if to be honest - it is just rampant global terrorism, and attempts of some countries to put on the armor of God, on themselves with absolutely no grounds for it. The Western world has become soft and overly tolerant, which was taken advantage of by pariah countries and totalitarian regimes that have no obligation to fulfill laws and adhere to agreements. YES, in the series of events since 2014, there was a global pandemic, but it is not yet known whether it was accidental or whether it was also a “specific experiment”, like the “what happens if you spit on all treaties and obligations and steal someone else's territory” experiments. Therefore, I do not exclude reading 2025-2026, if the world community still finds strength and courage and destroys the regimes destabilizing the world, or at least buy their ability to create problems for someone other than themselves - the world will begin to recover quickly. The main thing is for the world to learn from these events and not to make similar mistakes again. Remember the lessons of the Second World War, which was started against the whole world by Hitler's Germany and the USSR - after the end of the war (although not all instigators of this nightmare were punished, and it became the germ of today's problem) the world began to recover and develop the economy very quickly!
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EluguHcman
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November 03, 2024, 11:46:44 AM |
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Technology and its advancement is just mostly to limit Man-Power in other to make life easier for humans. Even as we can see today, it takes a costly price to afford those technologies. AI has much played crucial roles to navigate through critical challenges such as intelligences which is commendable, the invention of the Blockchains has been one of a great in all time to elevate the crawling economy but due to its decentralization that the government is not authorized to its regulations, they (government) decided to fight against it just to cripple it. So, I will leave the dynamic economy system to say... It is of the decision of the government and not the K-Wave theory as being said. Let us watch and see if time coming $1 would be useless that it can not afford a pin and so also the US $ would be forgotten as technology is advancing. But why? It is simply because the government is excessively dubious and greedy that they only regulates the system of the economy to grow fatter for their own pockets. Nevertheless, a time of rescue would come but not sure if it would be lead by your theory of K-theory but of human energy or manipulation. The Kondratieff Wave theory, or "K-Wave," says economies So, according to K-Wave theory, 2024 and 2025 could be a make-or-break period—either we see more challenges or the start of something big.
I don't have knowledge about the K-Wave theory and if it can not be specific in reveal as said "we may see more challenges "Or" getting to rescue", then the theory does not exist. Then we could just assume the situation to be nature since it can not be rightly predicted.
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davis196
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November 03, 2024, 11:56:37 AM |
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New Technologies Leading the Way Each K-Wave cycle has been sparked by major new tech. The last big cycle was powered by the rise of the internet and digital tech. Now, we’re seeing AI, renewable energy, blockchain, and other tech booming. If these catch on widely, they could be the boost we need for a new growth phase, making 2024-2025 a time to watch for big moves in tech and investment. Aren't you contradicting yourself. You say that this K-Wave cycle was boosted by the internet and digital tech, and yet you say that K-wave cycles last between forty and sixty years. The internet became mainstream in the late 90s and early 00s. This means that the current K-wave cycle of growth could continue up until 2050 and beyond. Saying that 2024 and 2025 are "crucial years" seems pretty generic to me. I could say that 2027 and 2028 would be crucial years for the global economy. Can you change my mind? I don't think so. The global economy is being reshaped by the current geopolitical situation, not by Kondratiev waves.
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Ishicryptic
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November 03, 2024, 01:00:00 PM |
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New Technologies Leading the Way Each K-Wave cycle has been sparked by major new tech. The last big cycle was powered by the rise of the internet and digital tech. Now, we’re seeing AI, renewable energy, blockchain, and other tech booming. If these catch on widely, they could be the boost we need for a new growth phase, making 2024-2025 a time to watch for big moves in tech and investment. Aren't you contradicting yourself. You say that this K-Wave cycle was boosted by the internet and digital tech, and yet you say that K-wave cycles last between forty and sixty years. The internet became mainstream in the late 90s and early 00s. This means that the current K-wave cycle of growth could continue up until 2050 and beyond. Saying that 2024 and 2025 are "crucial years" seems pretty generic to me. I could say that 2027 and 2028 would be crucial years for the global economy. Can you change my mind? I don't think so. The global economy is being reshaped by the current geopolitical situation, not by Kondratiev waves. This is my thoughts too, the OP statement is contradictory, the technological advancements that we're experiencing now is not up to 50 or 60 years, so the k wave theory doesn't hold as far as what is happening now is concerned. Like most theories that analyzes timeframe of what will happen in the future, they are all speculative, so it doesn't mean that they will happen as speculated. With the crisis and wars that have hit some parts of the world will make it quite difficult to see a paradigm shift that will spike a change within this year and the next.
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Wonder Work
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November 03, 2024, 01:37:14 PM |
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spin............
I don't know how you consider these years to be important, I don't think they are important because from where I am now, 2023 has been a very rough and tough year, and then 2024 was going to be pretty good, but it didn't really happen. I don't think 2024 is important year, I don't know what will happen in 2025 but I think 2024 year will be nothing but stupidity. When you call a year important, you have to think about many things and then call it because you have to think about everything, not just thinking about one side, what was the direction of the economy this year or in which direction it is going, what is happening in the current position, everything has to be analyzed. This can't be done by surveying only one country to see it, you have to look at all the countries of the world at once and then comment on it, so I don't think these years are important. How do you think these years are important? .
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Fiatless
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November 03, 2024, 01:54:20 PM Last edit: November 03, 2024, 02:21:00 PM by Fiatless |
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Shifts in Politics and Global Policy Big global changes often impact K-Wave cycles, too. Right now, governments are focused on issues like climate change, reshaping supply chains, and energy security. These shifts could lead to a big economic reset in the next few years, paving the way for growth.
So, according to K-Wave theory, 2024 and 2025 could be a make-or-break period—either we see more challenges or the start of something big.
I also don't consider this theory important. I just read about it and saw that it has been disputed by many economists because if its many pitfalls. Countries are making policies such as fixing of interest rates monthly while budgets are planned yearly. While would I have to wait for forty to sixty years to make economic decisions. In my country the economy have been going down for more than six decades and there have never been any improvement. The issue of climate change, supply chain and energy have always been the focus of many government for a long time now. The drive for green energy have always been promoted by developed nations and I don't see how it will lead to a global economic reset. My focus now is on the Bitcoin bull run, maybe I will consider other investment after end of the cycle.
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BlackHatCoiner
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Bitcoin is ontological repair
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November 03, 2024, 05:06:56 PM |
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There's a great article talking about these big cycles that occur every few decades, and it involves Bitcoin, I absolutely recommend you to read it: https://brandonquittem.com/bitcoin-rhythms-of-history/. And yes, these years will be crucial. Not sure if it's going to be 2024, or 2025. But, in general, until around 2030, a few important decisions will be taken that will shape the future of the next generations. Currently, we're at the end of the current saeculum, which started after WW2. We're slowly entering a new era.
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Oluwa-btc
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November 03, 2024, 05:49:28 PM |
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But why? It is simply because the government is excessively dubious and greedy that they only regulates the system of the economy to grow fatter for their own pockets. Nevertheless, a time of rescue would come but not sure if it would be lead by your theory of K-theory
The government need to be intentional about this because the arms of power are been led by them but looking at 2024 it's already gone and it's an avenue and lesson for everyone to take the upcoming year seriously cause its going to be the crucial year and a more reason the government need to put empahadiis on the growth of the economy inorder to make something big out of the crucial year. But I don't really sink deep into K- theory and it's effectiveness in the economy regardless the need for growth should not be underestimated.
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AmoreJaz
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
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November 03, 2024, 11:02:15 PM Last edit: November 04, 2024, 06:18:54 PM by AmoreJaz |
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There's a great article talking about these big cycles that occur every few decades, and it involves Bitcoin, I absolutely recommend you to read it: https://brandonquittem.com/bitcoin-rhythms-of-history/. And yes, these years will be crucial. Not sure if it's going to be 2024, or 2025. But, in general, until around 2030, a few important decisions will be taken that will shape the future of the next generations. Currently, we're at the end of the current saeculum, which started after WW2. We're slowly entering a new era. I believe if you are in this market, treat every year as crucial so you can make smart decisions towards this market. Because in that manner, you will optimize the benefits brought about by this industry. So don't wait for a particular year to make a move or decide what you need to do in this market. If you have the means and the belief, start making some decisions and not rely from other's suggestions or opinions. every year is crucial or not crucial depending on where you stand and what importance have economical developments for you. For a fisher in a village on the coast of Madagascar the development of the NY Stock Exchange is meaningless. For a mid level manager in Blackrock its all or nothing.
And for our financial wizards here on asktom.cf its something they believe they can make an impression. I always wonder what is it what drives the financial wizards on TikTok, most likely OPM; often unemployed and without the slightest idea of finance, let alone world or US- economy.
The decision will be at your disposal at the end of the day. Because the funds you are going to utilize is from your pockets. So if you are not financially literate, would be hard to come up with a decision that you can truly say, you cover all the angles not to suffer loss or at least mitigate your losses.
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tabas
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November 04, 2024, 09:05:00 AM |
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I am not familiar with the KWave but I have watched something about this and it's convincing that there's this economic pattern of struggles and booms. While 2024 is about to end, we can say specifically for the crypto market that it's been an amazing year. This year when the halving has happened and if we'll connect it with that, we've got a new ATH prior to that and next year is the expected year where the top of the bull run will be shown. Cycles and patterns that we believe we've seen on this market are what we're leaning mostly. But if this KWave theory is right, it hits the points about the 4-year bull run cycle of Bitcoin too and it makes sense that in economic patterns, there really are that's existing and it's hard to process that in my mind on how it's possible but the numbers don't lie.
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icalical
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November 04, 2024, 11:44:26 AM |
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The notion of a reset or growth phase, as brought about by the Kondratieff Wave theory in 2024-2025, is still pretty complex from the current economic point of view. In some regions, inflation has been easing, but it is still above what central banks would like to see. Projections indicate that sticky service costs and potential shocks to trade may continue to elevate inflation above target levels. Central banks are performing a balancing act, where economic growth has to be balanced with contained inflation in major economies like the US. Some rate cuts are likely, but market uncertainty will remain high due to ongoing struggles faced by sectors such as housing and industrial production in Europe and China.
On the technological side, AI and renewable energy are on the high road, but the effects need not necessarily percolate into the wider economy in a very short period of time. New technology has generated exuberance, but industries and infrastructure take time to adapt. Political factors include impending US elections and possible policy changes with respect to climate and trade, and these may prove to be game-changers for the global markets. So, it just again seems a little bit difficult to pinpoint exactly an out-and-out recovery or growth phase.
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el kaka22
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www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games
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November 07, 2024, 08:20:05 PM |
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I am not sure if this would be the case, I have no clue what this Kwave thing is about, and I do not know if there will be a reset or not. What I know, is that four year cycle in crypto is real, has been real for all the times in the past, and should be real now as well, and the looks of right now shows that it will probably be real because that's the path we are on so far. Similar results means that bitcoin could reach to a serious 180k dollars, not impossible to get there, in fact that is a realistic target as well.
So, we could definitely consider how we could improve ourselves with crypto. Don't care what the fiat world will do, that is what fiat world should care about, I only care about bitcoin prices and that seems to be looking good.
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N.O
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November 14, 2024, 09:05:06 PM |
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I am not sure if this would be the case, I have no clue what this Kwave thing is about, and I do not know if there will be a reset or not. What I know, is that four year cycle in crypto is real, has been real for all the times in the past, and should be real now as well, and the looks of right now shows that it will probably be real because that's the path we are on so far. Similar results means that bitcoin could reach to a serious 180k dollars, not impossible to get there, in fact that is a realistic target as well.
So, we could definitely consider how we could improve ourselves with crypto. Don't care what the fiat world will do, that is what fiat world should care about, I only care about bitcoin prices and that seems to be looking good.
The Year 2025 will be best for the investment in cryptocurrency because there are hundreds of coins which have osum market cap and best volume. The projects which are running smoothly for the several years , we can research on that projects because these can give huge amount of profit in future. If You want to invest in cryptocurrency, firstly you have to get knowledge of market situation and then you should pick best coins and then you should invest in that coins when market is very low and all people are ready to buy and you should buy at low price because after some weeks or months coin will pump and we will see bubble in that .This will be happen with 60 percent of coins and you will lose the money of you invested your all money on only to one coin.
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Smartprofit
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November 15, 2024, 09:15:50 PM |
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The Kondratieff Wave theory, or "K-Wave," says economies go through big cycles that last 40 to 60 years, with phases of growth, slowdown, crisis, and recovery. Based on this idea, 2024 and 2025 could be pivotal years where we start to turn things around—or even kick off a new phase of growth.
A Possible Turning Point We’re coming out of a long period of economic struggles: rising prices, high debt, and slower global growth. According to K-Wave theory, downturns like these often lead to a reset. Many central banks are trying to fix things by adjusting interest rates and policies, so 2024 and 2025 could reveal if these efforts work and help the economy get back on track.
New Technologies Leading the Way Each K-Wave cycle has been sparked by major new tech. The last big cycle was powered by the rise of the internet and digital tech. Now, we’re seeing AI, renewable energy, blockchain, and other tech booming. If these catch on widely, they could be the boost we need for a new growth phase, making 2024-2025 a time to watch for big moves in tech and investment.
Shifts in Politics and Global Policy Big global changes often impact K-Wave cycles, too. Right now, governments are focused on issues like climate change, reshaping supply chains, and energy security. These shifts could lead to a big economic reset in the next few years, paving the way for growth.
So, according to K-Wave theory, 2024 and 2025 could be a make-or-break period—either we see more challenges or the start of something big.
Kondratiev's wave theory is an interesting theory, but no theory can predict the future with absolute accuracy. You write about the development of new technologies. However, in my opinion, the current state of most new technologies is disappointing. For example, blockchain technology led to the creation of Bitcoin (digital gold, a global decentralized protocol for transferring value in virtual space). And this is very good! At the same time, blockchain technology turned out to be useless in almost all other areas of human activity. Alternative green energy is not able to provide Mankind with the amount of electricity it needs. And modern Mankind needs a lot of electricity. In particular, Artificial Intelligence (a very important breakthrough technology) may stop developing in 2-3 years precisely because of the shortage of electricity. People of the 21st century did not build a thermonuclear reactor, and after the Chernobyl accident, nuclear electricity was recognized as unsafe. As a result, many countries have abandoned the construction of new nuclear power plants, which may lead to a critical shortage of electricity in the near future.
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