[UPDATED] Post election Trump, prediction bets, will USA own Greenland bets

[EarnOnVictor]

On April 2, there will be an occurence that might cause a market dump on traditional finance and the cryptospace. The Donald will announce and confirm which countries will be given reciprocal tariffs because they tariffed American products in their own countries.

Your prediction was accurate, kudos! Though I didn't know how you predicted that because the 25% tariff on autos was announced on the 27th, and of course, it has stated dragging the market downwards, but not much. However, your dump alert of the 28th, which you actually announced around 4:30 am is praiseful because I didn't believe anything caused by Trump's trade war against China, Mexico and Canada could have such an impact on Bitcoin market until April 2 because they were not new.

Regardless, my chart radar caught it, and I was grateful to take advantage of it without linking it to any news.

[bbc.reporter]

@EarnOnVictor. It was not my prediction heheheh. It was very much clear what might occur after the Donald's announcement. Also, Canada's statement about their friendship with America is over was another occurrence that made it more certain that the market will dump.

In any case, this dumping on the market which is presently happening might be finished when the official announcement on April 2 will finally happen hehehe. Will this be a pump the negative news type of occurrence? This pump will certainly be headshaking for everyone heheheheh.

[tread93]

On April 2, there will be an occurence that might cause a market dump on traditional finance and the cryptospace. The Donald will announce and confirm which countries will be given reciprocal tariffs because they tariffed American products in their own countries.

The highest chance to get a tariff are on China, Canada and Mexico. It is speculated that this is also because these countries are not doing their responsibility to stop the fentaynil trade that goes through these countries then on American borders. However, it is headshaking to witness other American allies in this list like South Korea, India and Japan.

Source https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-tariff-on-april-2?tid=1743135607566

Could be another opportunity to make some money and of course others will lose. It is very hard to predict the market but if you're right do you think thay the price will go down and then shoot back up? It's pretty wild seeing these play major roles in and affect the price of bitcoin so much in the short term.

[EarnOnVictor]

@EarnOnVictor. It was not my prediction heheheh. It was very much clear what might occur after the Donald's announcement. Also, Canada's statement about their friendship with America is over was another occurrence that made it more certain that the market will dump.

You are laughable right now if you can't know the difference between what comes from you and the position you take about it from what is widely portrayed by others. Yours is peculiar to you as your prediction/view on that post, so don't abuse English and the responsibility of self-expression by some flimsy cover.

By the way, it's not today that Canada's PM has talked tough when the market had subsided and nothing happened. Bitcoin even climbed in many of them. You can practically know that there's a difference this time with the huge dump. That day was not even the day Trump declared the 25% tariff on autos, there is even more to that, and probably you guessed/gambled.

In any case, this dumping on the market which is presently happening might be finished when the official announcement on April 2 will finally happen hehehe. Will this be a pump the negative news type of occurrence? This pump will certainly be headshaking for everyone heheheheh.

Are you kidding me? What the technical and economic stances are pointing to is no joke. This is the view of a larger dump, wake up. And in case you don't know, it's a wider weakening scope that is just beginning on the said April 2...hehehe

[bbc.reporter]

@EarnOnVictor. Hehehe I was only speculating because when everyone has become so very much negative on the market, the contrarian in me wants to be the opposite. However, you are correct. If there will be a pump, this might not be very long. The market might pump a few days and continue the dump again. The tactic might be to short sell on every dump and close the position after some percentage of profits.

In any case, do you also follow Jim Cramer? He very much appears like the mr. opposite man of the market. If he is bearish the market will pump, if he is bullish the market will dump heheheheh.

[bbc.reporter]

The bettors who speculated have won their bets already hehehe. This is very headshaking because I have never expected that the Donald will he the candidate who would cause the big dump on this market. However, after the big dump, I am very much optimistic that the big pump will also occur. I wish they will quicken their decisions, however.



Polymarket punters pour into bearish Bitcoin bets as Trump tariffs bite

One pool that boasts more than $6 million in trading volume now puts a 73% chance of Bitcoin plummeting to $70,000 by the end of the year.

Bettors in another $3 million pool, which asks, “What price will Bitcoin hit in April?” give a 83% chance of the cryptocurrency falling to $80,000.

Read in full https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/polymarket-punters-bearish-on-bitcoin-after-trump-tariffs/



In any case, this 50+ bps decrease might pump from 5% to 30% for this month, I reckon. I have made my bet already heheheh. However, I will not wait for the decision on May. I will sell this for a profit if this pumps to 25% rating.



Source https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-may-2025

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that the rating for this 50+ bps decrease on May has dumped from 5% to only presently 3% after the Donald has declared a pause on the tariff hehehehe. I am very much skeptical if this administration is very serious on their announcements because the skeptical me is beginning to think that they want a dump on the market to buy on a much lower price before they create hype and pump the market hehehe.

I am quite certain that much of you will have your head shaking if I speculate on this, however after the Trump and Melania memecoins pump and dump, we can be quite certain that their secret ingredient is crime.

[bbc.reporter]

On the Donald's tariff and reciprocal tariff against many countries, there is a market on which countries will agree to trade deals to occur before July, 2025. One of these countries is China with a prediction rating of 52%.

What is everyone's speculation? Will the Chinamen agree to a trade deal with the Donald or will they continue this war and wait for each other to destroy their economies?



Source https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-trade-deals-with-before-july?tid=1744962452026

[bbc.reporter]

Ratings update on who will agree on a trade deal with America before July, 2025. It appears that there was a negative occurrence with Canada because their rating was from 85% and presently it is only 56%. China's rating has also dumped from 52% to 35%. It appears that the Donald might have underestimated the chances that these countries might be scared of his administration's tariffs. There are speculations already that America might become slowly an isolated country.

What is everyone's speculation?




Source https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-trade-deals-with-before-july?tid=1745293377116

[fruktik]

If people from other countries are allowed to vote, they will most likely vote him.

Outside of America, people see Trump as the Messiah. You need to see the huge celebration that erupted in some parts of some countries where he won, you would immediately think that they voted for him.

He is going to win the Time magazine's person of the year

So how are things going? Do those who voted for Trump feel that he is the person the state needs? Somehow I doubt it very much. Now his supporters are apologizing to the whole world and are very upset by the choice. And what did the people who trusted a bankrupt businessman who failed his business 6 times want? They need to think with their heads, not with the place where they sit.

It was immediately obvious that he was talking complete nonsense and did not understand what he was saying. And now what? The whole country and not only is going crazy in anticipation of this character's next "feat".

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that the tariffs that America has imposed against China will go down. However, similar to what is mentioned to this article, this tariff on China will not go down immediately. What might go down immediately are the tariffs imposed on India, Japan, Vietnam and other exporting countries in Asia. The Donald might force China to beg for a deal hehehe.

Trade deal agreement rating on China has increased to 40% on Polymarket.



Markets were buoyed by morning remarks from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who reportedly told investors at a closed-door JPMorgan event that the tariff standoff with China was unsustainable. Bessent said de-escalation would come “in the very near future,” characterizing current conditions as a “trade embargo.”

Then President Trump, speaking to reporters in the White House later in the afternoon, said that U.S. tariffs on China "will come down substantially" from the current 145% level, allaying concerns of a spiraling trade war.

Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/22/bitcoin-tops-usd91k-as-trade-optimism-fuels-crypto-rally-but-demand-headwinds-remain

[bbc.reporter]

The ratings on much of the countries that will begin to agree with trade deals with America are slowly increasing. I am not following much of the news on this topic, only following the ratings chart and it appears that the traders of this market are speculating that the world will be okay before July despite the declarations of the Donald hehe. My only wish is a superpump on bitcoin after this.

[bbc.reporter]

An update on which countries will have trade deals with America before July?

It is very headshaking and also very much funny that the Xi of the Jin and the Ping of China was the first to accept the trade deal with America heheheeh. I thought they were going to begin another trade war that might proceed to the beginning for a world war 3. I very much wish this will not happen.



Source https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-trade-deals-with-before-july?tid=1747886977877

[bbc.reporter]

After the Donald's creation of the ceasefire and peace agreement between Israel and Iran, it appears that he is being nominated for the Nobel peace prize hehehehe. Polymarket expectedly has started a prediction market for this and the present rating of this is on 11%.

I am not quite certain if there are manipulations and bribes that are being done to win the Nobel peace prize, however, if the Donald will win this, there will certainly be very angry people hehehehee.



Source https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-win-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025?tid=1750998426398

[Fiatless]

After the Donald's creation of the ceasefire and peace agreement between Israel and Iran, it appears that he is being nominated for the Nobel peace prize hehehehe. Polymarket expectedly has started a prediction market for this and the present rating of this is on 11%.

I am not quite certain if there are manipulations and bribes that are being done to win the Nobel peace prize, however, if the Donald will win this, there will certainly be very angry people hehehehee.

The Nobel Peace Prize should be awarded to an individual who promotes peace. I don't think Donald Trump deserves it because he started the war between Iran and Israel. So he wants to take credit for ending the war he contributed to start? He might reserve the right to win the award if he facilitates the end of the killings happening in Gaza. Representative Buddy Carter of Georgia was wrong to nominate Trump.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that the attention is on the government shutdown in America. According to prediction market Polymarket the shutdown might end later after November 16. However, what are the opinions of mainstream news media? Are they agreeing with the prediction markets or disagreeing?

This will be another example on which data source has more accuracy heeheheh.



Prediction market bettors are growing increasingly convinced that the U.S. government shutdown will make history. Contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a resumption of government after 40 days, surpassing the 35-day record set in 2019.

Traders on Polymarket assign the highest probability to a resolution around November 15, while Kalshi’s duration market forecasts an average length of 41.6 days, which would bring it to November 11.

Source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/10/21/asia-morning-briefing-prediction-markets-say-government-shutdown-will-be-record-setting

https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-government-shutdown-end-545?tid=1761184704292

[bbc.reporter]

If you have read about the news update that the Donald has pardoned Changpeng Zhao the founder of Binance, it appears that the traders in Polymarket are beginning to speculate on the pardon of Sam Bankman-Fried also heheheh.

The people in social media have begun to call him Sam Bankman-Freed.



Source https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025?tid=1761309059119

[bbc.reporter]

There are more Polymarket traders that speculate that the government shutdown in America will end on November 16 or longer. This has increased because before there were more Polymarket traders that speculated that it will end on November 15.

This will be headshaking of the shutdown will continue because this also implies that the Clarity Act will not be passed and delivered to the office of the Donald. This also implies that bitcoin and other cryptocoins will not pump.





Source https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-government-shutdown-end-545?tid=1762394855347

[bbc.reporter]

News update.

This is very good news and a very good win for the Polymarket gamblers who have bet that the shutdown will occur on November 12-15.

According to cryptonews media, the senators in America has found a solution to end the government shutdown.



Bitcoin Rebounds as Polymarket Traders Bet U.S. Shutdown Will End Within Days

Prediction markets flipped overnight after Senate negotiators reached a bipartisan funding deal, sending crypto and risk assets higher on expectations that Washington will reopen before Veterans Day.

Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/11/10/asia-morning-briefing-bitcoin-rebounds-as-polymarket-traders-bet-u-s-shutdown-will-end-within-days



On Polymarket, the rating on government shutdown ending on November 12-15 has increased from 34% to 60%.



Source https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-government-shutdown-end-545

[bbc.reporter]

Prediction ratings update.

According to the latest Polymarket rating on when the government shutdown in America will end, this presently has increased from 60% to 97%. It appears that the gamblers in Polymarket have risked much of their money on the bet that the government shutdown will end on November 12-15 hehehe. This might be our chance to buy some cryptocoins before the pump causes by the declaration of the shutdown heheheeh.