[UPDATED] Post election Trump, prediction bets, will USA own Greenland bets

[bbc.reporter]

Just because Trump won the elections, don't think that things will get easy for him all of a sudden. At the moment, the GOP has a wafer thin majority, both at the House and at the Senate. And some of the senators, such as Murkowske and Collins are completely against Trump. If they get one or two of the RINOs to side with them, then they can block many of the bills that Trump will introduce.

Trump should have campaigned for GOP senate candidates such as Eric Hovde in Wisconsin, Mike Rogers in Michigan, Kari Lake in Arizona, Sam Brown in Nevada, Nella Domenici in New Mexico, Hung Cao in Virginia and Curtis Bashaw in New Jersey. But neither Trump nor the GOP gave any attention to these elections. In the end many of them lost by very thin margins.

Rogers: lost by 0.3%
Hovde: lost by 0.9%
Brown: lost by 1.7%
 

I very much agree! The American presidency is the most difficult job in the world. There will be much stress on his mind and also on his body. I predict that there might be an occurrence during the Donald's term where he might file a leave of absence because of his health that might be very much negatively affected by his job.

In any case, on this Trump bets and other political bets, what is everyone's speculation on the war in Gaza? Will this war end within 100 days of the Donald's presidency?

Everyone can find the odds in Polymarket.

https://polymarket.com/dashboards/trump

[Julien_Olynpic]

There are currently a lot of betting topics related to Trump on Polymarket. Trump is a very resonant figure, he has a lot of eccentric and clearly unrealistic promises. Even regarding his promise to end the war in Ukraine before the inauguration - this is very difficult to do, because before the inauguration the newly elected president is prohibited from conducting official political activities on behalf of the United States. Nevertheless, some informal contacts are certainly taking place. It is funny that his communication to cancel the tip tax on Polymarket has only gained 22% "for" at the moment.

[kotajikikox]

I very much agree! The American presidency is the most difficult job in the world. There will be much stress on his mind and also on his body. I predict that there might be an occurrence during the Donald's term where he might file a leave of absence because of his health that might be very much negatively affected by his job.

Being president to any country is difficult but even more so when the country you will be handling is a country that has major influences over the entire world and has political ties with almost every country whether it is positive or negative.

This is why a young healthy president must be elected but alas it is he.

In any case, on this Trump bets and other political bets, what is everyone's speculation on the war in Gaza? Will this war end within 100 days of the Donald's presidency?

I find it quite unethical to bet on this and put money on the lives of many people but for sake of discussion, I do not think so. This war has been going on for a long time and unfortunately for both sides I think it will only continue. Or if it ends eventually, it is because there is no one left in Gaza since US helps Israel with militar power.

[bbc.reporter]

There are currently a lot of betting topics related to Trump on Polymarket. Trump is a very resonant figure, he has a lot of eccentric and clearly unrealistic promises. Even regarding his promise to end the war in Ukraine before the inauguration - this is very difficult to do, because before the inauguration the newly elected president is prohibited from conducting official political activities on behalf of the United States. Nevertheless, some informal contacts are certainly taking place. It is funny that his communication to cancel the tip tax on Polymarket has only gained 22% "for" at the moment.

I reckon that these prediction markets were created not because of the popularity of the Donald, this is because there is a market for this type of betting. If the winner of the American presidency is the woke Kamala Harris, I am quite certain there will be a prediction market for her and the war on the Gaza strip and the bets for yes will be very much lower hehehehehe.

@kotajikikox. This is not unethical. This is only a demonstration on money and how more accurate these prediction markets might be compared to mainstream news media polls and predictions.

[Sithara007]

✂✂✂✂
In any case, on this Trump bets and other political bets, what is everyone's speculation on the war in Gaza? Will this war end within 100 days of the Donald's presidency?

Everyone can find the odds in Polymarket.

https://polymarket.com/dashboards/trump

Chances are quite low. This time, GOP gained a lot with ultra-orthodox Jews, especially in New York and New Jersey. This is a rapidly expanding demographic group and they may be very powerful in the next few election cycles. On top of that a core GOP voting bloc (Evangelical Christians) are strongly supporting Israel in this war. And finally, most of the pro-Palestinian voters in the US are either Arabs or the radical left. Hardly any of these guys are going to vote for GOP irrespective of his stance on Gaza. 

[Haunebu]

I reckon that these prediction markets were created not because of the popularity of the Donald, this is because there is a market for this type of betting. If the winner of the American presidency is the woke Kamala Harris, I am quite certain there will be a prediction market for her and the war on the Gaza strip and the bets for yes will be very much lower hehehehehe.

Trump isn't going to do shit about any of the ongoing wars despite all of his lofty promises because he couldn't care less. The dude just blurted out lies on a platter to make sure that he got votes in his favor just like any other politician out there.

Harris would most probably do the same frankly speaking. That's sadly just how the world works.

[bbc.reporter]

I reckon that these prediction markets were created not because of the popularity of the Donald, this is because there is a market for this type of betting. If the winner of the American presidency is the woke Kamala Harris, I am quite certain there will be a prediction market for her and the war on the Gaza strip and the bets for yes will be very much lower hehehehehe.

Trump isn't going to do shit about any of the ongoing wars despite all of his lofty promises because he couldn't care less. The dude just blurted out lies on a platter to make sure that he got votes in his favor just like any other politician out there.

Harris would most probably do the same frankly speaking. That's sadly just how the world works.

Similar to the election, this is where the difference between opinions and the news in mainstream media be proven correct or wrong against the prediction markets. On your opinion, the prediction market in Polymarket predicts that there is presently a chance of 62% that the Donald will end the war on Gaza in his first 100 days of his presidency.



We will create a pretend bet of $100 on no because we will pretend that our belief is the Donald will never stop this war. Our bet will win $256 hehehehe. This will be very much exciting for the 100 days of the Donald.

[Mpamaegbu]

This will certainly be very much become a comedy if Trump will win for the Time magazine's person of the year.

I don't know why it should become a comedy if Trump wins according to you. He deserves to win it. Who else if not a man who survived character assassination and life and then went on to win the US presidential election. Isn't that enough to prove how well he's loved by majority of his compatriots? But of course, it's!

These people who hate him be quite pulling their hairs hehehehe.

They should freely do so. In fact, they should go hug transformers.

If people from other countries are allowed to vote, they will most likely vote him.

Yes, they will. Apart from Elon Musk on that list, I don't see any other person who's credible to be considered for such.

[LUCKMCFLY]

I very much agree! The American presidency is the most difficult job in the world. There will be much stress on his mind and also on his body. I predict that there might be an occurrence during the Donald's term where he might file a leave of absence because of his health that might be very much negatively affected by his job.

In any case, on this Trump bets and other political bets, what is everyone's speculation on the war in Gaza? Will this war end within 100 days of the Donald's presidency?

Everyone can find the odds in Polymarket.

https://polymarket.com/dashboards/trump

There is no doubt that having so much stress can affect his health, but there is no need to wish evil, he has not even begun to govern, there is still time for him to get started, we are barely at the beginning of January, according to how he is, it is not the first time he is president, he already knows how to keep everything up to date, obviously he has to delegate, but frankly what I like most about Trump is that he is not pro-war, he does not accept those things as a means to make money, because wars are money, they are business for many politicians, fortunately a president won whose main idea is no to wars and the improvement of the world economy.

[GeorgeJohn]

I reckon that these prediction markets were created not because of the popularity of the Donald, this is because there is a market for this type of betting. If the winner of the American presidency is the woke Kamala Harris, I am quite certain there will be a prediction market for her and the war on the Gaza strip and the bets for yes will be very much lower hehehehehe.

Trump isn't going to do shit about any of the ongoing wars despite all of his lofty promises because he couldn't care less. The dude just blurted out lies on a platter to make sure that he got votes in his favor just like any other politician out there.

Harris would most probably do the same frankly speaking. That's sadly just how the world works.

It's obvious that Donald Trump will do well more than Harris assuming it was Harris that won the election, the leadership of Joe Biden would have be the leadership of Harris, let us forget about sentiments, and focus on the realities, it's clear that the promise made during campaign by politicians, not all they attend to when they assume off, so that's want us to understand towards politicians. Especially during their campaign period, they need to convince you in order to get your vote..

[mirakal]

I am not at all surprised by the fact that Donald Trump has become Person of the Year. What has happened to him in recent years (starting with the storming of the Capitol) could well become the basis for a script for a stunning blockbuster!

He was hounded in the American press, criminal cases were brought against him, he was shot at, but he survived, won and became President of the United States. This is a truly stunning story! Now many people around the world (especially Americans) are pinning their hopes on Donald Trump coming to power.

Personally, I would bet on Donald Trump without hesitation (with any odds). No politician or public figure is more famous than he is at the moment.

I wasn’t actually a big fan of Trump, but compared to other candidates being listed, I would admit Trump has certainly gained more remarkable achievements within this year, so my vote would still be for Trump. Others may have sided Harris or Elon over Trump probably because they find them more significant than Trump this year, and that’s also their personal point of view.

[shogun47]

Just because Trump won the elections, don't think that things will get easy for him all of a sudden. At the moment, the GOP has a wafer thin majority, both at the House and at the Senate. And some of the senators, such as Murkowske and Collins are completely against Trump. If they get one or two of the RINOs to side with them, then they can block many of the bills that Trump will introduce.

Trump should have campaigned for GOP senate candidates such as Eric Hovde in Wisconsin, Mike Rogers in Michigan, Kari Lake in Arizona, Sam Brown in Nevada, Nella Domenici in New Mexico, Hung Cao in Virginia and Curtis Bashaw in New Jersey. But neither Trump nor the GOP gave any attention to these elections. In the end many of them lost by very thin margins.

Rogers: lost by 0.3%
Hovde: lost by 0.9%
Brown: lost by 1.7%
 

I very much agree! The American presidency is the most difficult job in the world. There will be much stress on his mind and also on his body. I predict that there might be an occurrence during the Donald's term where he might file a leave of absence because of his health that might be very much negatively affected by his job.

In any case, on this Trump bets and other political bets, what is everyone's speculation on the war in Gaza? Will this war end within 100 days of the Donald's presidency?

Everyone can find the odds in Polymarket.

https://polymarket.com/dashboards/trump

Sorry but I doubt that an alpha male like Donald Trump would ever consider stepping back because of health issues. He is a guy who would do everything in his power to hide any events that could point to him not being healthy. Keep in mind that he was attacking joe Biden for his health issues all the time and now how would it look if he runs into age problems and has to admit that he can't get the job done properly. It's highly unlikely that this would happen during his term.

[uneng]

That is all ridiculous. Person of the year is the average anonymous citizen who managed to survive among the chaotic economical situation of the world and its moral decadence. This bullshit of person of the year award has completely lose its purpose. It's purely reversal of values, as a politician who is constantly lying and manipulating the masses while representing the interests of the establishment is exalted as the supreme personality of the world for the year.

It teaches people that the practices adopted by politicians to do anything in order to reach power are worthy and rewarding.

[bbc.reporter]

This will certainly be very much become a comedy if Trump will win for the Time magazine's person of the year.

I don't know why it should become a comedy if Trump wins according to you. He deserves to win it. Who else if not a man who survived character assassination and life and then went on to win the US presidential election. Isn't that enough to prove how well he's loved by majority of his compatriots? But of course, it's!

These people who hate him be quite pulling their hairs hehehehe.

They should freely do so. In fact, they should go hug transformers.

This is a comedy because very much of everyone hates the Donald like he has personally done something wrong those people heheheeh. This is certainly making them pull their hairs until the will become bald similar to our favorite uncle Gary Gensler.

In any case, what is this transformers that you are speaking? Are you implying that these people who are sharing hateful messages towards the Donald on social media are bots?

[Sithara007]

Sorry but I doubt that an alpha male like Donald Trump would ever consider stepping back because of health issues. He is a guy who would do everything in his power to hide any events that could point to him not being healthy. Keep in mind that he was attacking joe Biden for his health issues all the time and now how would it look if he runs into age problems and has to admit that he can't get the job done properly. It's highly unlikely that this would happen during his term.

GOP won the presidential race solely because of Trump. If you look at states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, Trump won all these states. But the GOP senate candidate lost to the Democrat rival. Biden's case was different. Back in 2020, he was more of a liability for the Democrat party. Most of the senate candidates performed better than Biden in swing states (this time also, almost all of the Democrat senate candidates performed better than far-left Kamala). Given this, Trump has every right to cling to the presidential office.

[Haunebu]

We will create a pretend bet of $100 on no because we will pretend that our belief is the Donald will never stop this war. Our bet will win $256 hehehehe. This will be very much exciting for the 100 days of the Donald.

I already placed a small bet on 'No' over there since it's easy money. The ones who voted for 'Yes' are way too gullible if you ask me.

Sorry but I doubt that an alpha male like Donald Trump would ever consider stepping back because of health issues.

Alpha male : Trump? Bruh!

It teaches people that the practices adopted by politicians to do anything in order to reach power are worthy and rewarding.

Times person of the year has nothing to do with honor. It focuses on the most influential person(Good or Bad) during that period. I do agree with your opinion about these shitty practices though, but that's how the world works sadly.

[shogun47]

Sorry but I doubt that an alpha male like Donald Trump would ever consider stepping back because of health issues. He is a guy who would do everything in his power to hide any events that could point to him not being healthy. Keep in mind that he was attacking joe Biden for his health issues all the time and now how would it look if he runs into age problems and has to admit that he can't get the job done properly. It's highly unlikely that this would happen during his term.

GOP won the presidential race solely because of Trump. If you look at states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, Trump won all these states. But the GOP senate candidate lost to the Democrat rival. Biden's case was different. Back in 2020, he was more of a liability for the Democrat party. Most of the senate candidates performed better than Biden in swing states (this time also, almost all of the Democrat senate candidates performed better than far-left Kamala). Given this, Trump has every right to cling to the presidential office.

Ok this could be a long story to be discussed, but holding onto Biden undermined the democratic party as a whole. I believe in his best times he could have been a great president, gut now what everyone could observe it was shameful and I think the crowd thought that a party that tries to hide and support a candidate like Biden is most likely not able to present anyone else who could seriously challenge a Republican candidate. They have taken it too far and should have stopped the whole thing earlier, if not avoid Biden altogether. In hindsight, this guy was too old, but I admit I didn't see it on his first day as president. To me it seems his decay accelerated and we will see whether Trump with his age will do much better for his whole term. I think he is healthy enough to be doing great for two years, maybe three years, but I also think that four years could be quite a distance for him as he is not the smartest guy in the world. Age would only add to his downfall.

[boyptc]

That is all ridiculous. Person of the year is the average anonymous citizen who managed to survive among the chaotic economical situation of the world and its moral decadence. This bullshit of person of the year award has completely lose its purpose. It's purely reversal of values, as a politician who is constantly lying and manipulating the masses while representing the interests of the establishment is exalted as the supreme personality of the world for the year.

It teaches people that the practices adopted by politicians to do anything in order to reach power are worthy and rewarding.

While there are some of those personalities that I might agree deserve to get that award.

It truly have lost its way of putting the right person that deserves that award. Sometimes, it cannot be removed in the thoughts of many people that these awards became a BS.

They could have been paid just to get that award and for them to capitalized whatever popularity or niche they're getting in to make people believe that they're good and deserve, this applies to all.

[Sithara007]

Ok this could be a long story to be discussed, but holding onto Biden undermined the democratic party as a whole. I believe in his best times he could have been a great president, gut now what everyone could observe it was shameful and I think the crowd thought that a party that tries to hide and support a candidate like Biden is most likely not able to present anyone else who could seriously challenge a Republican candidate. They have taken it too far and should have stopped the whole thing earlier, if not avoid Biden altogether. In hindsight, this guy was too old, but I admit I didn't see it on his first day as president. To me it seems his decay accelerated and we will see whether Trump with his age will do much better for his whole term. I think he is healthy enough to be doing great for two years, maybe three years, but I also think that four years could be quite a distance for him as he is not the smartest guy in the world. Age would only add to his downfall.

Holding on to Biden in a way impacted the Democrat prospects. But then, Kamala's number indicated that she underperformed. Look at the swing states. Check the difference between Democrat senate candidates and Kamala. She failed to attract the neutral voters, as a result of her far-left policies, and it was very clear from the results. Democrats made two mistakes this time. First, they failed to replace Biden quickly enough. And secondly, they failed to select a candidate who was able to attract neutral voters, when their votes mattered the most.

[bbc.reporter]

We will create a pretend bet of $100 on no because we will pretend that our belief is the Donald will never stop this war. Our bet will win $256 hehehehe. This will be very much exciting for the 100 days of the Donald.

I already placed a small bet on 'No' over there since it's easy money. The ones who voted for 'Yes' are way too gullible if you ask me.

This is good because this will prove the power of prediction markets and if they are very much more accurate in predictions if we compare this accuracy to mainstream news media or general polls created by private or government funded organizations which have certainly become very questionable because they can be manipulated.

Also, I did not create this thread because of the Donald and the prediction markets created around his presidential term. This thread is created for us to witness the accuracy of these prediction markets created around his presidential term. The woke, pink haired Kamala lovers should not take this thread personal.