Would meeting a profitable sports bettor change your mind?

[Botnake]

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

[stadus]

In my case, I already believe it’s possible to be profitable in sports betting, even though I haven’t personally met someone who can actually prove they’re profitable. Most of what convinced me came from watching videos and reading articles, and that was enough for me to believe it can be done.

I’m actually trying it now. You can check my thread and see my record for yourself.

I’m not profitable yet, but I’m not losing either, and for me that’s already a good start.

[viljy]

My general opinion is that the success of sports betting is determined not only by luck, but also by the experience and knowledge of the bettor. And something else. If I had met such a person (who constantly wins), then in the end I would have decided that he was winning because he has something else - insider information, and/or participates in match-fixing schemes, for example, as a figurehead for betting and receiving money.

[VashaUdacha777]

Hi !

I believe there are players who win consistently. I watched an interview with a guy on YouTube who was making steady profits from betting. He was focusing on stats, especially corners in matches.

But the problem was that once he started winning regularly, the bookmaker blocked his account and banned him from placing bets. In that video there was a podcast host, a representative of the bookmaker, and the player himself. They argued for a whole hour about who was right and who was wrong.

The bookmakers said their business is meant for entertainment and that they have the right to block accounts. The player, on the other hand, argued that he played fair and didn’t break any rules.

[Africolo]

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

Meeting with a profitable bettor doesn't give you a guarantee that you will start winning because you might have being motivated by his winnings, gambling is a game of luck and different people has their different kinds of luck that operates for them, you can be a friend to someone that wins betting on a daily basis and you as his friend can't win  even when you play regularly so we should understand that meeting a profitable sport bettor doesn't change mindset but it can make you want to play again to see if you're going to win.


Every winning story we hear about gambling has a way of inspiring and motivating us and some people would want to bet the more just to win and share their own stories too and once you do that you keep spending money the more because being consistent in gambling makes you loose money as you want to keep playing to win. So like have stated early it all depends on luck if not we all would have been winning profitably as we must have meet a profitable sports bettor once or twice.

[Botnake]

because he has something else - insider information, and/or participates in match-fixing schemes, for example, as a figurehead for betting and receiving money.

so you really don't believe its possible to win in a legitimate way?

But the problem was that once he started winning regularly, the bookmaker blocked his account and banned him from placing bets.

That is just a simple problem, there are lots of bookies out there, he can open many so if one blocked him, he can still play with the others.

Meeting with a profitable bettor doesn't give you a guarantee that you will start winning because you might have being motivated by his winnings, gambling is a game of luck and different people has their different kinds of luck that operates for them,

I can see that even after seeing someone who’s consistently winning in sports betting, you still believe it’s all just luck. Hmm, that’s interesting.

[Distinctin]

insider information, and/or participates in match-fixing schemes, for example, as a figurehead for betting and receiving money.

That’s not really winning, that’s straight up cheating. You don’t even need experience for that, you just need to join a syndicate, put your life at risk, and enjoy guaranteed wins. I believe that kind of thing exists, but that’s clearly not what OP is asking about. What OP is really looking for is a legitimate way to win in sports betting, something sustainable like maintaining a decent win rate and proper bankroll management over the long term.

[Upgrade00]

If I meet someone who profits constantly or claims to do so, I will put that under the 0.01% which still means it is statistically not a good approach. They could be successful cause they found a loop hole that allows them to be or they are cheating the system, whichever it is, I will not be prioritizing that as it's largely unsustainable when you look at the percentages.

That is just a simple problem, there are lots of bookies out there, he can open many so if one blocked him, he can still play with the others.

I know physical casinos communicate with each other on players to avoid. It's more difficult to do online except kyc is mandatory.

[DaNNy001]

Meeting someone that makes profit from sports betting is not good enough to convince me or change my mind about what I already know...sports betting is a game of probability and those that call themselves professionals might just be going through a winning streak without them realising this, they might think that their strategy can always work but this can most times these wins are based on luck

[viljy]

because he has something else - insider information, and/or participates in match-fixing schemes, for example, as a figurehead for betting and receiving money.

so you really don't believe its possible to win in a legitimate way?

My confidence in the honesty of his winnings will decrease with the increase in the number of winnings from such a successful bettor. You yourself will not believe in the honesty of such a bettor if he wins 20 times in a row... If you mean a person who just has a winning percentage of more than 50%, then this is a really experienced person who wins thanks to his mind.

P.S. On the other hand, insiders are smart and cunning now, and they are very difficult to expose. Only the very stupid and greedy expose themselves - which we sometimes read about in the news.

[Japinat]

That is just a simple problem, there are lots of bookies out there, he can open many so if one blocked him, he can still play with the others.

I know physical casinos communicate with each other on players to avoid. It's more difficult to do online except kyc is mandatory.

These are mostly just stories to me. I think limits usually only come in when a gambler is consistently winning huge amounts, like millions. If a bookie starts limiting someone, assuming this is a fiat casino with KYC involved, then that gambler should probably be betting with bigger casinos that can handle larger limits.

A lot of people claim they’re being limited, but sometimes it feels like that’s just to get attention or spark interest.
For all we know, there could be some hidden agenda behind those stories.

[Ruttoshi]

I don't want to believe that there's a gambler that can be winning consistently overtime from sportbet. However, if I see such a person, I won't change my mindset towards improving my skills so that I can start winning like him because it's his strategy and what work for him might not work for me.

I don't put my hope on using gambling to win a fortune, I am gambling for fun and little profits. I will only be using his prediction to place my bet.

[Free Market Capitalist]

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

I do know it's possible. However, the percentage of profitable sports bettors is very low. In addition, it is becoming increasingly difficult because bookmakers are constantly getting better at adjusting the odds. I'm not going to waste time on that. If I wanted to do that, I'd go back to playing poker, but I don't want to do either. I prefer to focus on investments, which give me passively much more than I would earn otherwise.

[btc78]

i wouldn’t want to pop his bubble it clearly works for him so i won’t discourage him but i also wouldn’t want to try it myself just to end up disappointed at the end

[Anayochukwu]

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

These are things that causes addiction in gambling because it is very easy to say, but how make it through becomes a very big problem. To be honest I don't believe on those stories because there is no easy way to make money consistently in sports betting that is not possible at all. Sometimes we need to over look some satting things and follow your prediction because obviously gambling is not a source of income so I don't see any reason of following someone's opinion.

[B-BossMan]

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

All these scenarios sometimes works based on believed, that the sport betting could be profitable or not, seeing someone that's is/have been into it and winning consistently for a very long term can be encouraging, but at times when you choose to follow his foot steps, you might not be luckily winning as he does, because betting strategies are many and everyone feels, his or her own is the best predictions, although I know one person that usually followed people's predictions exactly and got luck sometimes, it's actually self motivated when meeting a successful bettor and begins having beliefs that sport betting profitability.

[_act_]

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

If I see someone that is making money from gambling, I will only be careful as I know the reward center of my brain is deceiving me. Here is how it works, your brain will naturally motivate you to try your luck, but after you lose will be when you will realize that you have fucked up. This has happened to many people in gambling and trading before. It goes beyond both gambling and trading, but to anything you are capable of doing that you see someone made money from, but if that thing is very risky like gambling, think twice.

[freedomgo]

i wouldn’t want to pop his bubble it clearly works for him so i won’t discourage him but i also wouldn’t want to try it myself just to end up disappointed at the end

There’s nothing wrong with trying as long as you’re not blindly following anyone.
The smart thing to do is to test whether the method is actually profitable.

You can start with the minimum bets and test it for months to see if there’s real consistency. If it works, then that’s the time you slowly scale up and go bigger.

[cryptoaddictchie]

If you believe sports betting can’t be profitable, and you meet someone you know is consistently winning long term, would that change your opinion or would you still say it’s just luck?

And if you already believe it’s possible, would that motivate you to seriously try the same path and aim for real profitability, not just casual betting?

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

If I luckily meet personally someone consistently winning long term, it would definitely challenge the idea that it’s all just luck and make me more open to believing there’s real skill involved. It wouldn’t mean instant confidence, but it would spark curiosity and a willingness to learn how they approach it. Seeing proof like that makes belief feel more grounded and gives hope that discipline and strategy can actually pay off.

[Gozie51]

Simple question, curious to hear honest answers.

That is really confusing. Most gamblers I know that were having winning streak and hidding their bets from others are now complaining of how they are losing. So maybe sometimes winning is temporal. However, the real winning is your own conviction and taking lower risk.

Whether I meet someone who is winning or not, I have already told myself that it is just very few percent of gamblers that maintains their winning, the rest are not consistent. I follow a strategy that I have won with few times and by that I maintain a balance bet and not to believe I have to win all the time.

Most videos I have watched of winning, I see them as streamers. The persons I know that have won jackpots have not been able to replicate that over 4 years ago . So I still gamble with caution despite meeting someone who says they win consistently or shows a prove to what they win.