Well this was a pretty fun catchup to read this morning. Congrats to the KNC team, this is really exciting. I haven't bought any KNC equipment, I'm just really psyched to see them pull this off. Looks like my 600GH tipoff from 20 pages back was accurate too!
I like when my predictions are accurate lol.
Hashrate is about to double. That makes a 600GH/s miner then as fast (profitable) as a 300GH/s miner now. Fun times!
You should really stop quoting the sockpuppet trolls - Kuroth, Eve, Vigil, Xialia, crumbs....
The number of KNC units sold is huge... huge.. 5 digits huge. It's not unlikely we will see an instantaneous diff change if these things ship out in droves. Double? Who knows, but we're finally entering one of the straightaway upward points on my difficulty prediction chart. To say it would be ongoing would be false, but to doubt the possibility of it drastically increasing/doubling would be a wager I wouldn't place.
These are my numbers for a Jupiter assuming 550GH, no pool fees and 100% uptime. Also original investment of 66BTC PSU+VAT+Shipping (might be less for some), for the next 13 difficulty adjustments (~6 months), assuming you start hashing in 2 days.
In my Spanish excel "," equals "." and dates are in this format "day/month/year"
The % increase per difficulty adjustments I obviously pulled out of my ass, but I think they are consistent with the
"several thousand" machines that KNC claim to have already sold, the 500TH
friedcat announced for October and bitfurys. I think Hashrate will climb fast to around 3PH and then % increases will slow down, notice how by the beginning of next year we will be aroud 7PH which I think is very
plausible.The break even line is original investment+operating costs.
It looks tight.
I like the visual presentation; I would warn you that you're skewing your results favorably. Factor in a 10% variance for real-life/oh-crap situations and you'll have the most realistic numbers possible. Instead of 550, run it at 495.
And what about the 5V connector.
Should I buy a 230V to 5V DC converter?
This was discussed before. I'd predicted they would use a connector from the PSU since it already provides 5v. In the video, the only cables running from the Jupiter were the PSU power cord and a cat5 cable. I would suspect my theory is correct in that the PSU is providing the 5v--though I'm sure they'll let us know for sure once things ship.
I never believed they would pull it off on such tight timetable, I figured at least a few weeks delays was a given. Im surprised, and impressed.
Now for the bad news for KnC customers: if KnC can do it, its at least plausible that Hashfast, Bitmine, Cointerra, ActM and what have you, can also do it (yeah, Im skipping BFL). I never thought their timetables where any more credible than KnC's, but thats changed now. Now look up DnT's spreadsheet with the avalanche of chips coming, and the current ecstasy may not last very long. This could become an even more crazy autumn than I thought possible, and waaay crazier than thegenesisblock suggests.
I wouldn't say it's so much 'bad news' per-sé as it is that by the time these other units ship, KNC owners will have mined the majority of what their systems will mine without loss for its lifetime. It's not as if all these OEMs are shipping at once, it's going to come in waves. My bet is on the bold ones to be seen as the next major players, especially the latter as it has some high-level well-known engineers. I know some folks have some fears, but I suppose we'll see.
