Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Emikoyumi]

Spring is coiled boys. The pressure keeping it down cannot sustain the effort. Next ATH we move violently upward. Think $140k falls quickly, and falls this month.

The market won’t go up just because you or i want it to. it always moves by its own rules. sometimes it even loses its direction. if i think the market will hit 140k+ this month, is that really possible? of course not. i don’t think it will reach 140k+ before another correction. and if it does, what will the dumpers do? it’s true that compared to past years, btc has pumped many times this year. the time will come when its price will skyrocket, maybe even reach 1m. but 140k this month is maybe not possible.

[JayJuanGee]

[...]BTC has utility gold hasn't, like portability, absolute ownership (you can take BTC with you when you die) etc[...]

That's an interesting property of Bitcoin, that I never really thought about. It's true, you can die and take the keys with you, which is equivalent to making a donation to the Bitcoin community, equally distributed among all BTC holders. Nice!

I am actually actively thinking about it. Some people want to give it to their progeny, but I have serious doubts that mine would be able to do anything positive with it.
I will be making a first test: giving a fraction to one of my sons and then observe what he will do with it. Age-wise, it seems timely.
I already asked in the hypothetical and the answer was encouraging, but the real "practice' would show.

Yep, these sound like my struggles, too. Only one child of mine knows that i hold Bitcoin (not how many), but only asked on a few occasions about the price.
My other children don't even know about me being a Bitcoiner.
For me, i found out that it's not that important what they might do with the corn in the end, as long as it's not some evil shit or about the wrong type of drug(s).
I will try to teach them how to handle the corn to maintain a good life and still having enough reserves to reach those extra goals, but i will also tell them that it always feels better to do some work to achieve something, not to only "buy it".
(EDIT: Which could be quite a challenge, with all that ADHD in my family, that makes them gravitate towards impulse-purchases a lot...)

So many folks have discipline and self-organizational skills, yet sometimes they will grow out of it.. yet at the same time, if they believe that they have something coming or that they are entitled to something coming, then they might be disincentivized in terms of their own self-improvement efforts.

Sure, they are gaining skills over time, and their abilities actually also shift with age. But there was that other idea, please read on when i'm adding some detail to it, right below:

What i also thought about was transferring the corn to a notary as a custodian, who could release parts of the treasure to my children for a defined range of purposes, following a set of rules i would define.
Most Notaries would be Crypto Bitcoin-aware within the next decade, i guess.

That is like the creation of a Trust, which also does not necessarily work out and sometimes Trusts are broken (dissolved and/or with court permission) upon the death (or sometimes soon after the death) of the creator of the Trust.

Some kind of Trust, but including a little more complex conditions, like following a flow chart. So, for example, "Child 1" would get five BTC, like all other ones. If there are more than 2 BTC left after 4 years, (1) will get 5 more, otherwise only 2 more. After another four years, the same rules apply until my wallet(s) are empty, post mortem, or the notary outlives the children, when he finally puts the middle finger to the system and retires, enjoying his fuck-you-richness for the rest of his life, or his follow-up notary, if he doesn't have children himself. The BTC might eventually get lost or spent. Not many fucks given.

Yeah, of course, you can set those kinds of trust fund matters up in a variety of ways that have various conditions, and you have a notary like you mention and/or even successor notaries or their organization might be something that you might allow to pass down the notary under certain conditions.

You can set the fund up so that it ends up getting exhausted (or depleted after the passage of various events) and/or you could set it up to perpetually pay from within the income that is generated from the fund that relates to the likely ongoing ability for bitcoin to be able to increase in value at a rate that is faster than the withdraw rate..  So yeah, right now, you can look at my sustainable withdrawal tool and see that if you happen to have at least 15.232 BTC (at the time that I am typing this post) then that would generate $80k per year perpetually with 7% increases in the dollar value each year.. for ever and ever... And so adjust the calculations within the tool based on the amount in the funds and if the value of the BTC holdings is sufficiently sustaining itself in such a way that the fund is growing faster than the withdrawal rate..

Amazon accepting crypto (as the rumor mill suggests is coming) could be a big deal depending on how they do it… Bitcoin integration in Apple Pay would probably be the only thing bigger.

Fuck crypto.. who would want to deal with that?

Spring is coiled boys. The pressure keeping it down cannot sustain the effort. Next ATH we move violently upward. Think $140k falls quickly, and falls this month.

The market won’t go up just because you or i want it to. it always moves by its own rules. sometimes it even loses its direction. if i think the market will hit 140k+ this month, is that really possible? of course not. i don’t think it will reach 140k+ before another correction. and if it does, what will the dumpers do? it’s true that compared to past years, btc has pumped many times this year. the time will come when its price will skyrocket, maybe even reach 1m. but 140k this month is maybe not possible.

Not possible is a very strong assertion.

It is possible to reach $140k this month (that is merely 20% UPpity from current prices), even though it might not be likely.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Big week ahead, rate cuts inbound. Time to get the parabolic phase started, we have waited long enough.

Send it.




@CryptoJelleNL
Bitcoin locked in a major bullish signal 👀

The weekly stochastic RSI has crossed bullish.

This signal printed 9 times in this cycle alone, leading to an average gain of 35%.

35% from here would mean $155k / BTC.

Send it.

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1967485975002800272


@CryptoJelleNL
Weekly hidden bullish divergence, playing out.

Send it to new highs.

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1967499399392805175

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Johnlomape]

 My first investment in Bitcoin was never to hold or keep for long because I know nothing about it. It was mere like a scheme that will enhance you to earn more Bitcoin when you hold it for some certain period of time.
It was later I started understanding more about my Bitcoin that this is not just a means of buying and exchanging it with multiple people to earn a little fraction. This is more like p2p trade where you buy and sell to someone that needed it more urgently. I have changed my mindset about Bitcoin and this is not just an investment but a way of life.

My exposure doing this for sometimes made me to think often time why people are so in need of Bitcoin trading with me so that they can own it and hold for reason best known to them. I have get to understand that starting something like an investment is like a stepping stone to becoming a better person around the nitch of the investment.

Everybody that have invested in Bitcoin many years ago must have understand one or two things about Bitcoin with enough experience to show for it.

There is nothing wrong with attempting to use bitcoin, yet it seems that if you are in your earliest years of bitcoin accumulation, you need to consider bitcoin as a spend and replace system, so that you are ongoingly building your bitcoin holdings for 1-2 cycles or even more than that.  It can take people a long time to build up an investment portfolio, whether they are focusing on bitcoin or if they might have some other kinds of assets in their investment portfolio.

Surely, bitcoin is amongst the best, if not the best, of assets that is currently available to everyone and anyone, so there may be needs to prioritize holding bitcoin and spending with other assets and/or currencies, so we should not be "taking profits" from our bitcoin until we build our bitcoin holdings up to a certain size that might be considered excessive.. which goes back to the idea of bitcoin as an investment and even bitcoin as a place that we try to fold any profits back into it (or just let the past profits to continue to compound within the bitcoin holdings rather than depleting our bitcoin).  

Even though bitcoin is not guaranteed to continue to be profitable, it still seems that if you continue to focus on and emphasize building up your bitcoin holdings, then at some certain point down the road, you will likely get to a point that you have enough or more than enough, and you can shift over from accumulation to maintenance and then later from maintenance to sustainable withdrawal.  Bitcoin is likely to continue to be very powerful to attempt to utilize in a way of building it up before starting to spend from too much of it too early.

Many people especially newbies do have problem accumulating Bitcoin and this is as a result of entering the Bitcoin space not as a reserved investor but as a quick earner. My idea then was to transact Bitcoin and make small bucks while still holding without the full knowledge that people are holding it for years without touching their Bitcoin wallets because of the long term profitability.

The idea of holding Bitcoin to make profits has been the reason why many investors would sell or swap their Bitcoin once they are aware the the Bitcoin price will soon go bear. The fear of a lose is the beginning of losing. Seeing Bitcoin as an investment does not create panicking when the price is depreciating. I believe long term profitability will make the huge difference without having the mindset of buying and selling from quick changes in price of Bitcoin.

I will rather invest enough in Bitcoin and other profitable investments than rush to get my dream house. Having a personal house is a liability to me because I will always pay taxes whether I like it or not. Having multiple investments has been a dream I need to accomplish and I've been working on that.

You are likely correct in the perspective that it may well not be good to lock up too much capital in a house too soon in our lives, especiallly if we can recognize and appreciate bitcoin to be a superior place to put value.

It also may be best to focus on bitcoin and cash first before either diluting your investment or getting too scatter brained in regards to wanting to own a bunch of assets when bitcoin is likely the best (not guaranteed) places to put your time, energies and value.. yet of course, in the end it is up to you to decide how you want to proceed with your bitcoin allocation... including if you might have already invested in other assets, you might want to consider the extent that it is good to continue to hang onto those other investments or to spend some time building your bitcoin investment first.

It can be difficult to figure out when it might be acceptable to start to diversify outside of bitcoin, and each of us is responsible for our choices in regards to how we might weigh our allocations..   I personally think that trying to focus on getting a year of your expenses into bitcoin first before having any need to diversify out, and if you are ONLY investing around 10% of your income, it could take 10 years to get to a point of having had invested 1 year of your income into bitcoin.. yet surely there are folks who have higher levels of discretionary income that allows them to invest into bitcoin at higher rates.

I know Bitcoin might not be the best investment outside there but it's one of the best in terms of trust and liquidity. The demand for Bitcoin is increasing everyday as more people get to understand the mechanism behind Bitcoin investment. Patience has been one of the vital keys to sustainable investment.

Investments is meant to bring more money to me and when they are in multiples, would save me the stress and fear of getting broke again. Billionaires always think about investment, investment, investment and that is why people like Elon will continue becoming richer because they are ready to invest more without a second thought.

The extent that you are wanting to invest into areas in which you are actively involved (which seemed to have had been Elon's approach) or if you might be earning income in other ways and investing into bitcoin, these are somewhat different paths forward, so whether or not you are taking a business man path forward or if you are working for someone will depend on where you are at and/or if you are training for future work versus if you are already in an area of work that you might already be earning decently good income.

My goal is to have multiple streams of income and diversify my investment portfolio and Bitcoin as always being my major perspective even though other investments has to come in for me to be sure that I am on the right part. I have other things in mind that will be profitable for me but capital as always been the obstacle to a multiple investments procedures.

I know it's better to start small and make proper plans that will be achievable without doing it too much or getting extravagant that might be throat cutting with unreasonable interest rate.

I get inspired when I see Philipma1957 posts about investing in silver some few years ago and making huge profits from it.

Bitcoin would have probably been better, but hey if you want to get involved with silver, copper, gold or any other commodity that is your choice.  It may or may not work out.

I don't have plans for that for now and I am going to throw some investments in other nitche that will generate reasonable income I can use for investment in commodity and Bitcoin. Bitcoin has been my major concern even though I will like to invest in commodity too so I can weigh the two over a long period of time.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

chart buddy and honey badger setting up some discounts.

Weds is fed rate.  so

edit -0.25% holy shit we get fucked very very unlikely
0.00%  a lot of displeasure unlikely

+0.25% some happiness and corn rises most likely      I think this and I think 125k by Friday .

+0.50% more happiness and corn rise bigly less likely
+0.75% this would cause fear very unlikely .



I really want to open the Elijah Craig which mean we needs to pass 130


I also decided to buy a bit of corn today

edit got this all wrong as I flipped all the - and + signs.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BTCETFInvestor]

An eight-year Bitcoin holder resumed selling after a two-week pause, depositing 1,176 BTC worth $136.2 million to the Hyperliquid trading platform as Bitcoin tested $116,000 resistance levels.

The whale previously executed one of the largest Bitcoin-to-Ethereum rotations in crypto history, trading 35,991 BTC valued at $4.04 billion for 886,371 ETH worth $4.07 billion.

The renewed selling activity comes as BTC Inc CEO David Bailey claimed earlier this month that two massive whales prevented the cryptocurrency from reaching $150,000, with one whale eliminated and another halfway through liquidations.

Multiple dormant Bitcoin addresses from 2011-2012 have awakened recently, creating selling pressure that contributed to Bitcoin’s struggle to maintain momentum above previous highs.

Previous whale activity has shown sophisticated market timing, with one holder selling 24,000 BTC worth $2.7 billion in coordinated transactions that drove Bitcoin from $115,000 to $111,000 within hours.

The sudden liquidation occurred during weekend trading, when thinner volumes amplify the price impacts of large transactions.

Another early adopter rotated 400 BTC in August, worth approximately $45.5 million, into leveraged Ethereum positions using 3x and 10x leverage across four wallets.

The whale opened combined long positions totaling 68,130 ETH worth $295 million, bridging funds back to the Ethereum mainnet after executing spot market swaps.

Dormant wallet activations accelerated throughout September, with addresses inactive since 2011-2013 transferring Bitcoin to exchanges, including Kraken.

One wallet holding 445 BTC made its first transaction in nearly 13 years, while another containing 480 BTC moved funds for the first time since 2012.

► https://cryptonews.com/news/8-year-bitcoin-holder-offloads-another-136m-following-massive-4b-eth-trade-whales-dumping-again/

[BTCETFInvestor]

Why Bitcoin is Surging Today ( 15/09/2025)? Technical Analysis and BTC Price Predictions Point to $160K Target

MACD golden cross signals $160K target on the Bitcoin chart as Federal Reserve rate cut expectations drive institutional demand.

Bitcoin price analysis shows consolidation at $115K resistance with technical patterns supporting Bitcoin price predictions of $150K-$200K.

Bitcoin technical analysis reveals whale accumulation above $114K support, positioning for rally toward historical highs by year-end 2025.

► https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/why-bitcoin-is-surging-today-technical-analysis-and-btc-price-predictions-point-to-160k-target/

[BTCETFInvestor]

chart buddy and honey badger setting up some discounts.

Weds is fed rate.  so

-0.25% holy shit we get fucked very very unlikely
0.00%  a lot of displeasure unlikely

+0.25% some happiness and corn rises most likely      I think this and I think 125k by Friday .

+0.50% more happiness and corn rise bigly less likely
+0.75% this would cause fear very unlikely .

I really want to open the Elijah Craig which mean we needs to pass 130


I also decided to buy a bit of corn today

Investors are betting on a rate cut this month, with CME's FedWatch tool suggesting a roughly 92% chance for a 25 basis point cut ‒ or 0.25 percentage point ‒ and 8% chance for a 0.5 percentage point cut as of last week.

September Cut:
The market strongly favors a 25 basis point cut at the September meeting, with high probabilities reflected in the CME FedWatch data.

Future Cuts:
The number of subsequent cuts is less certain, but Fed funds futures are pricing in multiple cuts by the end of the year, with some sources expecting two or three total reductions in 2025.


For Fed Interest Rate Decision Sep 17, 2025:

Target Rate   Current Probability%      
3.75 - 4.00    2.1%   3.6%   
4.00 - 4.25    97.9%   96.4%   

► https://www.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[bangjoe]

chart buddy and honey badger setting up some discounts.

Weds is fed rate.  so

-0.25% holy shit we get fucked very very unlikely
0.00%  a lot of displeasure unlikely

+0.25% some happiness and corn rises most likely      I think this and I think 125k by Friday .

+0.50% more happiness and corn rise bigly less likely
+0.75% this would cause fear very unlikely .

I really want to open the Elijah Craig which mean we needs to pass 130


I also decided to buy a bit of corn today

The interest rate cut reduced confidence due to the CPI report showing inflation above expectations, so many people who were previously very confident became pessimistic.

However, in my opinion, 0.25 is also a good choice rather than nothing at all, because the following months will increase the probability of a higher cut and bring fresh air.
It is relatively volatile when viewed from the perspective of the market's response to decisions such as interest rate cuts.

Despite all the socio-economic problems and economic dynamics in the US, bitcoin will continue to rally, and we will see green bars month in the last months of this year.

[Biodom]

chart buddy and honey badger setting up some discounts.

Weds is fed rate.  so

-0.25% holy shit we get fucked very very unlikely
0.00%  a lot of displeasure unlikely

+0.25% some happiness and corn rises most likely      I think this and I think 125k by Friday .

+0.50% more happiness and corn rise bigly less likely
+0.75% this would cause fear very unlikely .

I really want to open the Elijah Craig which mean we needs to pass 130


I also decided to buy a bit of corn today

There is a 96% probability of a 0.25 points rate cut aka -0.25.
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
I am not sure why you are seriously considering everything else, albeit, imho, they could do 0.5 cut just to get T off of their "backs".

[bangjoe]

The probability is very possible to repeat the same thing, tomorrow will find Dip in this phase then we will fly to the moon. HOLD Your BTC

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com