NFL discussion & predications thread rev

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. The spread offered by the sportsbooks between the Ravens and the Dolphins is Ravens -7.5. You reckon the Ravens can win against the spread and win by more than 1 touchdown being on the road? I assume they did not win against the spread in their last game against the Vikings. It might also be -7.5.

[rdbase]

@rdbase. The spread offered by the sportsbooks between the Ravens and the Dolphins is Ravens -7.5. You reckon the Ravens can win against the spread and win by more than 1 touchdown being on the road? I assume they did not win against the spread in their last game against the Vikings. It might also be -7.5.

Yeah that is kind of high but Lamar wasn't playing his best in is last match against Minnesota. He was getting sacked alot but I have noticed a trend since I watch each and every game of the Ravens. He goes for the TD in the red zone and most of the time he fumbles within 10 yards of the goal line.
But with Miami having a questionable quarterback coming into this matchup Thursday night with Tua not knowing if he will playing or not, then your guess is as good as mine in this one.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/dolphins-say-tua-tagovailoa-will-be-a-game-time-decision-for-thursday-matchup-with-ravens

Well anyways, if you want a risk-free way to put in your predictions on this Thursday night football match then there is a giveaway for it here:
https://asktom.cf/index.php?topic=5370016

Let's just hope that Lamar can lead his Baltimore squad to victory this night in football!

[ralle14]

I honestly don't like taking the spread on the Ravens as we all know their defense suck but they might be able to pull it off since the Dolphins had a bit of trouble scoring against the Texans last week.

Also bought a point so I could push it down to a touchdown since there's always a possibility for the Dolphins to cover in the last quarter just like how the Bears nearly pulled it off against the Steelers.

Edit: Yep, Ravens deserved that L they had so many chances but couldn't convert.

[rdbase]

Wow Tua actually did it!
They beat the heavy favorites Baltimore being @4.50x pre-match odds.
I think everybody were on Ravens to pull out a win in Miami because as I had mentioned, they didn't know who was going to start the game at QB.
First it was Brissett (think that's who it was) then he left the game in the second half injured with his finger or entire hand from a previous play.
So Tua Tagovailoa came in to close out the match being up 6-3.
He just punched it in the end zone with less than 2 minutes left in the game and it is 22-10.
So it looks like it will end this way, which I doubt anyone thought it would be this scoreline in favor for the Dolphins.

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. The spread offered by the sportsbooks between the Ravens and the Dolphins is Ravens -7.5. You reckon the Ravens can win against the spread and win by more than 1 touchdown being on the road? I assume they did not win against the spread in their last game against the Vikings. It might also be -7.5.

Yeah that is kind of high but Lamar wasn't playing his best in is last match against Minnesota. He was getting sacked alot but I have noticed a trend since I watch each and every game of the Ravens. He goes for the TD in the red zone and most of the time he fumbles within 10 yards of the goal line.
But with Miami having a questionable quarterback coming into this matchup Thursday night with Tua not knowing if he will playing or not, then your guess is as good as mine in this one.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/dolphins-say-tua-tagovailoa-will-be-a-game-time-decision-for-thursday-matchup-with-ravens

Well anyways, if you want a risk-free way to put in your predictions on this Thursday night football match then there is a giveaway for it here:
https://asktom.cf/index.php?topic=5370016

Let's just hope that Lamar can lead his Baltimore squad to victory this night in football!

The Baltimore Ravens have been 0-3 against the spread from their last 3 games and they are only 3-6 against the spread presently for this whole season. I would never trust an advice to bet for the Ravens from anyone this season. However, if they take the points +10.5, I will bet hehehehe.

[ralle14]

I don't get the odds on the Browns but i'll take them at plus odds since I feel like the bookies are giving way too much value on the Patriots. The extra points are tempting but the current spread is at +2 and there's too much juice on the +3 so there's no point in taking it.

I also like the Packers against the Seahawks but I might include a prop bet to push the odds even further.

[rdbase]

I don't get the odds on the Browns but i'll take them at plus odds since I feel like the bookies are giving way too much value on the Patriots. The extra points are tempting but the current spread is at +2 and there's too much juice on the +3 so there's no point in taking it.

I also like the Packers against the Seahawks but I might include a prop bet to push the odds even further.

The Patriots have been looking unstoppable with Mac Jones now.
What is that, 4 wins in a row since the middle of October?
And all almost dominating wins just like yesterday's 45-7 win over Mayfield who went off with what looks like a knee sprain.

Brady failed last night against a Washington team who had no reason to win, but they did.

Same with Panthers against a 8-1 Cardinals team but they had surprise with a familiar face making a reappearance at the helm.
Cam Newton is back!
Scoring a TD in his first two plays on a temporary resigning with the team from back in 2015.
https://www.nfl.com/news/cam-newton-runs-for-td-on-first-snap-vs-cardinals-throws-td-on-second-play-i-m-b
https://twitter.com/Panthers/status/1458843359603273732

As it stands there are no clear winners of who will be going to the big show in February in Inglewood.

[buwaytress]

Put a rare bet on Patriots actually @1.76 and was surprised the results were so one-sided. I don't follow American football much but surely that's a rare score? 45-7, wonder what the odds were for them to win every quarter or at such big spreads (if those markets even exist) but I guess dumb luck does follow me for the no-knowledge punts. Then again, Packers also blew Seahawks away 17-0 so maybe some teams just aren't cut out.

Got a bit too excited and placed the exact same amount on Watford (late game vs Leicester) in a completely unrelated sport.

[ralle14]

The Patriots have been looking unstoppable with Mac Jones now.
What is that, 4 wins in a row since the middle of October?
And all almost dominating wins just like yesterday's 45-7 win over Mayfield who went off with what looks like a knee sprain.

Yup, after that first touchdown from the Browns it's all Patriots until the end, they're looking good and if they keep this up I think they have a solid chance at making it in the playoffs.

Backing the Rams for today as the Niners haven't won a home game so far (0-4) while the Rams are 4-0 on the road. I think the only reason why the spread is this close is because it's a division game but I feel like the Rams will dominate though.

Edit: My luck is so bad lol, Rams turned the ball twice in the first quarter and the Niners got two TDs then in the second quarter they went for it instead of going for a FG.

[rdbase]

Thursday night football is looking good with Mac Jones against Matt Ryan.
Something about this game tells me it will be a tight affair but the Patriots will come out on top with a field goal in the end to win it in fine fashion one more time.

The competition is up for your chances to win a free bet for the correct predictions of your selections below:
https://asktom.cf/index.php?topic=5371686

[ralle14]

I'm siding with the Patriots this time and took their spread (-6.5), they haven't lost on the road and they need all the wins they can get from here on out since their next games will be rough (Bills, Titans, Colts).

Also, their defense looks great, we could see another dominating win from the Patriots if their D-line delivers once again. 

[rdbase]

I'm siding with the Patriots this time and took their spread (-6.5), they haven't lost on the road and they need all the wins they can get from here on out since their next games will be rough (Bills, Titans, Colts).

Also, their defense looks great, we could see another dominating win from the Patriots if their D-line delivers once again.  

Smart decision on that pick. They are dominating Atlanta up already 13-0 and it is just the first half with Jones going down the field with a minute left, looking like brady-style just like the patriots of old.
I believe Matt Ryan got injured for the last play. Having a face full of pain walking off the field then was having his leg attended too.
Announcer mentioned something about an old ankle strain that might have been reactivated during the last play.
So I wouldn't expect him to return in the second half.

[ralle14]

It's that time again, starting the day with a three legged parlay between Bills, Browns and Titans @1.83, Colts might put up a fight against the Bills but I still see them coming out on top here.

For the next set of games i'm digging the Steelers spread against the Chargers I feel like the Steelers will push this game to a single possession since Charger's defense isn't that great. Also liking the Chiefs against the Cowboys, I know the Cowboys looked impressive but their road performance seems like a toss up and the Chiefs have a good opportunity to take the win and salvage their record.

[rdbase]

Well it was a bad run of the favorites to win today, again.
Bills got destroyed by the Colts and Titans well, just didn't produce anything late into their game but get dunked by a much weaker team.
Now just need to wait on the late night games to see if this trend of below .500 teams can pull anymore upsets for the rest of the Sunday NFL schedule.

[ralle14]

Well it was a bad run of the favorites to win today, again.
Bills got destroyed by the Colts and Titans well, just didn't produce anything late into their game but get dunked by a much weaker team.

Yeah, that was rough but didn't put much on the parlay so I was able to recover and gained some thanks to the single bets I placed throughout the day.


My pick for this MNF is the Giants +11.5 @2.00 these past few weeks they're looking decent winning against the Panthers and Raiders, even though they lost against the Chiefs they still kept it close.

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. You appear to be a football expert hehe. I am aware that San Francisco’s team is beginning to look healthier than weeks ago. However, what are your thoughts on the Minnesota Vikings +3? They will play on the road vs. San Francisco 49ers with a record of only 1 - 4 in their home stadium and 4 - 6 against the spread. Minnesota is 6 - 4 against the spread.

[rdbase]

@rdbase. You appear to be a football expert hehe. I am aware that San Francisco’s team is beginning to look healthier than weeks ago. However, what are your thoughts on the Minnesota Vikings +3? They will play on the road vs. San Francisco 49ers with a record of only 1 - 4 in their home stadium and 4 - 6 against the spread. Minnesota is 6 - 4 against the spread.

Vikings are a stronger team in my eyes than the 49ers. Both teams are 5-5 thus far in the season, so it looks they are pretty evenly matched.
Here is an injury report so far before this match on Sunday:
https://www.dailynorseman.com/2021/11/25/22801961/minnesota-vikings-san-francisco-49ers-initial-injury-reports
Cousins is healthier than Garoppolo so I would go with Minnesota on that one.
Trey Lance is looking alot better than him too so they are saying he is the future of the San Francisco team.
Good read on how Kirk is doing and looking aggressive in his play:
https://www.nfl.com/news/mike-zimmer-kirk-cousins-be-aggressive-vikings-stack-wins

Today there are games all day long as it is Thanksgiving here in the states.
So here are the three games being played. The early one is in about 3 hours from now, so there is still time to place a bet on all three of them.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

[ralle14]

Pulled the trigger on the Bills -6.5 @1.60 not the best odds as I got it when the Bills are getting first down after first down but I still think it's decent enough as the Saints couldn't get anything going at the moment.

Looking good so far with the Bills getting the first TD, hopefully the Bills defense keeps it up and get another stop.  

[rdbase]

Pulled the trigger on the Bills -6.5 @1.60 not the best odds as I got it when the Bills are getting first down after first down but I still think it's decent enough as the Saints couldn't get anything going at the moment.

Looking good so far with the Bills getting the first TD, hopefully the Bills defense keeps it up and get another stop.  

That was a good call on the Bills there ralle14!
Sharp as always.

I was on the Saints after seeing Las Vegas just taking it to the Cowboys at Dallas so was expecting some kind of upset to happen in the last match of the day. But it didn't come to pass.
Bills were dominate with a 31-6 thrashing of those boys in the state of texas.
No football til Sunday. Enjoy the weekend to you!

[ralle14]

Gonna roll with the Colts +3.5 as they're starting to look like a solid team winning 5 out of the last 6 matches.

On the other side, you've got Tampa Bay struggling on the road losing against WFT and the Saints. I honestly see this one as a toss up and I wouldn't be surprised if Colts come out on top here.

Edit : So far so good, Colts leading 24-14.