NFL discussion & predications thread rev

[rdbase]

I also played it safe earlier with the Lions and Bengals to win, I didn't have the confidence to touch the spread as some of these teams could still take it seriously regardless of their playoff lives on the line.

I have the Bucs for tonight's SNF, I still don't see the Cowboys as that much of a threat, and the Bucs have been rolling teams over in the past few weeks.

You were smart to not touch the spread because I think most of the game ended close except for that Lions game.
The Eagles actually lost that match against Washington. That was unreal.
Had a horrible one in the Pick'em pool with that one and 5-10 after that Buccs loss.
49ers and Cardinals were knocked out of any hope to have a last chance at the playoffs even before their games started.

Should be a great game tonight with Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/green-bay-packers-v-new-orleans-saints-6758b848d0220b0001492ec4

[ralle14]

You were smart to not touch the spread because I think most of the game ended close except for that Lions game.
The Eagles actually lost that match against Washington. That was unreal.
Had a horrible one in the Pick'em pool with that one and 5-10 after that Buccs loss.
49ers and Cardinals were knocked out of any hope to have a last chance at the playoffs even before their games started.

I ended up losing some of it on the Bucs match though, it's a bit annoying that their defense showed up way too late and their offense only got worse in the second half with the turnovers.

My pickems are a disaster as well only scoring 7 points when it could've been more if most of the favorites didn't fall short or play down to the level of their opponent.

I'm so lost on the upcoming game, i'm thinking the Saints cover because the spread is too high, but the Packers' offense has been consistent and rolling through the opponent's defense.

[rdbase]

Don't think New Orleans scored a single point in the game last night.
Switched off when it was 34-0 with 2 minutes of it left as it was a long day. Green Bay was dominating anyways. Also the Saints had nothing to play for as their pride was out the window by the end of the first half.

So now we have Christmas day matches to look forward too and there is a double header scheduled to be featured on NetFlix.

Talking about the streaming service, has anybody bothered to watch the documentary on Aaron Rodgers called Enigma.
Watching him in his last match it shows how he handles the stress of the game differently now.

https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/aaron-rodgers-new-netflix-doc-enigma-covid-rfk-rcna184912

[rdbase]

NFL are having two matches for Christmas day starting in around an hour and a half from now.
Texans played the Chiefs and Steelers played the Ravens just last Saturday.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/pittsburgh-steelers-v-kansas-city-chiefs-66454ff1aafd2b00010a3780
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/houston-texans-v-baltimore-ravens-66454ff10e460c00014a4ad6

Placed my betbuilder on the first match up between the Steelers and the Chiefs:

[rdbase]

Yesterday's early match betbuilder was off by two of the selections. So not bad.
Only used what I had left from the deposit I made for the other Sportsbet.io promotion. So not a big loss.

Completely forgot there was a match going on today in the NFL but then checked because it is Thursday so there had to be one.
For the TNF game we have the Chicago Bears going up against the Seattle Seahawks.
At first I was going with the Seahawks because Geno Smith was doing great but then thought about how well the best teams performed yesterday so decided to go with the Bears tonight instead.

Here are those markets:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/chicago-bears-v-seattle-seahawks-67620a00cc0e7a00010fdc31

[ralle14]

The games yesterday were so stress-free it makes me think this one could go the other way or maybe this is where the Seahawks wake up after getting beaten by the Packers and Vikings.

I hope it is the latter and the Seahawks don't let the recent losses get to them because this is one of those important games they shouldn't drop. I also took them on my pickems as the initial spread was so low, it's basically like picking a match winner.

[rdbase]

Can't believe there were not any touchdowns in that match between the Seahawks and the Bears.
Think that was the first time that had happened in an NFL match this season.
Was on the low score which was under 42.5pts but chose Chicago to win it, and it was close but the last pass of the game did not connect unfortunately.

Today being a Saturday we have several matches:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[ralle14]

Can't believe there were not any touchdowns in that match between the Seahawks and the Bears.
Think that was the first time that had happened in an NFL match this season.
Was on the low score which was under 42.5pts but chose Chicago to win it, and it was close but the last pass of the game did not connect unfortunately.

I also thought the Bears had it on the last drive as they were finally moving the sticks and closing in to the red zone then that interception ended it all.

I missed the Chargers game, but i'm glad that I locked my picks in advance and had them to cover to keep the perfect run alive.

I have the next two favorites on the other games, I don't know which team will disappoint so better play it safe by picking all of them. 

[rdbase]

We have a whole lot of Football today being the last Sunday of the year in the NFL.
All the favorites won their matches yesterday and only one didn't cover being the rams.

Here are the games being played today:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[ralle14]

My pickems somehow turned out great, thanks to most of the favorites winning and covering the spreads this week.

The only annoying loss so far is from the Colts after they spoiled my parlay, I didn't expect them to play poorly against the Giants when they badly need to win to keep their playoff chances rolling.

For the final game of the day, i'm easily going with the Commanders over the Falcons, they're impressive last week in beating the Eagles in a division match and the Falcons are kind of iffy once you take out their recent wins.

[morvillz7z]

<...>

For the final game of the day, i'm easily going with the Commanders over the Falcons, they're impressive last week in beating the Eagles in a division match and the Falcons are kind of iffy once you take out their recent wins.

Yeah, i'm also all over the Commanders tonight, it would be a shame to lose to the Falcons after pulling an insane win over the Eagles last week.



source: https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/jayden-daniels-closing-in-on-rg3s-nfl-record-for-rushing-yards-by-a-rookie-qb

Jayden Daniels closing in on RG3’s NFL record for rushing yards by a rookie QB

Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels has 737 rushing yards this season, surpassing Cam Newton and Lamar Jackson today and moving into second place in NFL history on the rookie quarterback rushing yards list.

Daniels needs 79 rushing yards in Washington’s final two games to break Griffin’s record. Daniels is averaging 49 rushing yards per game, so if he keeps up his current pace, he’ll break the record in Week 18.

40 this week and 40 in Week 18...that works for me and Jayden Daniels. 

I should have added a touchdown to McLaurin's receptions and receiving yards. The Falcons' soft pass defense has allowed the second-most passing touchdowns this season. If Daniels finishes the game with 25 or more completions, the Falcons will be the league's worst in terms of allowed receptions.

Even though the Falcons have something to play for, the NFC South title, i don't trust rookie quarterbacks on the road. That would also be M. Penix Jr.'s first career away start in the NFL, don't think that will go down well.

[rdbase]

Commanders rookie quarterback is looking shaky first down as he coughed it up badly resulting in a touchdown for Daniels quickly. And they didn't need the help from the recent energy surge they are in especially playing at home and straight off that miracle win against the Eagles.

Think both of your bets were the good ones to make as I see Washington taking this match easily against Penix Jr.

ralle14 last I looked was ahead of the rest in the NFL Pick'em pool and will have a battle against the leaders for tomorrow's matchup with the Lions vs 49ers.

[ralle14]

Commanders rookie quarterback is looking shaky first down as he coughed it up badly resulting in a touchdown for Daniels quickly. And they didn't need the help from the recent energy surge they are in especially playing at home and straight off that miracle win against the Eagles.

Think both of your bets were the good ones to make as I see Washington taking this match easily against Penix Jr.

ralle14 last I looked was ahead of the rest in the NFL Pick'em pool and will have a battle against the leaders for tomorrow's matchup with the Lions vs 49ers.

The amount of penalties getting called on the Commanders was insane, and then that sequence of events in the second quarter killed their momentum.

My bet, unfortunately, couldn't make it in the end as I had the three-way market on the Commanders and got greedy with the better odds.

At least i've cemented the first place in this week's pick em pool. I still have the Lions left for tomorrow's match, and I assume they won't fall behind the Vikings.

[rdbase]

Congratulations to you @ralle14 for winning the matchweek of the Pick'em pool.
You won it even before the last match on Monday between the Lions and 49ers began as you had a clear lead no matter how the game ended.

Today we have some College Football to keep our excitement in the sport for the quarterfinals in the NCAAF happening:

Texas Vs Arizona is about to start and then we have the above matchup and to end the second round games there is Notre Dame vs Georgia.

Good to watch while we wait for the next games in the NFL to start on Saturday.

[ralle14]

Congratulations to you @ralle14 for winning the matchweek of the Pick'em pool.
You won it even before the last match on Monday between the Lions and 49ers began as you had a clear lead no matter how the game ended.

Many thanks and I want to say it again, it's an unreal week for the favorites with only the Colts and Rams not pulling through for the spread.

The matches next week will be a pain to predict as a few of these teams could start to sit out their starters and some of the favorites have double-digit spreads that seem too good.  

[rdbase]

For the Pick'em DireWolfM14 had posted the prizes distribution getting something out of it being Top 5 in the pool:
https://asktom.cf/index.php?topic=5507486.msg64909737#msg64909737
You have a better chance at getting a prize than myself actually ralle14.

Today in the College Football championships the match between Georgia vs Notre Dame was postponed being played yesterday.
So looking forward to seeing these two teams play and score alot of points so the over comes in just like the matchup played last night between Oregon vs Ohio State.
Some great American Football already played in the Rose Bowl so looking for the same in this Sugar Bowl matchup.

[morvillz7z]

The Ravens have not yet clinched the division or the third seed in the AFC. They will not rest any starters, at least not until they are leading by a few touchdowns. The Browns are starting Bailey Zappe at quarterback. Lol

* Derrick Henry is one rushing touchdown away from collecting an additional $500k (contract incentive).

* If he gets one, it will be his 15th of the year, breaking the Ravens franchise record for most rushing touchdowns in a season.

* Oh, and by the way, his birthday is January 4th.

Let's go, King Henry!  

edit;

Slight correction:

The $500k incentive appears to have been for 15 total touchdowns (D. Henry already has 14+2) rather than 15 rushing touchdowns. Yahoo Sports and a few other outlets had that info wrong.

Still, i think he should be able to punch one in...it is still his birthday, and the franchise record is on the line.

[rdbase]

^^
Yeah he is more than likely to punch one in today just for the lulz!
Your bet looks good and if I had something left would have put something on it but it being Saturday have it all on EPL matches early on.

Another Saturday with some NFL to bet on for today:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

I can now see why you went with the HT/FT bet on the Ravens since the straight ML doesn't pay much even if you placed it in an acca like you had done.
Can see both Baltimore and Cincinnati winning today.

[ralle14]

I'm also going with the Ravens' first half since they're always explosive in the first half and it's a nice alternative to cut the spread down to 10.5 points even though they'll probably cover the full game too.

I'm just not a fan of the full game spread, it's rare to see spreads reach 20+ points even in a heavily favored matchup.

Can see both Baltimore and Cincinnati winning today.

We'll see later, I like the Bengals too, but i'm starting to think the Steelers will take it and expose their defense.

[morvillz7z]

^^
Yeah he is more than likely to punch one in today just for the lulz!
Your bet looks good and if I had something left would have put something on it but it being Saturday have it all on EPL matches early on.

Pheww, finally Henry got his touchdown, two actually, for the birthday boy!!!

I'm loaded on week 18 contract incentives bets!!! I've shared my Mike Evans ticket in another thread in case anyone wants tail. It's probably the best thing you'll find on the board this week. $3 mil is on the line, plus Mike Evans gets to tie Jerry Rice for the most consecutive 1,000-yard seasons in NFL history. Yeah and the Saints suck, wish Marshon Lattimore was still with the team...

<...>
We'll see later, I like the Bengals too, but i'm starting to think the Steelers will take it and expose their defense.

With Chase Brown out, the Bengals' run game gets a big hit. If the Steelers want to avoid facing Baltimore in the first round, they'll go for it. I can see a close game, maybe Burrow going for another 300-yard passing game. Here's my betbuilder...though tomorrow's games is where it's at. Lol