🏈 - Spotsbet.io NFL Pick-Em Prediction Pool - Discussion Thread - 🏈

[buwaytress]

Just wanted to share here to remind ourselves that you can be shit in the long competition, but come away with a yellow jersey and some prize money. You can come last in the marathon but still walk away with a prize. Yada yada, haha. Thanks for the freebet, SB, the one from Week 8 put to good use:

[morvillz7z]

This was supposed to be sweat-free parlay, buncha favorites to win.

Narrator: It was not!  


You'd think Shanahan coming off a bye and with McCaffrey finally available, they will go to Tampa and dominate. Not exactly, the 49ers nearly escaped a loss, another impressive late 4th Q drive by Baker and the Bucs. The 49ers' kicker missed three field goals (Deebo throwing punches on the sideline Lol),...but fortunately made the winning one.

Mahomes and the Chiefs remain undefeated thanks to their special teams' blocked walk-off field goal in the dying seconds of the game.

The Vikings, playing one of the worst defenses in the league and posting insane stats, failed to score (outside of four field goals).

source: https://x.com/The33rdTeamFB/status/1855731222858563965

The Vikings dominated the Jaguars today ⚔️

- Time of Possession Differential: 42m19s (most in a game all season)
- Rushes + Completions Differential: +35 (most in a game all season)
- 1st Down Differential: +18 (most in a game all season)
- Total Yards Differential: +259 (3rd most in a game all season)

Otherwise not a bad week, 10 out of 12 thus far.

[DireWolfM14]

~

Lol, nice parley, good job.  I would have called it a no-sweat list this morning also, but it did turn out to be a nail biter for a couple of the teams on your list.  That last second field goal by Moody made me so happy I almost cried!  Almost.  Not only did the 9ers win the game, but I also got a point for my pool prediction, lol.

And WT literal F happened with Minnesota today?

[jeremypwr]

Congrats to nutildah for winning Week 10

[ChiBitCTy]

I am actually a bit embaressed how badly I've done so far this year.  One thing that I've come to realize, no wonder I typically do so well with my NFL bets week to week, it's difficult to assess the games that I don't feel strongly about, which is why I don't bet them, but I also suppose that's part of the fun of this contest.  Also I really am not that far back, but I guess in this competition even 5-6 games might sorta be a lot?  I dunno, kicking ass in FF and betting, just sucking with this loll

[jeremypwr]

Texas edition MNF Bet Builder; courtesy of a Free Bet from Sportsbet.io

[ralle14]

Rohang with another top finish, congratulations. He missed the TNF match and still scored eleven points. 

I somehow got third because of the tiebreaker, still, i'm happy with the points i've gained this week slowly closing into the top five.

[rohang]

Rohang with another top finish, congratulations. He missed the TNF match and still scored eleven points. 

I somehow got third because of the tiebreaker, still, i'm happy with the points i've gained this week slowly closing into the top five.

Yea insane, i entered after TNF and still first. Now im super sad about missing first TWO weeks, would be easily top 5 even if i went 50%

[LFC_Bitcoin]

Really enjoying this, shocked I’m tied in 7th place by the way, must be beginners luck.

By the way, who the hell is buttholesmasher78

[yahoo62278]

Really enjoying this, shocked I’m tied in 7th place by the way, must be beginners luck.

By the way, who the hell is buttholesmasher78

I don't know but the name definitely fits, he is smashing all our buttholes lmao. There are 6 within 7 point of them though, so it's not a runaway or anything. Still plenty of time for everyone to catch up as well.

We need a pick winner league, these spreads are so unpredictable most weeks.

[DireWolfM14]

Really enjoying this, shocked I’m tied in 7th place by the way, must be beginners luck.

I'm glad you're enjoying it.  It has been quite fun so far, but I'm ashamed there so many foreigners doing better than me.

By the way, who the hell is buttholesmasher78

I don't know but the name definitely fits, he is smashing all our buttholes lmao.

     

That's my brother, lol.  I had to talk him into joining, he wasn't really that excited about it at first because he thought it was going to be more like a fantasy league.

Aren't you guys glad I talked him into it?  

We need a pick winner league, these spreads are so unpredictable most weeks.

I considered making this one a straight up winner picking game, but I figured that was too easy.  Picking against the spread does make it far more challenging.

[yahoo62278]

That's my brother, lol.  I had to talk him into joining, he wasn't really that excited about it at first because he thought it was going to be more like a fantasy league.

Aren't you guys glad I talked him into it?  

I think we had a rule of 1 account per family so tell your brother thanks but he is disqualified lmao.

We need a pick winner league, these spreads are so unpredictable most weeks.

I considered making this one a straight up winner picking game, but I figured that was too easy.  Picking against the spread does make it far more challenging.

Yea it's super challenging this way. Usually around 50% each week myself, I have learned to stop trusting the Chiefs as they are shit at covering spreads this year. Green Bay most weeks as well.

[ChiBitCTy]

The last 30mns of the first half of games is maybe the most crazy/fun/wtf football i've ever seen in that manner. That many games, with that many twists and turns, missed field goals, shit teams beating down great teams, Mahomes a slow QB running for all those yards like the panthers were HS kids..it was fun!  Not just saying it to say it, or because I'm "living in the moment this has been the most unpredictable year of football I've ever seen (20 years of obsessive watching).

But at the end of the day one thing played out like it always does.. my Bears bearing as they do.  lol. Hope yal'll enjoyed it as much as I.  sick as dog too and really helped get my mind off feeling like shit. 

[ralle14]

I finally got a first-place finish. 

Luckily the Chargers choked after they led by 10 points. It could've gone to a three-way tiebreaker if they didn't lose their momentum in the second quarter and ran away with the game.

[jeremypwr]

I'll win Week 13 if Denver covers the -5.5 spread tonight.
Let's go Broncos! 

[ralle14]

Congrats to jeremypwr for getting first on week 13 with 13 points.

Even if the Broncos didn't cover he still had the advantage as buwaytress and hsh1 also took the Broncos.

The final few minutes of the match were crazy turnover after turnover to bail out the Broncos' spread.  

[buwaytress]

Congrats to jeremypwr for getting first on week 13 with 13 points.

Even if the Broncos didn't cover he still had the advantage as buwaytress and hsh1 also took the Broncos.

The final few minutes of the match were crazy turnover after turnover to bail out the Broncos' spread.  

Oh well done, well done. I won't mind coming in 2nd and 3rd all the time if it brings up my average

For the first time in this pool, I have cut the leader's lead to me to below 10 points! It's a long season, but I finally had some good luck come my way, and my new strategy of at least not blindly picking against the spread has worked well (or is it just luck?).

Belated pat on the back for morvillz7z's acca too!

[jeremypwr]

Week 14's Thursday Night Football BetBuilder

[ralle14]

Oh well done, well done. I won't mind coming in 2nd and 3rd all the time if it brings up my average

Same here, the important thing is to keep mistakes to a minimum and aim to score double digits every week.

For the first time in this pool, I have cut the leader's lead to me to below 10 points! It's a long season, but I finally had some good luck come my way, and my new strategy of at least not blindly picking against the spread has worked well (or is it just luck?).

It could also be a mix of both. Some games have been easier to predict because of line movement, but we still have those rare games where teams lose the spread from missing a crucial catch or field goal kick in the final drive.

[buwaytress]

For the first time in this pool, I have cut the leader's lead to me to below 10 points! It's a long season, but I finally had some good luck come my way, and my new strategy of at least not blindly picking against the spread has worked well (or is it just luck?).

It could also be a mix of both. Some games have been easier to predict because of line movement, but we still have those rare games where teams lose the spread from missing a crucial catch or field goal kick in the final drive.

Aaand back to getting the first game wrong. I've very little idea of how the lines are moving, I'm usually entering my picks as soon as I remember the app and they're available. Last week's haul of 12 was entered as soon as the final game of the preceding week finished. Still feels very 50/50 to me, but at least I'm paying attention a little to the spread and form now (as opposed to about 8 weeks of simply going against the spread in the majority).