To what level will Bitcoin fall after reaching $100K (or higher)?

[beerlover]

Bitcoin is a volatile coin and the Op said it himself that it has gone as low as $3,709k in 2018,  so there's always a good chance of it going low again even if it surpasses the $100k mark but to place a particular figure on it will be hard. My wildest guess will be around $60-70k.

I do not believe we are going to see 4k ever again, that was long long time ago and can't make a come back at all. Remember, our latest bear run was in 2022 and not in 2018, and during 2022 we have seen the price crash to about 15-16k prices if I am not wrong, which is five times bigger than last bottom.

I believe we are not going to be five times higher than 5k, because that would be lates t all time high, but I do not believe we are going to see under 50k ever again after we start the bull run. I am not saying right now, we can still crash right now, which I doubt we will but I am not planning on seeing that part. I am saying we are going to have hard time seeing under 50k after the bull run starts. So if you ever see bitcoin price at 100k+ then be sure under 50k is no longer possible.

[YOSHIE]

To what level will Bitcoin fall after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Maybe we don't want to be guided by the predictions and speculation of Bitcoin experts outside the forum, as you said at several points, maybe it can be used as our own speculation where we often see the phenomenon after a new halving/ATH occurs and is created, this will lead us to think that after that Bitcoin will experience a significant drop in value as has happened.

Personally for my speculation, maybe I can say the price of Bitcoin will fall to the level of $50k or $30k, that's not happening now, maybe next year or the year after, I think so.

[tygeade]

The forum has repeatedly discussed what maximum mark $100K will reach in this cycle. Many are waiting for the level of $100K, and some, especially enthusiastic BTC-users, are talking about higher cost indicators ($150K and higher).

But now I would like to focus on another point. What is the minimum price mark that bitcoin will reach in the current cryptomarket cycle, because the lower the price, the more bitcoin (parts of BTC) can be bought. How low do you think bitcoin will fall in price after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.

We can't possibly know about these, these are all in theory talks and we can't just keep on trying to figure out what will make this tick working. I understand you may not feel the best welcome about this right now but we need to make sure things aren't always that crazy looking, there are many things that will not be too simple for us to understand so the best thing to do right now would be just keep trying to deal with what we can reach, which is the all time high in the near future.

I know it doesn't look that crazy right now and we are talking about just about 20% or so increase and not that far away, but even that would be more realistic thing to look for. If you keep looking for something much bigger then you are not going to get the best out of this situation. This is why I keep trying to do the best I can do, and because of this I try to do get the best I can get, and this turns out to be a fine situation for me, I do not get much in return about worrying.

[TravelMug]

To what level will Bitcoin fall after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Maybe we don't want to be guided by the predictions and speculation of Bitcoin experts outside the forum, as you said at several points, maybe it can be used as our own speculation where we often see the phenomenon after a new halving/ATH occurs and is created, this will lead us to think that after that Bitcoin will experience a significant drop in value as has happened.

Personally for my speculation, maybe I can say the price of Bitcoin will fall to the level of $50k or $30k, that's not happening now, maybe next year or the year after, I think so.

Well we have been guided before, I don't know if you will remember the S2F model before in 2021, it came outside but it was heavily discussed it here and members here are like 50/50 or in the fence about that modelling prediction and they were right because it predicted that we will be reaching $100k in 2021, but the highest that we got is around $69k (which has been broken in this cycle already).

So as much as we want to listen to different speculation in this bull run, we should really be open as to how big it will be. Or worse, can he really reach 6 digits? So everything is wide open and the best thing is to just accumulate and hold and not sell our Bitcoin. Be observant and expect the unexpected.

[JeffBrad12]

Bitcoin is a volatile coin and the Op said it himself that it has gone as low as $3,709k in 2018,  so there's always a good chance of it going low again even if it surpasses the $100k mark but to place a particular figure on it will be hard. My wildest guess will be around $60-70k.

sometime the harder the rally goes, the harder as well the dump will happen.

but arguably last bearish, it was so bad due to the collapse of certain company . if there's nothing like that in this bullrun around I doubt market will dump as much, I see more and more pattern of stability with BTC after the approval of ETF and right now ETF has been a big thing, the hype just didn't fade. MSTR as one of the big bitcoin holder also keep gaining massive increase in valuation.
things might be different this time around that maybe BTC price will stabilizes if it reached $100k, who knows, but one thing for sure, BTC market cap just keep going closer and closer to gold.
at some point I think BTC will lose its volatile nature.

[Zigabel]

Importantly we should know that the price of Bitcoin is usually influenced by some factors which is such that we can control because it's mostly beyond the control of retail traders and investors, so we can't tell but speculate what the price could fall to because the last time, it happened thia was the first time Bitcoin had such fall and since then its not been that bad so its very likely that it may not happen again but we still have to do our own research and stick to our own strategy so as to stay profitable in the markets.

[justdimin]

sometime the harder the rally goes, the harder as well the dump will happen.

but arguably last bearish, it was so bad due to the collapse of certain company . if there's nothing like that in this bullrun around I doubt market will dump as much, I see more and more pattern of stability with BTC after the approval of ETF and right now ETF has been a big thing, the hype just didn't fade. MSTR as one of the big bitcoin holder also keep gaining massive increase in valuation.
things might be different this time around that maybe BTC price will stabilizes if it reached $100k, who knows, but one thing for sure, BTC market cap just keep going closer and closer to gold.
at some point I think BTC will lose its volatile nature.

This is true, the bigger the increase the bigger the fall. Do you know the reason why this happens? The main reason is the "wall", because support will not be covering just one place, and let alone having multiple places. When price spends a lot of time in a single place, then we are going to have huge walls not only a bit lower, but also a lot more lower and there would be plenty of walls to break for the price to crash, not that it can't but the longer you are at some place, the harder it becomes.

But when the price increases like crazy, then it is going to be something terrible for the support, because you won't have too much walls anywhere and when it tries to go down, the yare not facing any trouble and just going down without interruption too much.

Remember 2022 bear period, it didn't go from 70k to under 20k within few days, but did fall 10k in a day, and another 10k in another day. Because it didn't have any support that is keeping it high, because it wasn't established yet.

If we can spend years above 100k then yeah we could keep it going above 100k but we won't and it will fall and we will not be ready for it and this is why we will see a lot more lower prices and very quickly.

[icalical]

How low Bitcoin would drop after hitting $100K was hard to say, but the current trends meant that the drop may not be as steep as in previous cycles. I would say that $30k would be the lowest it can fall. While sharp corrections have always occurred with Bitcoin, this time around, there may be some cushioning to fall, given the maturing market and increased investor confidence. It simply means there could be a possibility for a dip after $100K, but it may not crash like before, assuming major players are holding their positions.

Large corrections are typically part of bitcoin's price cycles, but impending bear markets may be less extreme according to some analysts, with institutional interest on the rise and Bitcoin ETFs gathering steam.

[Swordsoffreedom]

How low Bitcoin would drop after hitting $100K was hard to say, but the current trends meant that the drop may not be as steep as in previous cycles. I would say that $30k would be the lowest it can fall. While sharp corrections have always occurred with Bitcoin, this time around, there may be some cushioning to fall, given the maturing market and increased investor confidence. It simply means there could be a possibility for a dip after $100K, but it may not crash like before, assuming major players are holding their positions.

Large corrections are typically part of bitcoin's price cycles, but impending bear markets may be less extreme according to some analysts, with institutional interest on the rise and Bitcoin ETFs gathering steam.

Looking at previous cycles after the bull season ends and the bear season begins, bitcoin typically dumps 70%-85% of its value from its ATH. But I also think that with the approval of ETFs and the participation of traditional institutional investors, I think the correction of bitcoin will be significantly reduced. It's hard to give a specific number because we don't know what bitcoin's highest ATH was in this cycle but I think the maximum drop of this cycle is 30%-50%.

I believe bitcoin will move like the stock market and will be more stable. We will no longer see the massive bitcoin dumping like before and this may make some people regret it but also others enjoy it.

The huge volatility is one of the things that makes bitcoin so interesting, it would be sad if that volatility went away.

[LUCKMCFLY]

So as much as we want to listen to different speculation in this bull run, we should really be open as to how big it will be. Or worse, can he really reach 6 digits? So everything is wide open and the best thing is to just accumulate and hold and not sell our Bitcoin. Be observant and expect the unexpected.

Normally the price of BTC is difficult to predict, because Basically things are always very unstable and unexpected, yes, we hope for the best, letting ourselves be surprised is what many are looking for,  but we can also hope that the next ATH will surprise us and maybe reach $80k and from there nothing more will happen  , there you see the concept that it is a rise , a new ATH and a cycle of a new ATH is fulfilled, even for that scenario we must be prepared, because how much is what we are used to? to a higher ATH, and well I hope that it happens that way, very juicy , very high and incalculable for now, but we must keep that scenario in mind.

[o48o]

How low Bitcoin would drop after hitting $100K was hard to say, but the current trends meant that the drop may not be as steep as in previous cycles. I would say that $30k would be the lowest it can fall. While sharp corrections have always occurred with Bitcoin, this time around, there may be some cushioning to fall, given the maturing market and increased investor confidence. It simply means there could be a possibility for a dip after $100K, but it may not crash like before, assuming major players are holding their positions.

Large corrections are typically part of bitcoin's price cycles, but impending bear markets may be less extreme according to some analysts, with institutional interest on the rise and Bitcoin ETFs gathering steam.

Looking at previous cycles after the bull season ends and the bear season begins, bitcoin typically dumps 70%-85% of its value from its ATH. But I also think that with the approval of ETFs and the participation of traditional institutional investors, I think the correction of bitcoin will be significantly reduced. It's hard to give a specific number because we don't know what bitcoin's highest ATH was in this cycle but I think the maximum drop of this cycle is 30%-50%.

I believe bitcoin will move like the stock market and will be more stable. We will no longer see the massive bitcoin dumping like before and this may make some people regret it but also others enjoy it.

The huge volatility is one of the things that makes bitcoin so interesting, it would be sad if that volatility went away.

If that's the case, it will affect to the mooning as well. Only thing that troubles me, is that we are focusing on the worth of bitcoin, and not the actual tech. And with we seem to be happily sacrifice the core fundamentals for altar of greed. We want our leaders and influencers to adapt it so much that we now rely on them, and fear rejection because it affects the price. And we want our institutional investors, so we happily jump trough any regulatory loop, and there's now just too much money involved not to fight regulations. We are under a microscope and more the value rises, more under a thumb we will be.

If doesn't even matter who is president or who is in charge, unless we have a dictator in charge, because bitcoin would crumble under a dictatorship if we have put all the power in their hands before that.

It's about fighting corruption vs not fighting corruption. And regulations are the only way to go when fighting it.

Before there wasn't as much money involved, corruption wasn't really a problem. People just mainly used cash money, and all the money laundering focus was on cash. No one even thought that this would become as big, that governments would get involved, so there wasn't a plan for the fact that people would artificially centralize the whole thing around the value and because of that, also around the governmental oversight. And hell with the fundamentals.

At some point, fundamentals of it could be mostly lost, and some people will point out that emperor has no clothes, and it's hard for me to even think what happens then. Will people just trust the value because they don't completely understand what happened? It's a tool against repressive dictatorships to move value without banks involved, but what if USA for example becomes to that dictatorship? We have a presidental candinate that admires dictators and say how smart they are.

Now most of the value at this point is based on the governmental acceptance of bitcoin and because of that, we have institutional investors. And if country like USA would reject it, because trump's enemies use it, and he wants to have his own coin or something silly like that, imagine what happens then. Bitcoin is a democracy in action, it's users accepting the right chain, trump doesn't believe, or understand democracy. This will become a problem under his rule.

[bitterguy28]

The forum has repeatedly discussed what maximum mark $100K will reach in this cycle. Many are waiting for the level of $100K, and some, especially enthusiastic BTC-users, are talking about higher cost indicators ($150K and higher).

But now I would like to focus on another point. What is the minimum price mark that bitcoin will reach in the current cryptomarket cycle, because the lower the price, the more bitcoin (parts of BTC) can be bought. How low do you think bitcoin will fall in price after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.

No matter how low did Bitcoin drop from the highest ? Yet this will happen  again maybe In the future but not this year as we have seen how high it reached this year and how much is the lowest up to now .
And besides I don't care about how much it fell but instead how much it will grow this year or the next .