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[leea-1334]

I knew I should have picked Giroud but I went for Pulisic instead because of his recent form. All of the chances came to Giroud though in the end and he missed everything except the one that mattered:)

The third round is going to be much better for winning the prize I bet until the second round I earned some bitcoin but the rounds are going to get better due to the higher amount of bonus. The higher the price the more bitcoin you can get.

Seriously, we all need to report meaningless spam like this so we can all help to clean up the forum;) These guys do not read a single thing,,, they probably even never bet on a single game their whole life and are just posting to get their post count up (what a waste of time!).

[arallmuus]

~
Different point of view but I get what you mean , there isnt any good way to know the actual odds . As long as it is free, it doesnt matter if it is less than 0.00001 % and lots of people gets to try again and again  

And I'm one of them. I have tried many times already, and the best I could come up with were 3 right picks, just once.

Got 3 at most for me ever since the Majestic 7 started again. Im just so bad at this 

The thing is that in reality it's never 54% or even 33.3% for someone to score, it is much lower than that, always. Those odds we can see on various betting sites do not represent real odds. Rather they("odds") reflect how many bettors, or what part of bettors, put their hopes on this or that player. (Actually, it's about how much money is placed on this or that player). So, if 60% of the pool's money is placed on, say, Tammy Abraham, no way it means he has those chances to score.

Now that you mention this, I kinda realized that the odds in betting site will significantly decrease sometimes if there are alot of people that choose to wager on that bet. There isnt any way to calculate the exact odds or anything close to the exact odds However if FJ offer 1 btc to hit 7/7 for free to anyone without any string attached, If anything it would be less than 0.00001 % 

I knew I should have picked Giroud but I went for Pulisic instead because of his recent form. All of the chances came to Giroud though in the end and he missed everything except the one that mattered:)

I picked Willian instead knowing full well that Abraham would probably not be playing for full time but Giroud scored instead 

Seriously, we all need to report meaningless spam like this

OOT but for the moment, put him on the ignore list so we wont read anything meaningless like that in the future again 

[buwaytress]

It looks like as soon as the new match of the week plays, the next week is available to select for MajSev.

So for this new week, I've picked very, very predictable choices except for the Newcastle match where I'm going for Sean Longstaff. Also, Antonio is very tasty as he's on form, but I wonder if a penalty for Mark Noble is due soon?

@Trofo yeah I also used odds from bookies to calculate odds for winning M7 and you and I arrived at closer percentage points than arallmuus haha.

[tokeweed]

Just wondering since the Majestic 7 has become so popular around the gambling section...  Would you guys also play a UFC promo if FJ made it?

[Trofo]

Just wondering since the Majestic 7 has become so popular around the gambling section...  Would you guys also play a UFC promo if FJ made it?

Probably if it is free, since I already have the account I would try to copy some info from you guys. No reason to not give it a try. However, I would not place any bet on UFC or related promo since I know absolutely nothing about the sport or have any interest in watching it.

On the other hand, if they made Majestic 7 like paying promo instead of free one I would still play it. Especially if we were able to chose the 7 games instead of them.

[arallmuus]

Just wondering since the Majestic 7 has become so popular around the gambling section...  Would you guys also play a UFC promo if FJ made it?

As long as it is free, people will still go for it. Although this is just a random thought of yours but it is not really feasible idea in FJ Point of view to provide Majestic 7 of UFC

The reason for that would be, there will always be one winner out of two fighters . Well it could end in  a draw as well but it is a very rare occurence

So assuming that there will always be one winner, that would be 50% chance to pick each one so, 0.5^7 would be 0.0078125 ~ 0.78% chance to hit 7/7   Perhaps M15 would be much more appropriate for a UFC fight hence the chance would be somewhere around 0.003 %


Im quite happy with the current M7 for the premier league plus this is one of the most anticipated football league but anything other than football will probably not attract more people .

[fullhdpixel]

^ Yeah, I have tried so many times as well, it is a free thing that gives out 1 bitcoin in the end, there is no way that anyone could complain about it the way it is. There was a moment during the first half ending and second half of the season starting where there were some transfers and the rosters weren't updated and that is the only legitimate feedback that I have seen that should have been done, but that was done like in a week after that so it wasn't a big deal for a long time neither.

This is by far the best promotion in any of the sportsbooks I have seen. Have you seen anywhere else a competition that is giving out 1 bitcoin in return of zero? Everywhere else you get stuff that requires you to spend some money to join, but here it is free and you can do it every single week.

[tokeweed]

Just wondering since the Majestic 7 has become so popular around the gambling section...  Would you guys also play a UFC promo if FJ made it?

As long as it is free, people will still go for it. Although this is just a random thought of yours but it is not really feasible idea in FJ Point of view to provide Majestic 7 of UFC

The reason for that would be, there will always be one winner out of two fighters . Well it could end in  a draw as well but it is a very rare occurence

So assuming that there will always be one winner, that would be 50% chance to pick each one so, 0.5^7 would be 0.0078125 ~ 0.78% chance to hit 7/7   Perhaps M15 would be much more appropriate for a UFC fight hence the chance would be somewhere around 0.003 %


Im quite happy with the current M7 for the premier league plus this is one of the most anticipated football league but anything other than football will probably not attract more people .

What I had in mind wouldn't be as simple as like picking a winner tho.  Maybe something like picking a winner and which round across all matches of the event.

[Betwrong]

~

The thing is that in reality it's never 54% or even 33.3% for someone to score, it is much lower than that, always. Those odds we can see on various betting sites do not represent real odds. Rather they("odds") reflect how many bettors, or what part of bettors, put their hopes on this or that player. (Actually, it's about how much money is placed on this or that player). So, if 60% of the pool's money is placed on, say, Tammy Abraham, no way it means he has those chances to score.

Now that you mention this, I kinda realized that the odds in betting site will significantly decrease sometimes if there are alot of people that choose to wager on that bet. There isnt any way to calculate the exact odds or anything close to the exact odds However if FJ offer 1 btc to hit 7/7 for free to anyone without any string attached, If anything it would be less than 0.00001 % 
~

I'm wondering if there are no strings attached indeed? Shouldn't we wager 30x or even 40x of that prize first before we can withdraw?

Regarding the odds, I think you are about right with your 0.00001 % estimation.

[buwaytress]

Probably if it is free, since I already have the account I would try to copy some info from you guys. No reason to not give it a try. However, I would not place any bet on UFC or related promo since I know absolutely nothing about the sport or have any interest in watching it.

On the other hand, if they made Majestic 7 like paying promo instead of free one I would still play it. Especially if we were able to chose the 7 games instead of them.

Same here. I don't bet on things I don't know about, at least, I know I did bet on some esports games, but even so, it was on football teams I at least thought I knew about haha.

I'd play Majestic Seven even with money, for sure. As long as it's like Multi Master in SB (about $1 a try for something virtually impossible to win!).

[arallmuus]

~

The thing is that in reality it's never 54% or even 33.3% for someone to score, it is much lower than that, always. Those odds we can see on various betting sites do not represent real odds. Rather they("odds") reflect how many bettors, or what part of bettors, put their hopes on this or that player. (Actually, it's about how much money is placed on this or that player). So, if 60% of the pool's money is placed on, say, Tammy Abraham, no way it means he has those chances to score.

Now that you mention this, I kinda realized that the odds in betting site will significantly decrease sometimes if there are alot of people that choose to wager on that bet. There isnt any way to calculate the exact odds or anything close to the exact odds However if FJ offer 1 btc to hit 7/7 for free to anyone without any string attached, If anything it would be less than 0.00001 % 
~

I'm wondering if there are no strings attached indeed? Shouldn't we wager 30x or even 40x of that prize first before we can withdraw?

Regarding the odds, I think you are about right with your 0.00001 % estimation.

Im not sure about this unless someone who actually hit 7/7 could testify about this. But there isnt any wager requirement in their terms and conditions. It just says that whoever hit 7/7 will receive the grand prize of 1 btc, if more than 1 people hit 7/7 then they would share the prize equally

Correct predictions for all seven games makes you the winner of 1 BTC. In case having more than one player eligible for the grand prize, the above-described amount is equally distributed.

Also given that how hard it is to hit 7/7 then it would be normal if there isnt any wager requirement but instead straight grandprize onto your balance

-snipped-

What I had in mind wouldn't be as simple as like picking a winner tho.  Maybe something like picking a winner and which round across all matches of the event.

That would be harder than guessing the goalscorer for the current Majestic 7. Each UFC has 5 rounds and some match may not end with TKO in 5 rounds but instead it goes to judge decision

so it would be 6 rounds in total, The odds for both that would be 1/2*1/6 = 1/12

1/12^7 would be somewhere around 0.0000027 % chance to hit 7/7 

P.S : My calculation could be wrong so feel free to correct it

[BitSat19]

~

The thing is that in reality it's never 54% or even 33.3% for someone to score, it is much lower than that, always. Those odds we can see on various betting sites do not represent real odds. Rather they("odds") reflect how many bettors, or what part of bettors, put their hopes on this or that player. (Actually, it's about how much money is placed on this or that player). So, if 60% of the pool's money is placed on, say, Tammy Abraham, no way it means he has those chances to score.

Now that you mention this, I kinda realized that the odds in betting site will significantly decrease sometimes if there are alot of people that choose to wager on that bet. There isnt any way to calculate the exact odds or anything close to the exact odds However if FJ offer 1 btc to hit 7/7 for free to anyone without any string attached, If anything it would be less than 0.00001 % 
~

I'm wondering if there are no strings attached indeed? Shouldn't we wager 30x or even 40x of that prize first before we can withdraw?

Regarding the odds, I think you are about right with your 0.00001 % estimation.

This is good question hopefully FJ team will give official reply about this because for 5 and 6 we have free bet which need only win for withdraw but for 7/7 they will give 1 BTC in balance or this could free bet I am also not sure about this.

[slaman29]

My picks @Trofo and @BitcoinGirl.Club if we have no bad luck then surely we are going to win prize this week because I just check we have five same picks and just 2 are not matching so hopefully we will able to have prize and end of this season because now its very long time I am living here without any free bet from gambling sites.

Looks like we all had bad luck with Liverpool, unless we chose Mane, which I know I didn't haha even though he seems to be an obvious choice these days!

Anyway tokeweed yes I think we would love to play any type of "free" game but I don't know UFC much at all so I would be making blind picks. Football is way more popular and we know all the teams well.

[BitSat19]

My picks @Trofo and @BitcoinGirl.Club if we have no bad luck then surely we are going to win prize this week because I just check we have five same picks and just 2 are not matching so hopefully we will able to have prize and end of this season because now its very long time I am living here without any free bet from gambling sites.

Looks like we all had bad luck with Liverpool, unless we chose Mane, which I know I didn't haha even though he seems to be an obvious choice these days!

Anyway tokeweed yes I think we would love to play any type of "free" game but I don't know UFC much at all so I would be making blind picks. Football is way more popular and we know all the teams well.

When we have competitions like this and big money is coming then every one can do some search and have good knowledge of any sport without any serious trouble as its really fun for many and extra money is also coming I personally have many competitions and some good prizes as well I will also join if FJ going to start any new competition.

[Emitdama]

@arallmuus
Well, odds are basically like that for everything, not just scorers. For example when you see a regular match and Madrid has 1.2 and opponent has 3.8 or whatever, that doesn't mean that Madrid has a chance to win the game that much, it could be around that much, lower, or higher chance to win.

However since it is football, anything could happen and that means Madrid could lose 10-0 as well, sure it is close to impossible but it is there, we never know the real odds because it is not a provably fair dice game we are talking about, it is human game played with humans that could do well or bad and we will never know.

But, the odds are given based on how much people bet on the teams, sportsbooks basically try to create a "rake" system between people who wager on one team versus wager on other team so that they do not lose money.

[Pmalek]

I'm wondering if there are no strings attached indeed? Shouldn't we wager 30x or even 40x of that prize first before we can withdraw?

I haven't looked at the rules or TOS, but I can say with almost 100% certainty that there are no such strings attached. Guessing 7/7 goal scorers correctly is an incredible thing by itself. And as we have seen so far, an impossible goal. Connecting that with high wagering requirements seems unrealistic.

[arallmuus]

@arallmuus
Well, odds are basically like that for everything, not just scorers. For example when you see a regular match and Madrid has 1.2 and opponent has 3.8 or whatever, that doesn't mean that Madrid has a chance to win the game that much, it could be around that much, lower, or higher chance to win.

However since it is football, anything could happen and that means Madrid could lose 10-0 as well, sure it is close to impossible but it is there

I do understand that odds means nothing when we are talking/playing a game with literally nothing to lose . However if it is some sort of promotion that require you to wager or risk specific amount then it is natural for us to check on the odds. Although promotions are meant to be EV- but Some promotions could be EV+ in some circumstances

By calculating the odds, you get better knowledge and understanding of how to works things out to be much more favorable to you

we never know the real odds because it is not a provably fair dice game we are talking about, it is human game played with humans that could do well or bad and we will never know.

Provably fair has nothing to do with odds 

Here is a starter pack for you to understand more about provably fair https://dicesites.com/provably-fair

[Bitinity]

I'm wondering if there are no strings attached indeed? Shouldn't we wager 30x or even 40x of that prize first before we can withdraw?

I haven't looked at the rules or TOS, but I can say with almost 100% certainty that there are no such strings attached. Guessing 7/7 goal scorers correctly is an incredible thing by itself. And as we have seen so far, an impossible goal. Connecting that with high wagering requirements seems unrealistic.

The T&C of the Majestic 7 says "General terms and conditions apply", not really sure which terms and conditions applies for the winning prize of Majestic 7 but I also guess there is no wagering requirement for it. It is just insane if there is 30-40x wagering requirement for such hard thing to win. Since we have some winners for the 5/7 or 6/7, hopefully they can share how about their winning from the freebet. Whether they need to wager it xx time first before they can withdraw the winning from the freebet or not.

[ralle14]

The T&C of the Majestic 7 says "General terms and conditions apply", not really sure which terms and conditions applies for the winning prize of Majestic 7 but I also guess there is no wagering requirement for it. It is just insane if there is 30-40x wagering requirement for such hard thing to win. Since we have some winners for the 5/7 or 6/7, hopefully they can share how about their winning from the freebet. Whether they need to wager it xx time first before they can withdraw the winning from the freebet or not.

Free bets usually don't have any rollover requirement and since nothing was stated in the terms and conditions of the contest(and in the general t&c) I think we can safely assume there's none except for the freebet itself. Clearing 30x-40x would be annoying but it's easier for sportsbook as long as the counted wager isn't reduced and no minimum odds.

[buwaytress]

I'm wondering if there are no strings attached indeed? Shouldn't we wager 30x or even 40x of that prize first before we can withdraw?

I haven't looked at the rules or TOS, but I can say with almost 100% certainty that there are no such strings attached. Guessing 7/7 goal scorers correctly is an incredible thing by itself. And as we have seen so far, an impossible goal. Connecting that with high wagering requirements seems unrealistic.

You've been playing and don't know? Haha, no there aren't any strings attached, it's been confirmed in the past. 1 BTC all yours. I've won the freebet and the winnings were all mine to withdraw. Unfortunately I managed to find a way to turn my $700+ winnings from freeet into zero when I bet all-in on Champions League on Liverpool. I hope I do withdraw at least 0.5 BTC if I win the big one though!